Lumen Technologies, Inc. Q3 2026 Earnings - LUMEN TECHNOLOGIES INC

Greetings, and welcome to Lumen Technology's third quarter 2026 earnings call. During the presentation, all participants will be in a listen-only mode. Afterwards, we will conduct a question and answer session. At that time, if you have a question, please press the star followed by the one on your telephone. If at any time during the conference you need to reach an operator, please press star zero. As a reminder, this conference is being recorded Tuesday, November 4th, 2026. Your speakers for today are Kate Johnson, CEO, and Chris Stansbury, CFO. I would now like to turn the conference over to Michael Renke, Senior Vice President, Investor Relations, and Lumen Transformation. Please go ahead. Good afternoon, everyone, and thank you for joining Lumen Technologies' third quarter 2026 earnings call. Before we begin, I would like to remind everyone that today's presentation will include forward-looking statements made pursuant to the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These statements reflect our current expectations, assumptions, and projections about future events in financial reform. Actual results may differ materially from these expressed or implied in these forward-looking statements due to a number of risks and uncertainties. A detailed discussion of these factors can be found in our most recent filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, including our most-recent annual report on Form 10-K, our quarterly report on 10-Q for this quarter, and any subsequent filings. We undertake no obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements made today, whether as a result of new information, future events, or otherwise. Today's presentation may also include non-GAAP financial measures. Reconciliations are provided in our posted materials. With that, I'll turn the call over to Kate. Thanks, Michael, and thank you all for joining us. I'm pleased to report that Lumen once again delivered a strong operating quarter. quarter. Our progress reflects growing demand from customers for a network that can change as fast as their business does. For decades, network planning was a forecasting exercise. And simply put, AI has broken that model. Now customers need to move data from anywhere to anywhere instantly, securely, and without knowing in advance where it will need to go. As a result, demand for network capacity continues to accelerate. Now, obviously, PCF, or the hyperscalers private network interconnect for AI model training, carries the majority of AI traffic on our network. But what's really interesting is what we see on our global public internet backbone. Since the beginning of this year, overall traffic on this part of our network has grown 20%. percent. While AI is still a small percentage of this overall traffic, it has grown more than 1,000 percent since April, an indication that enterprises are really beginning to dig into AI inferencing. And that demand is translating directly into sales growth at Lumen. Total strategic sales in the third quarter surged 30 percent year over year. Strategic wave sales grew 22% sequentially, and we've signed an incremental $700 million of PCF, pushing our total cumulative PCF business to over $13.5 billion. This strong performance helped us deliver 10% year-over-year growth in strategic revenue, which now comprises 55% of our total business revenue, up from 53% last quarter. And the industry continues to take note. In addition to winning four Amplify 2026 NAS Excellence Awards, Frost and Sullivan named Lumen its 2026 Global NAS Company of the Year and gave us a Frost Radar Visionary Leader Award. This commercial momentum and industry recognition is because of our three built-in advantages. A massive physical network with direct on-ramps into clouds and data centers, a digital platform that delivers programmable network control, and a connected ecosystem of technology partners that really matter. Our platform puts the customer in control and makes complex networking feel simple, starting with a NAS port and adding services from there. More bandwidth? Click. More security? Click The value is a single screen where you can see your entire network choose what you need and turn it on right there Our acquisition of Alcura takes that experience to the next level. Need direct on-ramps to the cloud? Want to move data between clouds? Need a new firewall? Click, click, click. Instead of managing each connection and security service separately, customers can tell the platform what they want to accomplish, and let it execute on their behalf. Our execution rigor and active investment in all three layers of the Lumen platform is generating measurable results. At the physical layer, we've outpaced our 2026 annual target to deploy 5 million new fiber miles funded by signed PCF deals, more than two months ahead of schedule. We're seeing momentum with neoclouds, including demand for our 400 gig rapid waves, deploying with speed that traditional telcos simply can't match. In fact, new wavelength installs from AI companies in the last 12 months grew more than fivefold compared to the prior 12-month period and drove more than one-third of our new 400 gig wave installs. At the programmable network layer, three brands like NASDAQ and Volvo continue to choose Lumen. And now with Alcura, they can expand connectivity and control across cloud and data center environments where AI and digital workloads are driving the fastest growth in network demand. An