Interview
Shun while it lasted: never-Trumpers’ fading sway
- Dick and Liz Cheney anticipate voting for Kamala Harris in the November election due to perceived dangers posed by Donald Trump.
- "Never Trump" Republicans plan to allocate $40 million for advertisements in swing states during the current election cycle.
- The Lincoln Project intends to deploy significant funds to shift specific voter blocs, including "Red Dawn" conservatives and "Dobbs dads," prior to the election.
- Pat Toomey intends to vote for neither major candidate despite the binary nature of the outcome, while some movement members advocate strictly for Harris to protect democracy.
- Charlie Sykes anticipates the "Never Trump" movement lacks followers and will fail to significantly change minds among persuadable voters.
- Economic data indicates the percentage of Republicans planning to vote for Trump rose from 80% to 90% since 2016, while Republican-leaning swing voters have not shifted since 2020.
- Polling suggests traditionalist "Never Trump" voters have already exited the Republican party, leaving little impact on those paying the least attention regardless of ads or endorsements.
- China's basic pension fund is projected to be depleted by 2035, prompting mandatory retirement age reforms that will keep grandparents in the workforce three to five years longer.
- China's current fertility rate of 1.1 is below the 2.1 stability threshold, and studies predict women with grandchild care are four times more likely to have a second child than those without.
- Experts warn that without grandparental childcare support, women may delay or forego having children, potentially until they are physically unable to do so.
- Policymakers face a circular crisis where raising the retirement age risks deepening the fertility decline or causing labor force drops if mothers leave work for childcare.
- Young people perceive increased difficulty entering the labor market due to older workers remaining employed longer, though economic analysis suggests extended work tenure could boost consumption and job creation.
- The Chinese government fears sustained backlash or protests over pension reforms could threaten national stability.
- Pet spending in America is projected to reach $261 billion by 2030, driven by millennials and Gen Z continuing to adopt pets over children.
- Younger pet owners are expected to increase veterinary visits and spending on gifts, with private equity investment in the veterinary sector likely leading to market consolidation in the US and UK.
- The luxury pet care market is anticipated to have no upper limit, with existing examples including private jets modified for animals.