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Steven Gruggett

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  1. Dwarkesh Patel51 min

    Manifold Markets Founder - Predictions Markets & Revolutionizing Governance

    Stephen Grugett, Steven Gruggett

    Founded by Steven Gruggett and his brother, Manifold Markets is a user-resolved prediction platform that utilizes play-money incentives to aggregate expertise on topics ranging from geopolitics to corporate forecasting. By prioritizing a Web2 onboarding experience and a unique community-based reputation system, the platform has attracted top-tier predictors capable of identifying financial talent while avoiding the regulatory hurdles of real-money trading. With a strategic roadmap to develop compliant financialized features and recruit growth experts to scale its user base, the company aims to eventually embed calibrated probability data directly into public discourse and news media.

Steven Gruggett: Interviews, Talks and Panel Discussions