interesting customer that we've landed since closing the Alkira acquisition is Vumi Group, a global private medical insurer that's leveraging the platform to deliver a global network upgrade. Vumi turned to Lumen to replace its legacy VPN with zero-trust cloud networking while maintaining secure, always-on access worldwide. The platform strengthened security without adding headcount and enabled a data center exit, simplifying a complex global network so Vumi's team could focus on growing the business, not managing the complexity. Like Vumi, many more customers are choosing Lumen to simplify their networks, which is showing up in our NAS adoption results. Today, the total number of NAS customers exceeds 4,000. Active customers are up 24% quarter over quarter. Active ports are up 38% quarter over quarter and active services are up 35% quarter over quarter one final adoption metric 20% of NAS internet on demand ports carry more than one service. These adoption results are exciting because they show that customers want to buy connectivity like they do with cloud in minutes through a platform with the flexibility to scale as their needs change. But the results also demonstrate a breakthrough that telecom has long sought, operating leverage. Each digital service added to an installed port grows revenue at a much lower incremental cost. That's why earlier this fall, we converged dedicated internet access, or DIA, and NAS internet on demand, or IOD, into Lumen Intelligent Internet so that we could establish a digital connection with every single DIA customer, import, and upsell more services. Customers now get connectivity that moves at the speed of business, available at more than 10 million U.S. locations. Through Lumen Connect, they can add security, cloud connectivity, and orchestration remotely, in minutes, without a truck roll, generating revenue at nearly 100% direct margin. Lumen Intelligent Internet brings together a fast-growing IOD customer set with an established DIA base, which combined is more than $1 billion of revenue with over 100,000 installed ports and more than 25,000 customers. That scale puts this combined digital business well beyond the launch phase and makes our growth opportunity very clear. Land as many new ports as possible and sell additional services to all ports existing and new. Now, going forward, we'll shift away from sharing NAS adoption metrics to sharing financial performance, reporting this business within Lumen's digital revenue and growth metrics. Before I continue to the next slide, I want to share some color on our copper decommissioning plan. Higher quality strategic revenue and portfolio simplification are funding our transformation. We made big moves in 2026, selling fiber to the home, continuing to simplify our product portfolio from hundreds of products toward a core set of 25, announcing the exit of our voice business, and converging our internet products into a single digital business. Winding down copper is the next meaningful step. The old legacy playbook was to harvest revenues for cash and manage the decline. Now, with a strong, growing strategic revenue base, we can actively and systematically harvest cash from legacy by decommissioning it, redirecting that capital towards higher returns, digital growth, and debt paydown. In addition to the modernization work already underway across several states, we plan to accelerate copper decommisioning in Iowa, Florida, Nevada, and Utah. Across our copper footprint, we'll continue to work with regulators and meet our obligations to serve customers while stepping back from actively marketing, promoting, and incentivizing new sales of legacy copper services. Chris will share more on the economics of this important work, but here's a spoiler alert. Copper is worth more to us mined than operated. Okay. Turning to our connected ecosystem, we're forging partnerships that accelerate innovation and expand our commercial reach. Together with our partners, we are building towards a clear vision. Intelligent networks have to do more than just move data. They should adapt in real time to energy availability, data residency requirements, physical disruptions, and emerging security threats that's what we're building a lumen a risk-aware network that anticipates change and give customers visibility and control our work with emerald ai is just one example of that vision in action we plan to help customers move ai workloads based on available power network performance latency security and cost by combining their power aware technology with our programmable network our goal is to automate those decisions and workload moves and that vision extends beyond adapting to today's demands future quantum computers could break today's encryption and put important customer data at risk as we prepare for a quantum future we're deploying a quantum resistant security through our fortinet sassy solution while exploring long distance quantum connectivity with Ohio State University. Finally, we announced an expanded partnership with Microsoft that puts the Lumen platform into their enterprise selling motion. Microsoft and Lumen will jointly pursue opportunities where AI, cloud, and network modernization come together. And importantly, the co-sell model aligns our field organizations, allowing Microsoft sellers to retire Azure sales quota when customers adopt the lumen platform to wrap up we're growing strategic services deliberately reducing our legacy exposure and strengthening the economics of our business