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What's Next for Education Startups in 2019 (Part II)

  • The Chinese online education market is projected to reach nearly 300 million users and grow in value from $40 billion to $70 billion by 2020.
  • Market dynamics are expected to shift from formal education ending at age 22 to a model of ongoing lifelong learning to accommodate a dynamic workforce.
  • Current K-12 and college systems are predicted to evolve to incorporate continuous learning, supported by spending patterns that flatten over a lifetime rather than concentrating heavily in college years.
  • Spending distribution is expected to smooth out earlier in life for children and later in life for adults, driven by mobile-first usage and the inevitability of a mobile-only society.
  • Mobile platforms are anticipated to transition from ad-based models to direct brand monetization and subscription alternatives, with pay-per-course or sampling models favored over immediate subscription adoption.
  • The creator economy is expected to expand from a few top experts to include approximately 20 to 30 teachers per category, with rankings determined by student reviews and completion rates.
  • Content quality is predicted to improve as creators gain the ability to generate significant income from sharing expertise, while platforms may integrate physical goods and services like doorknobs or handyman services.
  • "Bite-sized" mobile classes are expected to enable daily, on-schedule learning, creating opportunities for new startups to monetize deep, long-tail expertise in an early-stage market.
  • Uncertainty remains regarding whether a single platform will dominate both hobby entertainment and business self-improvement categories.