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Interview, Conference Presentation

Your money for a run? Campaign finance in America

  • Campaigns anticipate raising tens of millions of dollars within single-day periods following major news events, while political scientists predict television advertising will fail to significantly shift the hundreds of millions in voter opinions due to calcified views on the candidates.
  • Experts estimate advertising persuasion in swing states will influence less than a percentage point of voters, yet campaigns plan to spend an additional $20 to $25 million in states like Pennsylvania on advertising and get-out-the-vote operations to potentially shift the race by one or two points.
  • The Dutch government intends to implement its strictest asylum policy ever, potentially declaring a state of emergency to enact laws beyond normal scope, with the specific goal of creating a negative reputation to deter smugglers similar to Denmark's approach over the last six to ten years.
  • Experts warn that a Dutch state of emergency could allow the ruling government to bypass parliament and rule by decree, risking a gradual breakdown of the rule of law and increased autocracy, while court challenges to such emergency measures could topple the government.
  • Asylum applications in the Netherlands are projected to become significantly more complicated, extending the average processing timeline to 15 months, amidst an ongoing housing crisis where 500 approved seekers currently have no accommodation.
  • China is expected to continue aggressive high-rise construction, currently maintaining five of the world's top 10 skyscrapers, with tier-four cities targeting supertall developments to advance in party hierarchies and increase visibility.
  • Supertall construction in the United States faces a slowdown, attributed to 3,300 zoning regulations in New York and debates regarding inequality and shadows, while European nations like France maintain bans on tall structures to preserve historical views.
  • Future building heights are currently constrained by elevator technology limits preventing structures from surpassing the Jeddah Tower, though engineers and architects continue to pursue the engineering breakthroughs necessary to realize a "mile high" skyscraper.