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Conference Presentation, Fireside Chat

Sam Wyly: 1,000 Dollars & an Idea

  • Upcoming Milken Institute Events:

    • No forums are scheduled for December.
    • January 22nd forum features Allen Tronson (President, California Institute for Regenerative Medicine) discussing stem cell research.
    • Private Associates breakfast meetings:
      • December 3rd: Mac McLarty (former White House Chief of Staff under Clinton) to discuss election outcomes.
      • December 9th: Russ Stanton (new Los Angeles Times editor) for a critique session on the newspaper.
    • 2009 Global Conference:
      • Scheduled for April 27–29, 2009.
      • Attendance is capped and expected to sell out; registration is urged immediately.
  • Sam Wiley's Background and Early Career:

    • Ancestry traces to 1667 in Maryland; relatives include a 1763 Princeton graduate (James Madison's contemporary).
    • Political Activity:
      • Served as an Electoral College elector in 1972 and 1976.
      • Initially supported Chuck Percy (1968); later voted for Nixon at the convention.
      • Chaired the President's Commission on Minority Business Enterprise; outcomes described as mixed.
      • Supported Obama in primaries and general election.
    • IBM Tenure:
      • Worked at IBM with Ross Perot; learned on IBM 650 (2,000 words of magnetic drum memory).
      • Left IBM due to lack of promotion; moved to Honeywell to compete against IBM.
      • Collaborated with Perot to advertise used IBM 1401s to bypass IBM's pricing control.
  • Entrepreneurial History and Ventures:

    • University Computing (1963): Early billion-dollar computer leasing company.
    • Bonanza Steakhouses (1967): Acquired USA Cafes; sold to John Kluge.
    • Earth Resources (1980): Oil refining and silver business sold.
    • Daytran: Founded to compete with MCI in the telecommunications sector.
    • Sterling Software (1981): Co-founded; sold in 2000 to AT&T and Computer Associates for $8 billion.
    • Michael Storrs: Purchased interest for $1 million; sold in 2006 for $6 billion.
    • Maverick Capital: Co-founded hedge fund; remains a major stakeholder.
    • Wiley Collection: High-fashion boutique venture on Rodeo Drive; deemed unsuccessful economically.
    • Green Mountain Energy: Founded in 1998 (11 years ahead of industry trend).
  • Green Mountain Energy Specifics:

    • Origin: Inspired by daughter Christiana's question regarding air pollution in 5th grade.
    • Funding: Failed initial IPO attempt (summer 1999); raised $300 million total ($150M from Wiley, $150M from partners) privately.
    • Partnership: British Petroleum (BP) acquired 25% stake; Wiley retains ~50%.
    • Strategy: Offered customers cleaner energy (wind/natural gas mix) at par with monopoly prices, or pure wind at 10% premium.
    • Geographic Focus:
      • Failed in California, Pennsylvania, and Ohio due to regulatory barriers favoring monopolies.
      • Succeeded in Texas due to free-market laws.
    • Financials: Projected $350 million revenue and $35 million cash profit for the current year; $21 million in dividends paid.
    • Risks: Lost $1 million due to Lehman Brothers bankruptcy (hedging) and further millions due to Hurricane Katrina.
  • Business Philosophy and Models:

    • Michael Storrs (Craft Stores): Acquired without visiting a store; success driven by decentralized management where store managers kept 15% of profits, earning more than corporate VPs.
    • Scaling: Emphasized proving profitability in a single unit before scaling to 10 or 100 locations.
    • Management Style: Prefers hiring capable presidents to execute operations; focuses on strategy rather than daily execution.
    • Failure: Admits to multiple failures, including the Data Transmission Company (founded to bust AT&T monopoly) and the Informatics acquisition, often citing market crashes or interest rate hikes.
  • Environmental Policy Proposals:

    • Carbon Tariff/Tax: Proposes a tariff on the carbon content of imported goods and an equivalent domestic tax, starting at $20/ton and rising annually.
    • Revenue Use: All revenue returned to taxpayers via reduction in payroll/Social Security/Medicare taxes (consumption tax replaces labor tax).
    • Global Necessity: Argues solutions must be global (e.g., addressing Chinese coal plants) to prevent "leakage."
    • Energy Efficiency: Supports Amory Lovins' view that efficiency is the first step; believes carbon pricing will drive innovation in wind, solar, and fuel efficiency.
    • Oil Price Volatility: Attributes price drops to supply/demand rather than manipulation; notes oil is cheaper today (inflation-adjusted) than in 1980.
  • Economic and Social Perspectives:

    • Entitlements: Links environmental tax plan to solving Social Security and Medicare solvency.
    • Auto Industry: Believes the competitive market and Chapter 11 bankruptcy laws will fix General Motors and similar companies without direct government bailouts.
    • Demographics: Views ethnic diversity as beneficial; asserts America remains a land of opportunity where assimilation is key, not a demographic threat.
    • Recession Outlook: Compares current economic downturn to the 1973–1975 period (47% stock market drop, doubling interest rates, gas lines).
    • Advice for President Obama:
      • Focus on green energy to create 5 million jobs.
      • Ensure renewable tax credits (e.g., wind energy) remain stable for 10 years.
      • Address entitlements through the carbon tax mechanism.
  • Personal Anecdotes and Influences:

    • Family: Six children, ten grandchildren; family always prioritized over business.
    • Education: Attended Michigan Business School (1970s) on a scholarship; studied statistics/programming on IBM 650.
    • Football: High school coach taught persistence and strategy ("size of the fight, not the dog"); led Delhi High School to a state championship.
    • Reading: Lifelong reader influenced by Gone with the Wind; parents read to him before the movie release.
    • Sustainability at Home: Uses recycled blue jeans as house insulation (suggestion from daughter Kelly).