Conference Presentation, Panel, Fireside Chat
Preparing California for the Future of Work
Milken InstituteJane Oates, Jay Banfield, Rob Bonta, Ellen Junn, Phil Mathews, Eloy Ortiz Oakley, Ardine Williams
Aerospace Corporation Workforce and Hiring Trends
- FY17 revenue approached $1 billion, with projections to surpass this mark in 2018.
- The organization employed nearly 4,000 staff, with 73% in technical roles and over 750 holding PhDs.
- Record hiring is underway, with plans to hire over 500 employees this year, including 400 in technical roles and 299 interns.
- 42% of new hires are from diverse backgrounds, reflecting a strategic commitment to workforce diversity.
- Critical recruitment needs include software engineers, robotics specialists, cybersecurity experts, and electrical engineers.
California-Specific Industry Challenges
- A primary bottleneck is the shortage of engineers and scientists who possess current or eligible security clearances.
- The industry faces intense competition from technology firms and startups offering higher salaries, often poaching defense talent.
- An aging workforce is leading to increased retirements, exacerbating the talent gap.
- High cost of living in California and a general lack of public awareness regarding aerospace careers hinder recruitment.
- There is a noted trend of employees leaving the defense sector for non-traditional tech companies rather than other aerospace firms.
The "Middle Skills" Gap
- Nearly half of U.S. jobs are projected to be "middle-skilled" by 2024, defined as requiring more than a high school diploma but less than a four-year degree.
- A deficit of 12 million workers exists to fill these middle-skilled roles across the economy.
- Industry partners, such as Symantec, estimate 60,000 unfilled cybersecurity roles could be filled by candidates with specific training but no four-year degree.
- Requiring four-year degrees for roles that do not need them creates inflationary pressure on wages and distorts the labor market; 66% of surveyed employers acknowledge overlooking qualified candidates due to this requirement.
- The LinkedIn Economic Graph identifies the largest current skill gap nationally as "soft skills," specifically communication, teamwork, and collaboration.
Automation and Workforce Evolution
- Automation transforms job content rather than solely eliminating jobs; for example, Amazon fulfillment centers use robots to deliver items to associates rather than replacing them.
- New roles have emerged from automation, such as mechatronics and repair technicians, requiring upskilling of existing staff.
- Unlike the Industrial Revolution which took 60+ years for wages to recover, current technological changes are occurring at a pace that demands proactive skills development.
- Amazon reports creating over 250,000 full-time jobs in the U.S. and an average of 130 new jobs per week in California since 2013.
- Amazon's "Career Choice" program pays up to 95% of tuition for associates to train for roles outside Amazon that pay more than their current position.
Educational Institution Roles and Initiatives
- California Community Colleges (CCC): 115 colleges are partnering with employers and government to build curricula for the skilled workforce; the P-TECH model (9-14 academy) will allow students to earn an associate degree alongside high school.
- California State University (CSU): Produces over 100,000 graduates annually; has launched new master's degrees in cybersecurity and food safety to meet industry needs; offers competency-based and online credentials for upskilling.
- Legislative Investment: California invested an additional $1.3 billion in higher education this year and is pursuing tuition-free community college for the first year.
- Early Childhood: The legislature supports early childhood education initiatives, citing that 90% of brain development occurs by age five, creating a business case for pre-K investment.
Strategic Shift from Partnership to Integration
- Panelists argue that traditional "partnerships" are insufficient; the future requires "true integration" and "scale" to address income inequality and workforce gaps.
- The goal is to move beyond parallel systems to a single, aligned ecosystem where government, education, and industry co-design curricula and pathways.
- There is a call to scale successful local pilots, such as the LA Unified/Amazon cloud computing dual enrollment program, to a state-wide level.
- Emphasis is placed on "durable, transferable credentials" that allow workers to move between jobs and educational institutions without restarting their progress.
Apprenticeships, Internships, and Work-Based Learning
- Amazon's cloud support apprenticeship includes formal classroom training and paid on-the-job work, with apprentices earning ~70% of their final salary during the one-year program.
- Aerospace Corporation hires 300+ interns annually, converting many into full-time employees through summer and year-round paid programs.
- Pre-apprenticeship programs are identified as critical gateways for underrepresented groups and adults who lack foundational technical skills or algebraic capability.
- Internships are viewed as a method to "de-risk" hiring by allowing employers to evaluate candidates in real-world settings before making full-time commitments.
Soft Skills and Employability
- Soft skills are identified as the primary differentiator for hiring; identical technical resumes can be rejected if a candidate fails to demonstrate communication or "storytelling" abilities during an interview.
- Employability training must be explicit, covering norms like punctuality, business etiquette, and professional conduct, particularly for military transitions and first-generation college students.
- California State University has piloted the Stanford "Design Your Life" course to help students connect personal vision with professional goals and soft skill development.
- Success in acquiring soft skills often requires addressing systemic barriers (e.g., lack of transportation or childcare) that prevent young adults from mastering professional behaviors.
Barriers to Entry and Reform
- Security clearance processes often disqualify capable candidates based on minor past mistakes, creating a loss of talent for the defense industry.
- The panel supports "Ban the Box" initiatives and argues for the removal of barriers for individuals with prior convictions who have rehabilitated themselves.
- There is a consensus that the "one-and-done" education model is obsolete; workers will sustain 7-11 jobs after age 22, necessitating a focus on continuous upskilling and reskilling.
- California faces a funding shortfall in higher education, turning away 30,000 eligible students annually and driving graduates to out-of-state institutions.
Forward-Looking Statements and Advice
- Industry leaders urge employers to stop using four-year degrees as a blunt proxy for talent and to create alternative pathways for diverse candidates.
- Government is invited to be viewed as a collaborative partner rather than a regulator, particularly in funding and policy design.
- The immediate imperative is to "lean in" at the local level to scale successful programs rather than waiting for state-level solutions.
- The future workforce requires a moral imperative to attach as many Americans as possible to the labor market through foundational skills and proper job matching.