Dan Rosenheck
Showing 1–4 of 4 transcripts.
- The Economist6 min
What does The Economist’s election model predict for the midterms | The Economist
*The Economist*'s forecasting model predicts a 98% likelihood of Democrats flipping the House while estimating only a 48% chance of securing Senate control, heavily influenced by the President's low approval ratings and historical midterm trends. The Senate outlook hinges on winning key races in North Carolina and Michigan alongside successful Republican recruitments in Ohio and Alaska, as the party requires a 51-seat majority to overcome a structurally favorable map. Although the House projection assumes current district lines remain intact despite potential judicial interventions in Virginia and Florida, the Senate forecast explicitly accounts for primary uncertainty and the critical variable of candidate quality in competitive states.
- The Economist24 min
Do the after math: how Trump won
Trump, Jason Palmer, Dan Rosenheck, Slavia, Vishnu Padmanabhan
Kamala Harris conceded the 2024 election as Republicans secured a trifecta amid a broad repudiation of the Biden administration, while polling errors and a significant Latino voter realignment cemented Donald Trump's victory. Concurrently, experts are redefining ADHD as a spectrum of executive function rather than a binary disorder, urging a shift toward environmental accommodations and neurodiversity models over traditional medicalization. Meanwhile, India's religious sector is undergoing a massive digital transformation with fundraising surging to $51 million, driven by a cultural embrace of faith-tech and a projected religious market value exceeding $60 billion.
- The Economist23 min
Coming up Trump: our election model puts Harris behind
Trump, Harris, Rosie Bloor, Jason Palmer, Dan Rosenheck, Simon Wright, Shailesh Chitnas
The Economist's latest forecasting model has shifted to give Donald Trump a 56% probability of winning the U.S. presidency, narrowing the Electoral College gap in key swing states after consolidating undecided and third-party voters. Meanwhile, Tesla introduced its autonomous Cyber Cab and RoboVan with plans to undercut competitors on price, though the event triggered a 9% stock decline due to investor skepticism over regulatory hurdles and a lack of concrete deployment timelines. Finally, Microsoft marked Excel's 40th anniversary by integrating AI assistants to maintain its dominance among 400 million paid users despite the software's historical role in significant data processing errors.
- The Economist22 min
America's next top-job model: our election forecast
Rosie Bloor, Jason Palmer, Dan Rosenheck, Natasha Loder, Caitlin Talbot
Recent polling indicates Donald Trump holds a 60% probability of winning the 2024 election despite legal convictions, as economic dissatisfaction drives a stable race in the Sunbelt states. Concurrently, global malaria progress has stalled due to drug resistance and funding gaps, prompting the rollout of the affordable R21 vaccine as a critical intervention tool. Meanwhile, the "tradwife" social media trend has garnered hundreds of millions of views by romanticizing domesticity, though labor statistics reveal this aesthetic remains largely performative rather than a mass workforce exodus.