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Haver Analytics·

October Employment Report: Firm in Most Respects

Summary

  • Nonfarm payrolls rose 165K in October, surpassing the expected 65K increase.
  • August and September payrolls were revised upward by a combined 84K.
  • The six-month average monthly payroll increase is now 82K, compared to 10K in 2025.
  • Business services employment jumped 70K, the strongest gain since mid-2022.
  • Business services contributed an additional 52K jobs to the August and September revisions.
  • Manufacturing posted its fifth consecutive monthly gain of 19K and added 10K to revisions.
  • Health-care employment increased by 55K, bringing the sector close to its long-run average.
  • The headline unemployment rate dipped 0.1 percentage point to 4.1%.
  • Job growth in the household survey exceeded labor force growth by 42K (463K vs 421K).
  • The broad unemployment rate (U-6) rose 0.3 percentage point to 7.9%.
  • Involuntary part-time workers and those who stopped searching for jobs in the past four weeks both increased.
  • Average hourly earnings rose 0.4% in October, the firmest increase of the year.
  • Year-over-year average hourly earnings growth stands at 3.1%.
  • CPI inflation exceeded average hourly earnings growth due to a surge in energy prices.
  • The average workweek remained at 34.4 hours for the third consecutive month.
  • Employment and earnings data were collected from surveys taken during the week containing the 12th day of the month.

- Payrolls posted a solid gain; Aug/Sep revised upward. - Headline unemployment edged lower, although broad unemployment rose. - Average hourly earnings exceeded expectations.

Keywords
USA