at the same time we're innovating to solve increasingly complex customer needs the transformation is going very well and we're building a stronger more valuable lumen chris over to you thanks kate i'll build on kate's remarks by walking through how the third quarter results reflect the progress we're making against our financial goals. We're improving the mix in quality of revenue, we're delivering the adjusted EBITDA inflection we committed to, and we're maintaining discipline around cash and capital allocation while continuing to strengthen the balance sheet. This focus gives us the flexibility to continue investing in strategic and digital growth. Before getting into some of the financial details from the quarter, I want to be crystal clear about our growth plan. Lumen's growth is built on a strategic portfolio already in the market, including digital network, AI-enabling connectivity, and the programmable network and orchestration capabilities that bring it all together. Strategic growth is where we are laser focused, that's how we run the business, and that's where we spend our time. We are not focused on preserving legacy economics, and The Market shouldn't be either. Put simply, we don't need to sign another large infrastructure build or hang on to legacy economics to execute our growth ambitions. That gives us tremendous confidence in our path forward and continuing to deliver what we promised. The third quarter provided another proof point that the transformation is moving from strategy into financial results. Strategic revenue had another strong quarter, up 10% year over year to $1.28 billion, and now represents 55% of total business revenue, compared to 48% a year ago. Within strategic, digital revenue grew 86.7% year-over-year to $56 million, driven by strength in NAS and Alkira. To follow up on Kate's overview of Lumen Intelligent Internet, we will be shifting to the Lumen Intelligence Internet revenue base into digital starting in 2027. We'll provide a pro forma of the digital revenue at that time. The mix of our business continues to shift towards higher growth strategic and digital services, and as I'll discuss in a moment, that shift is also improving the economics of our businesses. Total revenue was $2.72 billion ahead of our expectations and in line with consensus, including a positive impact to revenue of $27 million related to support payments received under the Federal Communications Commission's Connect America Fund and the Phase 2 program. This $27 billion does not impact adjusted EBITDA. Total business revenue was $2.35 billion, down 4.5% year-over-year. North American enterprise revenue was 1.67 billion, dollars down 3.1% year over year. And within North America enterprise, large enterprise continued to show strength, growing 3.6% year-over-year and 2% sequentially to $810 million. Adjusted EBITDA, excluding special items, was $715 million, putting us on track for the full-year inflection we previously outlined. Third quarter adjusted EBITTA was higher than originally anticipated, primarily due to lower-than-expected operating expenses. Capital expenditures, excluding special items, were $796 million. PCF cash received was $117 million in the quarter, and free cash flow, excluding Special Items, was negative $76 million for the quarter and $1 billion year-to-date, including the impact of $75 million and $321 million in cash tax payments related to our mass markets fiber-to the home divestiture, which were excluded from our guidance. This was in line with our internal expectations driven by timing of PCF and we continue to expect that full year free cash flow will be within our existing guidance range. Our return to business revenue growth is built on higher growth strategic and digital services. The current macro environment reinforces our value proposition. Customers increasingly need to reduce cost and complexity while improving resilience speed and control our platform helps customers simplify their technology stack provision and scale services more efficiently and reduce the cost and operational burden of managing fragmented networks that can only be accomplished on a truly digital programmable network the makeshift matters because of the economics of future portfolio of the future portfolio are compelling. As Kate shared earlier, so far, 20% of our IOD ports have more than one service on them, which means there's a significant scaling opportunity by adding services to installed ports with nearly 100% direct margin and creates operating leverage for Lumen. Many incorrectly believe that legacy revenue carries higher margin than strategic. Year-to-date, the average direct margin across our strategic portfolio is over 80% compared to approximately 65% for legacy. Strategic portfolio margins are meaningfully higher than legacy. I'll say that again, strategic portfolio margins are meaningly higher than a legacy. Now let's touch on PCF quickly. As we've said before, PCF is a disciplined way to monetize underutilized assets by leveraging conduit already in the ground, allowing us to deploy fiber efficiently and with attractive economics. We've now signed over $13.5 billion of PCF deals, including an additional $700 million. These contract structures also provide meaningful inflation protection. The customer feels up front. We actively manage procurement and supply chain exposure, and ongoing operations and maintenance payments include inflation escalators. The agreements already signed support our current plan, and our approach to