The Economist

Covid-19: the right way to leave lockdown

Edward Carr

Governments worldwide are navigating a complex, non-linear path to reopen economies by balancing staggered social distancing measures with the deployment of digital contact-tracing tools like those pioneered by Apple, Google, and China. While nations such as Germany and Denmark implement strict school and business protocols, experts warn that effective recovery depends on massive investments in testing infrastructure, PPE, and a workforce of 100,000 tracers to avoid costly lockdowns. Simultaneously, the global health community is racing to resolve manufacturing bottlenecks for three vaccine candidates to prevent "vaccine nationalism" and ensure equitable distribution to healthcare workers in developing nations.

Covid-19: Why is America's death toll so high?

Idrees Colun

On April 11, the United States surpassed Italy as the global leader in coronavirus fatalities with over 20,500 deaths, a crisis exacerbated by early federal inaction and delayed testing rollout. A disjointed national response driven by structural federalism and deep partisan polarization resulted in divergent state policies, from New York's strict lockdowns to Florida's prolonged delays, which allowed unchecked viral transmission across borders. Compounded by a fragmented healthcare system lacking universal coverage and adequate ICU capacity, analysts attribute the mounting death toll to this combination of erratic leadership, systemic fragmentation, and low public compliance in certain regions.

How Cape Town became a murder capital

Craven Engel, Gordon

Cape Town currently faces a national crisis with a murder rate that has doubled over the past decade, driven by entrenched gang networks, police corruption, and the lingering legacy of apartheid-era segregation. In response, the South African government has deployed military forces and established a specialized anti-gang unit while President Cyril Ramaphosa warns of the immediate threat to the 100,000-strong organized criminal underworld. Despite these aggressive interventions and community-led ceasefire initiatives involving reformed gang members, officials acknowledge that resolving the deep-rooted socio-economic drivers of violence will require decades of sustained effort beyond mere policing.

How to treat covid-19

In response to the 2020 SARS-CoV-2 pandemic, scientists are repurposing existing antivirals like Remdesivir and hydroxychloroquine to target the viral replicase system while the World Health Organization launches a global megatrial to evaluate their efficacy. Although President Donald Trump championed hydroxychloroquine as an immediate solution, rigorous clinical data remains limited compared to laboratory findings, prompting the trial to seek evidence of marginal therapeutic benefits. This strategy aims to rapidly reduce hospital stays and alleviate health system strain while the definitive long-term vaccine solution continues to develop over the estimated 1.5 to 2 years.

How Africa could one day rival China

Ida, Emabet Tesfaye, Asifa Mengesha, Bashadou

Projections indicate Africa's population will reach 4.5 billion by 2100, yet studies suggest that expanding female education could peak and subsequently reduce this demographic while unlocking a 10% GDP boost through equal workforce participation. As Ethiopia leads industrialization via the Eastern Industry Zone and high-value horticulture, experts warn that diversifying into service sectors and modernizing agriculture with smart technologies are essential to overcome low productivity and chronic infrastructure deficits. Despite facing climate vulnerabilities and recent pandemic disruptions, the continent's transition toward democratic governance and strategic investment in energy and education positions it to become a primary global growth engine.

Covid-19: how bad will it be for the economy?

Philip Coggan

Global markets have plummeted due to the pandemic-induced collapse of commodity prices and a historic surge in unemployment, triggering the fastest bear market decline on record as investors rapidly devalued future profit projections. Governments worldwide have deployed over $2.2 trillion in fiscal relief to balance economic survival against strict lockdowns that aim to prevent a spike in mortality rates, even though models warn that prolonged restrictions could slash U.S. and Eurozone GDP by one-third. While early indicators from China suggest a V-shaped recovery is possible, economists caution that restoring global supply chains and achieving economic stability will require a slow, cautious approach as nations navigate the trade-off between public health and financial contraction.

Covid-19: more questions about coronavirus, answered

Ed Carr, Alok Jha, Edward Carr

Policymakers and economic analysts are addressing the severe trade-off between strict disease containment and deepening economic contraction, with US Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin warning that unemployment could reach 20% without intervention. The event evaluates the likely L-shaped recession trajectory while examining how global aid, healthcare disparities, and the virus's seasonal mutation patterns will shape long-term recovery. Ultimately, the discussion emphasizes the necessity of international cooperation to restore scientific trust and accelerate vaccine development within an 18-to-24-month window despite rising nationalistic trends.

