Panel, Conference Presentation
Entrepreneurship & Essential Ingredients to U.S. Competitive Advantage
Competitive Risk Assessment:
- Panelists unanimously agree the U.S. is at risk of losing its competitive advantage due to complacency, regulatory barriers, and a lack of entrepreneurial momentum compared to global rivals like China and the Nordics.
- Julie Sweet (Accenture) warns the U.S. faces a "frog in the pot" scenario where dominance masks vulnerability to disruption, citing the U.S. education system ranking bottom-half in developed nations for math, reading, and science.
- Jim Clifton (Gallup) argues the U.S. is in "no growth" territory despite surface-level job gains, noting GDP per capita has been flat since the recession due to population growth outpacing productivity.
- Adina Friedman (NASDAQ) highlights that 94% of the 10 million jobs added in recent years were part-time or temporary, reflecting a lack of substantive economic expansion.
Key Statistical Trends:
- Startup formation in the U.S. has reached its lowest level in 40 years; per capita startup rates are described as "terrible."
- The number of U.S. public companies has declined from 8,000 two decades ago to roughly 3,700 today, with over 1,000 firms exiting public markets in the last 10 years alone.
- IPO activity has collapsed from 400 three years ago to approximately 100 last year.
- Only 950 U.S. companies employ 10,000 or more workers; in the 50,000–100,000 employee range, there are merely 18,000 businesses.
- 75% of the 400,000 people at Gallup are Millennials, yet this generation is not starting companies at rates comparable to previous cohorts.
Global Competitor Analysis:
- John Donohoe (Leonard Green & Partners) notes that while the U.S. retains structural advantages, China is currently the most competitive country by growth rate and scale.
- Sweden and the Nordic region are identified as superior innovators relative to their population size (30–40 million vs. 350 million U.S.), driven by specific tax policies and cultural incentives.
- Sweden's "individual investment account" tax model imposes a small tax on total assets rather than capital gains, incentivizing stock market participation; assets in these accounts grew 68% while account numbers doubled.
- The FinTech Innovation Lab, originally a New York partnership, has successfully replicated its model in London, Dublin, Hong Kong, and Sydney, demonstrating that innovation is not monopolized by the U.S.
Domestic Variations and Solutions:
- Clifton identifies Nashville as a model of "free enterprise" success compared to Memphis, despite both cities facing identical federal regulations, suggesting local culture and policy nuances drive divergent outcomes.
- Adina Friedman points to Sweden's data center boom (including Amazon) as a result of a holistic government approach balancing social stability with pro-business incentives.
- John Donohoe states Leonard Green & Partners pivots away from import-competing manufacturing and international retail, focusing instead on U.S. service businesses (e.g., car washes) that cannot be offshored.
- The panel emphasizes that 51% of billion-dollar startups and 40% of Fortune 500 companies were founded by immigrants, arguing that current immigration and H-1B restrictions threaten U.S. ingenuity.
Education and Skills Gap:
- The panel identifies a critical disconnect between high intellectual performance (IQ/standardized tests) and the "insatiable demand for independence" required for entrepreneurship.
- Clifton estimates only 75,000 U.S. children possess the potential to build large-scale enterprises, but the education system fails to identify and nurture them.
- Julie Sweet notes that while the U.S. excels at developing intellectual skills, it lacks mechanisms to early-identify and develop "high-potential" individuals with non-linear thinking.
- Adina Friedman and John Donohoe advocate for expanding apprenticeships, reskilling existing workforces (e.g., Accenture upskilling 70,000 in new IT), and private sector involvement in K-12 coding curricula.
Capital Market Dynamics:
- Friedman identifies the "Angel round" (Seed stage) as the primary bottleneck for capital formation due to high risk, while B and C rounds see increasing private capital influx.
- The NASDAQ is launching a venture fund to support mid-stage private companies, acknowledging that public markets are becoming less attractive due to disclosure burdens and tax policies.
- Panelists suggest making private securities more liquid and reducing onerous disclosure requirements could incentivize more small businesses to go public.
- Donohoe disputes the notion of a capital shortage for early-stage ideas, arguing the U.S. currently funds too many redundant "dopey apps" rather than struggling to find capital for breakthroughs.
Corporate Cultural Shifts:
- Accenture is restructuring its 400,000-person workforce to replace hierarchical rating systems with diverse, strength-based teams to foster internal innovation.
- Adina Friedman emphasizes that modern entrepreneurship takes different forms; while traditional small business formation is down, the rise of large tech platforms (Uber, Amazon) displaces the "gazillion coffee shops" that historically populated census data.
- The panel concludes that the private sector must actively partner with government to reskill workers displaced by automation and digital disruption to prevent social dislocation.