incremental deals remains disciplined. They need to create attractive returns by leveraging assets we already own and preserving capital for higher return strategic growth. for the third quarter PCF revenue and CapEx for $66 million and $269 million respected. Before turning to the outlook, I want to highlight the strength of our balance sheet and the actions we've taken to get there. More than 80% of our debt is fixed rate and only approximately $2.4 billion is tied to SOFR. A 25 basis point change in rates affects annual interest expense by approximately $6 million. Put simply, our exposure to changes in interest rates is limited and immaterial in our ability to deliver against our objectives. We've also significantly extended our maturity profile with only approximately $1.2 billion of debt coming due over the next five years, providing meaningful financial flexibility. That profile reflects the proactive steps we've taken to refinance debt, simplify the capital structure, and reduce annual interest expense by nearly half a billion dollars. Our balance sheet is more resilient, our near-term maturities are manageable, and we intend to continue using proceeds and cash generation to reduce debt. As Kate discussed, we're accelerating the decommissioning of our copper network. I'll say it again, copper is worth more mined than it is operated. For this business, revenue is the wrong metric. We estimate that the initial four states represent approximately 25% of our copper network. This is a methodical market-by-market transition focused on moving customers to modern services, working through regulatory requirements, and removing the stranded cost of infrastructure that no longer fits the future portfolio. The economics extend well beyond the value of the recovered copper. Decommissioning reduces the operating and capital costs required to maintain legacy infrastructure, simplifies systems and facilities, and allows us to redirect capital towards higher return strategic opportunities. At current copper prices, we expect to generate between $1 and $1.5 billion in pre-tax net copper proceeds across our footprint over the next five years. This will build over time and depending on customer migration, regulatory approvals, recovery costs, and market conditions. Put simply, legacy can generate cash in two ways, through the services that remain in operation and over time through the decommissioning and monetization of the underlying assets. That cash can support debt reduction and investment in our strategic portfolio. Now, moving to guidance, we're reaffirming our full year outlook. For the full year, we expect adjusted EBITDA of $3.1 to $3,3 billion, capital expenditures of 3.2 to 3.4 billion dollars and free cash flow excluding special items and cash tax payments related to our mass markets fibered the home digest vestiture of 1.9 to 2.1 billion dollars each quarter we continue to show significant progress against our strategic and financial objectives of driving operating leverage delivering higher margins and lower capital intensity through digitally delivered services the future of lumen is being built on strategic growth not on preserving the past. We have a stronger, more resilient balance sheet, limited exposure to changes in interest rates, and a disciplined capital model. TCF allows us to leverage assets we already own, while copper decommissioning provides another opportunity to remove legacy costs, generate cash, and reduce debt. Together, that puts us in a stronger position to invest in the strategic opportunities ahead, while continuing to strengthen the financial foundation of the company. The story of Lumen is building what comes next. Kate, back to you. Thanks, Chris. But before we open it up for questions, I want to thank our Lumen team. The progress we're talking about today is all because of their hard work and relentless focus on our customers. Let me leave you with three things. Number one, we are executing really well. We're delivering on what we said we would deliver. Adjusted EBITDA is inflecting. Strategic revenue is growing, and our balance sheet gives us the flexibility to finish what we started. Number two, we're starting to see the operating leverage. We're landing customers on the platform, and they're coming back and buying more services. That one-plus-n motion is really important because it strengthens the economics of every single connection. And thirdly and finally, we'RE innovating again. Intelligent Internet, Alkira, and the work we'RE doing around risk-aware networking, we'RE solving increasingly complex problems for our customers and expanding what the Lumen platform can do. We're executing, the economics are getting better, and we're innovating for what comes next. Operators, let's take some questions. Thank you. If you would like to register a question, please press star followed by the one on your telephone keypad. If your question has been answered and you would Like to withdraw your question, please press Star 1 again. One moment, please, for the first question. Your first question comes from the line of Michael Rollins with Citi. Please proceed with your question. Hi, good afternoon, and thanks for taking the question. Two topics that I could. So first, curious, as you look at the growth of strategic sales that you're achieving, how much of that is coming from new customers, new relationships and opportunities relative to the existing customers and just expanding the wallet for those that you have. And then secondly, I'm curious