Mike Mitchell
Showing 1–1 of 1 transcripts.
- Goldman Sachs12 min
How Inflation and Fiscal Policy Are Driving US Treasury Markets
Mike Mitchell, Mike Washington
Following an August 12th core CPI print that met consensus at 21.5 basis points, forecasters are revising inflation expectations downward while bond market pricing implies a 9 basis point rate cut at the upcoming September Federal Open Market Committee meeting. Market participants are navigating a complex environment where heavy Treasury supply, robust corporate debt issuance for AI infrastructure, and persistent fiscal concerns are driving real yields to historically elevated levels, prompting recommendations for a yield curve steepener. With the labor market described as tepid and non-fiscal data taking precedence, attention now shifts to the August 13th PPI release and upcoming FOMC minutes to gauge the central bank's forward policy stance.