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Do the after math: how Trump won

The EconomistTrump, Jason Palmer, Dan Rosenheck, Slavia, Vishnu Padmanabhan
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  • Republicans are projected to secure a "trifecta" by winning the presidency, the Senate, and potentially the House, though House outcomes remain uncertain with scenarios for a Democratic flip considered plausible.
  • Donald Trump is predicted to win the popular vote and secure a decisive Electoral College victory by sweeping all swing states, driven by a national polling error of two to three percentage points that consistently underestimates Republican support across three consecutive elections.
  • A significant demographic shift occurred between 2020 and 2024, characterized by a two-to-three percentage point swing toward Republicans among all groups, with Latino voters (particularly men) shifting by a historic margin while Black voters remained a stable Democratic base.
  • Senate outcomes are mixed; Democrats face a difficult contest in Pennsylvania but may retain their seat in Nevada, where a slice of voters split their tickets by voting for a Republican presidential candidate and a Democratic senator.
  • The U.S. religious market in India is currently valued at $60 billion and is projected to more than double by 2032, supported by increasing public displays of faith and direct government funding for faith-based businesses.
  • ADHD reclassification suggests that for two-thirds of people, symptoms do not cause daily distress and may not qualify as a disorder, indicating that non-medical treatment approaches could improve mental health, societal integration, and performance in work and school.
  • A subscriber-only event is scheduled for November 8th at 4 p.m. UK time to analyze investor expectations regarding the U.S. economy under a second Trump administration.