as it relates to the PCF deals, are you seeing from those hyperscalers any change in timing for when those data centers are coming online? And if there is a delay in those data center, does that attract an ability to get paid on the schedule that you anticipate? Thanks. Now, I'll start with PCF. There's no change in timing other than continued pressure to go faster on everything we're doing. And we're pretty pleased with our performance at delivering all 5 million miles, you know, two-plus months earlier. So that's going extremely well, and we're not seeing any slowdown. Regarding strategic sales and the increase, so there is that sort of, you know, new entrant, the deal clouds, I talked about, you know, the five times number with, you know consumption of waves. But remember, we have business with the lion's share of companies in North America already. And so when we talk about what's new, it's really a conversion to digital. First, they they try a little bit of as then they expand and they do more ports. And now doing more services so the expansion is really in this recognition that we're seeing that there's a requirement to modernize networks and that's it's not just about a new connection or higher capacity it's about new capability and wanting to buy like they like they do with cloud on the compute and the storage side next question your next question comes in the line of frank lewis and with raymond james your line is open please proceed with your question great thank you i just wanted to touch base on the long-term guide and are you still on track to hit the positive top line growth inflection and you know how is that cadence progressing And then if you – I apologize if I missed this, but maybe walk us through a little bit of your wavelength growth. Are you seeing any issues getting customers connected or getting hardware that customers need, and how is that business progressing? Thanks. Hey, Frank. It's Chris. I'll take that. Look, I think even before we jump into the results, I want to highlight something that we're seeing clearly with each passing day, And that is the demand for our network is really growing in a significant way. And and that's really what's what's underlying the results as it relates to waves growth. It really is. It goes back to enterprise preparing themselves for the inference phase and the investments that we made in the network rapid routes. A lot of our metro rings and expansions. Those are the things that allow us to light up 100 and 400 gig connectivity really rapidly. And no, I mean, yes, there's obviously issues in the market in terms of equipment supply and whatnot, but we've been prepared for that and that has not slowed us down. As it relates to the total business revenue inflection, it is still 2028. That's what we're modeling even with kind of accelerating the exit from copper. The offset in there is largely driven by Alkira. But if there's one thing that I'd like to leave investors with. It's that while we're committed to that and we'll still continue to talk to it, don't get too wrapped up in the total revenue growth. This is about a business internally that is 55% of our portfolio growing every quarter and growing double digits. There's a tremendous growth company inside of Lumen. And the decisions that we make on legacy have been and will continue to be focused on one thing, cash generation. And so as I said in my prepared remarks, we are not focused on legacy revenue declines. Those are obviously in the total. We are not going to shift our focus to be focused on Legacy revenue declimes. All of our revenue focuses on driving strategic and legacy is about harvesting cash. And as soon as the market understands that and really starts to model our business that way, I think the inherent value that's inside of this company will get unlocked. All right, great. Thank you. Next question? Yep. Your next question comes from the line of Greg Williams with TD Cohen. Your line is open. Please proceed with your question. Great. Thanks for taking my questions. First one is just on the digital revenue. You hit $56 million. That's up, I think, $17 million quarter-per-quarter. Chris, you mentioned eventually hitting a J curve. Are we starting to ramp that up, or is it too early where there's some one-time benefits in there? think about that long-term gold 500 million plus in digital revenue um second question just on the copper decommissioning you mentioned a billion to a billion and a half is that the sale of the copper plus the opex savings um over the next five years and can you help us with the cadence you said you'd go market by market uh is it going to be sort of linear front-end loaded back loaded thanks um yeah so uh as i'll answer the copper uh first the uh the billion to a billion and a half dollars is really the uh impact the net impact free tax of the mind copper uh and so that is um that excludes kind of the OpEx savings. The CapEx that we spend today is probably in the neighborhood of two to $300 million a year to keep those networks alive. And so over time, we'll see those CapEx efficiencies as well. And that's why we can generate the cash that we're generating. As it relates to the first four states, think of those first four States as being roughly a quarter of our footprint and therefore a quarter of that cash generation opportunity. On digital, J-Curve, I'd say it's a little early, but we're seeing signs of encouragement. When we look at individual customer data, we're starting to see, as Kate mentioned, the adoption