Tatiana

The Weekend Intelligence: Crunch time for Ukraine

Jason Palmer, Zanny Minton-Bettos, Ivan Baryak, Vlad, Achilles, Yuri, Vadim Sukharevsky, Tatiana, Vitaly Klitschko, Andrei Yermak, Volodymyr Hobachuk, Roman Kuziv, Mike Pompeo, Chris Murphy, Christian Freuding

Ukrainian forces are currently facing a critical offensive on Pokrovsk that threatens to open the Donbass front, while simultaneously navigating severe manpower shortages and a shifting public willingness to negotiate. This humanitarian and logistical crisis is compounded by a technological asymmetry in drone warfare and a domestic industry struggling to outpace centralized procurement. Strategic outcomes now hinge on halting the Russian advance to secure current borders before the harsh winter, as uncertainty regarding US political continuity and the timeline for NATO membership creates an existential risk for the nation.