Rodney

India: In the Eye of the Tiger Economy

Andrew Morse, Sanjay Patel, Raghuram Rajan, Ryan Pinto, Gaurav, Eddy Moretti, John McCutchan, David Levinson, Rodney, Amit Singhal

Experts including Sanjay Patel and Raghuram Rajan warn that India's economic growth has stalled between 5% and 7% due to government complacency, infrastructure deficits, and institutional gaps that prevent the realization of its demographic dividend. While the Reserve Bank of India has cut rates and valuations have fallen to 8x EBITDA following a credit downgrade, high inflation and a severe skills gap continue to constrain the labor market and deter private capital investment. Despite geopolitical tensions and high corporate leverage, the long-term outlook remains positive, prompting investors to adopt a patient strategy focused on domestic demand and reforms in sectors like retail, aviation, and the Goods and Services Tax.