of more services. And if you think about this in kind of a land and expand mindset, it's really two things. It's continuing to sign customers and drive port adoption. but then beyond that, it's about driving services. So the growth, I would say, is really more organic than that, but all the signs are super positive that we're seeing the adoption that we'd love to see. Kate, I don't know if you want to add any of that. Yeah, I mean, you know, we're having trouble modeling it. We beat our internal targets for the year much earlier than we expected, you know. And so we'll keep putting that back into the model. And I think the fact that we combined DIA with IOD for that one Lumen Intelligent internet business is going to basically allow us to show how digital is growing at scale, which I think is a nice step in the maturity curve for us. Got it. Thank you. Your next question comes from the line of Sebastiano Petty with JP Morgan. Your line is open. Please proceed with your question. Hi, thank you for taking the question. Just, I guess, sticking with Greg's question there on digital. Up 86% in the quarter. What's the ex-alcara growth? Just a little bit helpful. You're talking about beating your internal metrics just so we can have a baseline there. And then sticking with the copper theme as well. So the OPEC savings are not necessarily included within that 1 to 1.5 billion. You obviously have the cost transformation program that's going to be accelerating, or a run rate cost savings should be accelerating extending 2027. Any way to contextualize or frame how much incremental opex savings could come out of the as you decommission the copper you talked about you know it's a quarter of your network maybe it's quarter of the savings obviously it's not going to hit in 27 but just maybe help us think about the glide path to those opex savings timing is it back and loaded over the next five years thank you yeah uh so as it relates to digital look i want to answer your question but i also want to be careful here about setting expectations. What we're really focused on is driving total digital sales and revenue growth. And that's what we're going to pivot to next quarter because that's frankly the only thing that really matters in driving our transformation. So I don't want to get in the habit of trying to break out every single piece of what's in there. What I will tell you is that if you exclude Alkira from the results for the quarter, which got included, is we saw very healthy double-digit growth in our digital business, you know, excluding that acquisition. And so, we're very pleased with that. As it relates to copper, here's how I would think about it. Yes, there's op-ex that will come out. There's obviously revenue that will come out, too. And, so, you have, you know, EBITDA being a negative impact from that loss of revenue. That is offset by the EBITDA that is generated from the copper sales. So again, I would think about it as an EBITda modeling exercise. And I don't think you need to change your models for EBITда on legacy versus what we've already shared with you for that reason. So think about It in that regard, the revenue and OPEX impacts are offset by that copper mining. In terms of timing, Yeah, the four states, it's not going to happen overnight at the beginning of the year. There's a lot of work that has to be done. We have to work with regulators. We have work with our customers on transferring service. We're committed to that and making this as good of an experience for everyone as possible. So we would expect that a lot of this will start to impact the back part of next year. Just to quickly follow up, Chris, I mean, Sorry, yeah, just to follow up there. I mean, just thinking about, I mean one of your larger peers says there's a mismatch between when the revenue comes out and when the OPEX comes out. Is that kind of, do we think about it in that same fashion as well? Because you can take all the revenue out and shut off customers and no longer sell services in X, Y, and Z market. But then before you get approval to shut down the wire center, Yeah. There's a little bit of a timing mismatch. Is that still how we should think about it as well? I think that's, yeah, no, I think that's a very fair characterization. I mean, obviously we don't guide those metrics every quarter and we're not going to start to. When we give guidance for next year, we'll let you know what we think those impacts are for the year. But again, in total, in terms of where we deliver EBITDA and cash to the market, we really don't think there's any material change to what we showed at Investor Day. Thank you. Your next question comes from the line of Eric Lubchow with Wells Fargo. Your line is open. Please proceed with your question. Hi, two questions, if I could. You know, first, I think in your EBITTA guide, Chris, it implies a pretty big step up in the fourth quarter. So maybe you could kind of help help bridge Q3 to Q4 for us would be helpful. And then secondly, kind of a higher level question given the results of the midterms yesterday and some questions around the potential for data center builds to potentially slow, particularly in markets like Texas. Maybe you could talk about whether that has any impact, if at all, to your PCF builds, any associated services like waves that you might sell into those data center markets that would be. Helpful. Thank you. Okay. I'll take your second question first. You know, it's exactly why we pivoted away from being a legacy telco. We're no