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Rafael Mariano Grossi

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  1. The Economist10 min

    How close is Iran to having a nuclear weapon? | The Economist

    Rafael Mariano Grossi, David Rennie

    Following a 12-day military conflict that obscured the location of 440 kilograms of highly enriched uranium, the IAEA reports no evidence of systematic weapon production despite Iran's failure to account for nuclear material. Agency leadership rejects claims that military strikes or diplomatic promises can neutralize the threat, emphasizing that technical knowledge remains indelible and physical verification is the only viable path to ensuring peaceful compliance. The current geopolitical tension has significantly complicated access to Iranian facilities, leaving the international community without confirmation of whether the undisclosed uranium remains in inspected sites or has been diverted.