Sam Winter-Levy

Will AI End Mutual Assured Destruction?

Nikita Lalwani, Sam Winter-Levy

This analysis evaluates how artificial intelligence could theoretically threaten nuclear stability by enhancing capabilities for first strikes, disrupting command networks, and improving missile defense discrimination. Despite these potential technological advantages, the presentation argues that physical constraints, the economics of decoys, and the inherent need for near-perfect certainty in targeting decisions prevent AI from reliably undermining the secure second-strike capabilities essential to deterrence. Consequently, the text recommends establishing cross-disciplinary dialogue and maintaining robust crisis communication channels to mitigate risks associated with rapid AI advancements outpacing defensive adaptations.