longer dependent on selling the next physical link in order to grow, right? we make money by moving data from anywhere to anywhere. We're agnostic to cloud, we're aggnostic to carrier, we'RE monetizing network intelligence, and it's helping us grow at higher margins. So if anything, if there's a slowdown in data center build, it forces enterprises to have to make more out of the assets that they already have, which means moving the workloads where there's available GPUs. And that's what we do. We're the platform that enables exactly that. So it's really, there's not a dependency for growth on the number of data centers being built out this year or not. And in terms of our PCF deals, I've reiterated this several times. The only edict that we get from the hyperscalers is please go faster. Yeah. And as it relates to your first question on fourth quarter, if you look at our historical fourth quarter versus third quarter seasonality, that'll take you right to where we need to be to deliver guidance for the year. So it's really seasonality. And I'd say the only over delay to that is, as I said in my prepared remarks, we're well on our way to delivering our modernization and simplification savings for and ultimately the billion for next year. And that obviously is impacting things as well as margins start to improve. Next question. Your next question comes to the line of Sam McHugh with BNP Paribas. Your line is open. Please proceed with your question. Yeah, thanks for the question. Chris, I think you talked about the medium term guidance maybe not changing as alkira offsets that quicker exit from copper then you also said that copper sales might offset the copper declines happening faster i just want you to clarify kind of what you were trying to explain on the on the medium term guidance maybe and then just on the pcf deals you know i think revenue this quarter was down about 30 percent last first last quarter i assume it's just lumpiness but is there anything happening on like revenue recognition for the pdf deals? Because I think you've guided to $250 million of revenue this year, but you're already at $240 million-ish, I think. So any update there would be helpful. Thanks. Yeah, on the PCF, that was really driven by the state of California that got recognized last quarter. So that was chunkiness. As it relates to just the underlying trend on PCF. As Kate said, we're actually ahead of schedule. And revenue gets recognized, as we've discussed in the past, based off of when segments are delivered. As it relates to the copper piece in terms of how the declining revenue associated with sales is offset by the timing of the copper sales, again for any given year we view that as relatively awash in EBITDA because again there's cost to mine the copper so you have you're replacing a p l that is revenue uh driven by sales and opex driven by sails to generate ebitda with a pnl that is driven by copper-based mining sales which has costs associated to mine and delivers in that ebit number and again in total broadly uh we don't think that has a material impact on uh your modeling based off what we showed at investor day to sebastiano's question yes we obviously will incur some expense before we incur that revenue but again when we give guidance for next year we'll give you all those details but we don't expect a major impact awesome thanks richard as a reminder to register for a question press the star followed by the one on your telephone your next question comes from the line of batia levy with ubs your line is open please proceed with your question. Great. Thank you. Can you provide a bit more color on the pricing environment of these new services that you're ramping and customer willingness to pay for extra security, risk-aware network, I think you mentioned. And as you sell these next-gen services, how does the pricing of the existing connectivity ramp? And then maybe a quick follow on the PCF. The capex required to build a PCF deal seems to be coming in a little bit lighter than expected. How do they compare to your expectations? Are you seeing some efficiencies as you leverage your strategic assets? Thank you. So I'll start and pass it, Chris. On the pricing question, Batia, basically the only way to provide value when you're just selling the physical link, like the legacy telco value proposition was discounts and the way that that's changing with our model is we're able to deliver more advanced services that you can't get anywhere else and they're tied to business outcomes that really matter you know real-time inventory management for retail or you know, real- time fraud detection services for financial services companies etc. and that puts us in a fundamentally different spot with a different buyer and a different conversation around value the other thing that the cloud platform does is it drives massive simplicity and a centralization of how you operate your network so instead of managing uh firewall policy locally across you know hundreds of different uh geographic points you can do it centrally and there's inherent value in that there's cost savings they they need to buy less equipment they need to have less people do it so what we're finding is that we're able to sell these higher margin services which is what we were describing earlier you know not only are we not rolling trucks and managing things separately but we're able uh to you know get customers to buy more of these services because it's having a dramatic effect on their business long gone is the race to the