Ricardo Adrogue
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- Milken Institute58 min
Emerging Markets: Are They Ready for Steadier Performance?
Jay Palosky, Madeleine Antonich, Ricardo Adrogue, Jim McCuckin, Sri
A panel of financial experts led by Jay Palosky, Jim McCuckin, and Madeleine Antonich evaluated the structural viability of emerging markets, concluding that while global liquidity tailwinds are fading, improved fiscal health and sovereign wealth fund growth provide a stable foundation. The discussion highlighted China's constrained reform path and likely 4-5% growth rate alongside regional divergences favoring Mexico and Eastern European credit opportunities while cautioning against Brazil's stagnation and Russia's isolation. Consequently, investors are advised to abandon broad emerging market strategies in favor of selective, long-short approaches focused on hard currency debt and specific country-level fundamentals to navigate re-emerging current account deficits and income inequality risks.