Professor Robert Pape

The Iran War Expert: I Simulated The Iran War for 20 Years. Here’s What Happens Next

Robert Pape, Professor Robert Pape, Stephen

Four decades of military strategy research by Professor Robert Pape warns that the ongoing conflict with Iran has already progressed to a strategic failure, where the dispersal of nuclear materials has removed guardrails against proliferation and increased the risk of a ground deployment triggering direct retaliation. The analysis highlights that U.S. depletion of precision munitions and the acceleration of Chinese hegemony are compounded by a volatile domestic political landscape that Pape predicts will see a surge in internal violence. To avert catastrophic escalation and geopolitical loss, Pape advocates for the immediate reinstatement of the previously rejected diplomatic deal to freeze Iran's nuclear program rather than pursuing regime change through force.