bottom on commoditized fiber only the intelligence layer that we put in there is is giving us pricing power again chris yeah and i i think that's really the critical point bacha i i can't tell you how many conversations i had with cfo peers where the requirements to manage the network and the cost associated with managing the network in an ai world are becoming untenable there's security risks there's data sovereignty issues um and there's massive complexity and and what that means is we're not talking about the cost of the waves anymore that is long over we're talking about total cost of ownership and running the network in an ai world and what lumen has can reduce the total cost of ownership for our enterprise customers in a way that no one else can deliver that's the conversations that we're having today as it relates to PCF look there's there's ebbs and flows I would say two things super super pleased with the work that our teams are doing to deliver network ahead of schedule for our customers and I would say that we are definitely within budget on the cost side and there's there's puts and takes obviously along the way but super pleased with where that's all netting out all right thank you your last question comes from the line of nook del deo with boffett nathanson your line is open please proceed with your question All right. Thanks for fitting me in. First question, maybe on the margins. So, Chris, you highlighted the strategic versus legacy direct margins. It was 80% strategic versus 65% legacy. How much of that 15-point differential is a function of the underlying on-net versus off-net mix difference? And how much is a fonction of lower cost to serve more generally? I would say that it's more driven by the lower cost to serve and the scalability. I mean, I think you're touching on a very important point, and I want to be super transparent. Clearly, when we have an on-net customer taking that NAS port and lighting up the first service, the margins are going to be better than they are if that endpoint is an off-net location. After that, every single service gets delivered at the same margin because it's delivered digitally. So as we've leveled the playing field in terms of our ability to provide customers solutions everywhere, whether it's on-net or off-net, as we drive that scalability, we really drive the operating leverage that Kate talks about. And over time, that difference in margin becomes relatively inconsequential. So it truly is about land and expand. And what I mean by that more clearly is, I think there would be CFOs who have historically sat in telecom saying, oh, don't do off-net, don'T do off net, because it's going to hurt our margins. Given the opportunity that lies ahead, we are going as fast as we can to provide a unified networking environment for our customers across all of their locations. And we're going to drive the margin expansion through expansion of digital services. Okay, great. That's a helpful call, Chris. Thank you. Can I ask one on the sales you noted as well, the strategic sales? what sort of book-to-bill cycle should we be thinking about so we can kind of get a sense as to when this hits the P&L? And just to be clear, do the strategic sales figures you cited include or exclude PCF? So strategic does include PCF. And again, we've given you those numbers. And frankly, one of the reasons why I've given You those numbers is it actually doesn't have a dramatic impact on strategic growth and because those sales as they get booked are paid for up front over time it'll actually hurt growth because there's no kind of inflation adjustment on the pricing they paid up front and uh and therefore there is no adjustments um so i think that's you know that's the the big overall impact there uh what was the beginning of your question i'm sorry lost it oh sorry the uh the book to bill you know so so so the things are booked about entry looking this quarter once we start to see that flowing through the uh through the revenue line i i well i think we are actually starting to see it flow through the revenue line now so sales really started to strengthen in the second quarter uh you know and and as we've moved through the year have been at or above our expectations so So I think what you're really starting to see in the results of the third quarter is that coming to fruition. In the near term, I think we still are looking at that roughly one quarter on that initial NAS port install because it's a mix of things. In some cases, as we're reporting these NAS adoption metrics, we're able to go provide that connectivity right away. In other cases, customers aren't ready yet. They've committed to the sale. They signed a contract, but they need to do work internally before we can deliver those circuits. So I'd say on average that that quarter-ish delay is about right. Over time, once those ports are installed, again, we expect that to dramatically shorten because those services are delivered digitally. And so too early to call yet, but that's where things sit today. All right. Thanks, Chris. There are no further questions at this time. I will now turn the call back to Kate for closing remarks. Thank you all for your questions and the end times that you took to spend with us today. Lumen's building the trusted network for AI, and we look forward to sharing more with you next quarter. See you soon. That concludes the conference call for today. We thank you for your participation and ask that you please disconnect your line have a great day everyone