Kota Yuzawa

The Global Chip Shortage: Impact, Outlook and Recovery

Toshiya Hari, Kota Yuzawa, Rod Hall, Allison Nathan

Driven by pandemic-induced demand surges and supply chain bottlenecks that began in early 2020, the global semiconductor shortage peaked in mid-2021 before projections indicate a gradual normalization through 2022. The automotive and consumer electronics sectors faced significant disruption, with the auto industry losing $15–$20 billion in operating profits while hardware giants like Apple and Cisco capitalized on remote-work trends. This crisis has triggered a structural shift toward long-term contracts, government-backed domestic manufacturing investments by Intel and TSMC, and a move away from just-in-time inventory strategies to ensure future supply resilience.