How noise pollution threatens ocean life

Michel Andre, Claire

Research led by scientists like Michel Andre has identified human-induced noise from shipping, sonar, and seismic exploration as a critical global threat causing mass strandings and acoustic trauma across thousands of marine species. To address this, the scientific community is utilizing 150 global listening platforms and artificial intelligence to distinguish natural sounds from anthropogenic noise, revealing a 60% reduction in whale communication capabilities in the Northern Hemisphere. Future industry strategies now prioritize integrating noise reduction technologies and developing non-invasive alternatives to ensure operational efficiency while eliminating the transient but severe acoustic disturbances threatening marine ecosystems.

Covid-19: your questions about coronavirus, answered

Ed Carr, Alok Jha, Edward Carr

A unique global crisis combining simultaneous supply and demand shocks has erased $23 trillion in market value while disproportionately devastating developing nations and specific industries like aviation and hospitality. Political risks are rising as states consolidate emergency powers in countries such as Hungary and China, even as health systems struggle with limited testing data and varying mortality rates. Although vaccines remain the primary long-term solution, interim strategies are shifting toward oscillating lockdowns, targeted antibody testing, and urgent clinical trials involving existing antiviral drugs.

The new coronavirus: how should the world respond?

As the global pandemic escalated to 565 deaths and triggered market panic in mid-March, governments enforced unprecedented lockdowns while grappling with a stark trade-off between life-saving suppression and severe economic collapse. Analysis of China's strategy and modeling by Imperial College London demonstrated that only sustained social distancing could prevent critical care from exceeding capacity, though economic indicators like China's 20% retail decline signaled the high cost of such measures. Meanwhile, contrasting successes in Singapore and South Korea highlighted the necessity of aggressive testing and clear communication, even as experts warned that effective antibody testing and vaccines remain months away from resolution.

Is big tech good for your health?

Dan Vedat, Camilo Barcines

Major technology firms are aggressively integrating into the healthcare sector by leveraging vast datasets and AI to shift medicine from reactive treatment to predictive analysis, exemplified by initiatives like Verily's Project Baseline and strategic alliances with entities such as Walgreens and Ascension. Despite the potential to eliminate $600 billion in annual systemic inefficiencies, these digital transitions face significant hurdles, including legacy data silos, a ten-year lag in digital readiness, and substantial public skepticism regarding data privacy and commercial misuse. Consequently, governments and health systems must urgently establish robust governance frameworks to balance the life-saving benefits of technological adoption with the imperative of maintaining patient trust.

Mangroves: how they help the ocean

Lillian, Mark Huxham

Global mangrove ecosystems face imminent collapse due to industrial expansion, prompting the launch of Mikoko Pomoja in Kenya's Ghazi Bay as the world's first community-led project funded by carbon credits. This initiative has successfully generated over $60,000 for local communities while sequestering significant carbon in sediment, effectively incentivizing conservation over resource extraction. Although experts caution that such offsets cannot replace broader policy reforms, the model is gaining traction as a replicable strategy for marine protection and economic stability across the region.

Election 2020: How do America's presidential primaries work?

John Prideaux

Presidential candidates navigate a fluid nomination landscape defined by primaries and a declining number of caucuses to secure delegates for the summer national convention. The 2020 cycle highlighted the volatility of this process, marked by administrative failures in Iowa and the strategic consolidation of delegate allocation on Super Tuesday, where over one-third of Democratic delegates are now distributed. While conventions typically ratify predetermined outcomes, contested scenarios remain possible through unbound delegate voting, after which the focus shifts immediately to securing the general election.

Election 2020: What could Super Tuesday mean for the future of the Democratic Party?

John Prideaux, Jon Priddow, Charlotte Howard, Jon Fassman

Bernie Sanders' insurgent campaign has capitalized on the collapse of traditional Democratic establishment structures to challenge a fragmented moderate field, effectively reversing the 2008 consensus that party endorsement guarantees delegate success. Despite Joe Biden's decisive South Carolina victory creating a potential two-horse race, a dominant performance by Sanders on Super Tuesday—particularly in California and Texas—could secure an uncatchable delegate lead that forces the party toward a contested convention in Milwaukee. While some donors remain ideologically opposed to the progressive nominee, the shared imperative to defeat Donald Trump is increasingly driving financial support toward Sanders despite the absence of a unified moderate alternative.

How can the Democrats beat Trump?

Trump

Donald Trump leverages his incumbent status and base mobilization strategies to secure a competitive 2020 reelection bid, while Democrats prioritize reassembling the 2008 Obama coalition to regain the Electoral College path through the critical Midwest states of Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania. The party's nomination process reflects a strategic divergence between moderate candidates like Joe Biden and Amy Klobuchar, who target swing voters, and progressive figures such as Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren, who advocate for a high-risk economic populism platform. Ultimately, the election outcome hinges on whether the Democratic nominee can successfully unify this fractured coalition against Trump's referendum-style campaign without alienating key demographic groups in swing states.