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Why India’s election has stoked conflict
- Religious tensions are projected to escalate into retaliatory damage exceeding the harm initially inflicted by terrorist groups.
- Hindu nationalist organizations intend to mobilize the youth by promoting narratives of a Hindu nation, focusing on traditional culture and history to counter modernization and diverse cultural influences.
- Business operators involved in the beef trade face anticipated continued shutdowns and legal accusations for non-compliance if they maintain operations.
- The frequency of severe consequences, including lethal violence attributed to cow vigilante gangs, is expected to increase.
- Political leadership is assessed as having the dual potential to safeguard citizens from internal and external threats or to inflict significant harm if national peace is compromised.
- Public support for the nationalist agenda is correlated with economic downturns, including slowing growth and rising unemployment.
- The future trajectory of the nation remains uncertain, potentially leading toward further societal division or a return to historic secularism.