Interview, Fireside Chat
Nato 3.0: Will America defend Europe against Russia? | The Economist
- A US posture review is currently underway to determine intentions regarding forced military posture in Europe, addressing issues such as base access, overflight rights, and operational usage.
- A potential conflict in the 2028 or 2029 timeframe is anticipated as Europe remains a critical security theatre for the United States.
- The United States requires unfettered, open, and free access to its European bases for operations, though the US shift in strategic focus toward the Indo-Pacific has been ongoing.
- Basing and access issues are viewed as potential contentious elements, with Secretary of War noting that the situation and precedents mirror those from the late 1940s.
- Confidence exists that military leadership will provide rational advice during the decision-making process and that a resolution for friction regarding basing and access will be found.
- A UK commander is scheduled to assume command of the joint forces command in Norfolk immediately, coinciding with the ongoing strategic evaluations.
- The French extended nuclear deterrence posture, based on recent statements by President Macron, is still being developed, while the UK, US, and France plan to act as nuclear powers if attacked by a nuclear-armed state like Russia.
- Private and public reassurances have been received from the US confirming their continued willingness to provide a nuclear umbrella to Europe.