Latest Interviews
Showing 16–30 of 298 transcripts.
Clear all filters- Bank of America18 min
Bond market selloff
Sphia Salim, Zviya Salim, Mark Yamashita, Agni, Edward
On May 22, global bond markets underwent a significant sell-off driven by inflation concerns and supply fears, with the US Treasury market stabilizing amid US-Iran negotiation headlines while Japanese and UK markets faced distinct fiscal and political pressures. Central bank policy reassessments, particularly regarding Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Morse and Bank of Japan Governor Ueda, have shifted investor expectations toward potential rate hikes despite underlying growth softness in the Eurozone. Consequently, positioning across US, Japanese, and UK gilts has adapted to a landscape where real rates are rising, though recent commodity stabilization and election outcomes have sparked partial reversals in volatility.
- Y Combinator13 min
How to Build a Self-Improving Company with AI
The event argues for replacing traditional hierarchical management with recursive AI architectures where organizations function as self-improving loops composed of sensor, policy, and learning layers. It demonstrates this shift through a YC case study where autonomous agents analyzed failures and updated code overnight, enabling companies to transition from headcount-constrained models to token-limited systems. By mandating universal data recording and treating internal software as ephemeral, the presentation defines humans as peripheral "edge interfaces" while AI assumes the role of the central "company brain" for decision-making and execution.
- Bank of America19 min
Ceasefire, rates and the US consumer
Ralf Preusser, Bruno Braizinha, Sophia Salim, David Tinsley, Sfia Salim, Bruno Brasenia
Driven by persistent energy supply shocks and uncertain inflation baselines, market analysts project a limited number of European Central Bank rate hikes, with 10-year yields forecast to decline toward 2.9% before falling further to 2.7% by 2027 as growth risks persist. Concurrently, the volatility landscape reflects a regional divergence where European markets lag US levels due to rich pricing, while Asian markets like China demonstrate unique immunity to geopolitical tensions. In the US, consumer spending remains robust at a 3.2% annualized rate fueled by tax refunds and wage growth, creating a K-shaped recovery where higher-income groups drive discretionary gains despite rising gasoline costs.
- Bank of America17 min
Policy Derby: Rates for the Roses
Mark Cabana, Ralph Axel, Katie, Mark Capleton, Yamada, Ivan, Ronald Man
Recent central bank communications from the Federal Reserve, ECB, Bank of Canada, and Bank of England have shifted global rate expectations toward potential increases or prolonged tightening driven by persistent inflation and oil prices. BofA strategists analyze these diverging stances to forecast bear flattening or steepening curves, while warning that fiscal risks and liquidity dynamics in the US Treasury market may further impact asset valuations. Ultimately, the analysis suggests a complex interplay where hawkish signals from the Fed and BoC contrast with dovish adjustments in the UK, creating volatility for sovereign yields and foreign exchange interventions.
- Bank of America20 min
Payroll call
Ralf Preusser, Aditya Bhave, Mark Cabana, Alex Cohen, Shruti Mishra, Aditya Parve
The April 8, 2024, U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls report revealed a resilient labor market with back-to-back job gains that narrowed the divergence between establishment and household surveys. In response to these findings and persistent inflation data, Bank of America strategists have revised their Federal Reserve policy forecast to eliminate 2024 rate cuts and shift expectations to mid-2025. Consequently, global fixed-income strategists have adjusted their front-end yield curve positioning to anticipate a higher-for-longer interest rate environment while monitoring upcoming CPI and retail sales data for further confirmation.
- Bank of America15 min
Inflation markets
Ralf Preusser, Mark Capleton, Meghan Swiber
Analysts examine the $4 trillion inflation-linked bond market to highlight how fiscal constraints in the UK and Eurozone have created supply scarcity while instrument mechanics drive persistent basis disparities between swaps and cash markets. Despite theoretical stagflation models predicting lower real yields, current data shows a market anomaly where US real yields have risen alongside compressed long-term inflation expectations. Consequently, investors are advised to fade the recent spike in short-term real yields, as this pricing disconnect challenges the Federal Reserve's dual mandate without indicating an immediate risk of unanchored inflation expectations.
- a16z12 min
Is Defense the Next Trillion-Dollar Category? | a16z American Dynamism Summit
Erin Price-Wright, Michael Duffey, Dino Mavrookas
Saronix is reshaping maritime defense by pivoting to software-driven autonomy that slashes labor requirements from millions to mere fractions while deploying an "IKEA" manufacturing model at its new Louisiana Port Alpha facility. This industrial strategy integrates commercial vessel production to ensure economic sustainability and rapid scaling, directly addressing Pentagon constraints on manufacturing capacity through private capital investment and streamlined acquisition policies. By fostering a robust public-private partnership, the initiative aims to establish a century-long national industrial base capable of supporting both defense needs and global energy dominance.
- a16z11 min
How Founders Can Build for Law Enforcement and First Responders | The a16z Show
David Ulevitch, Col. Jeffrey Glover, Rahul Sidhu, Colonel Glover
Law enforcement agencies are rapidly transitioning from traditional physical confrontation to AI-driven investigative frameworks that utilize autonomous drones, sensor fusion, and behavioral analytics to prevent crime and optimize resource allocation. This shift is evident in successful interventions where technology de-escalated potential threats and in the adoption of data-driven well-being programs that have reversed historical union resistance to body-worn cameras. Looking ahead, international intelligence sharing and advanced fraud detection are becoming central to a new policing model that prioritizes technical analysis over brute force, requiring developers to deeply understand operational contexts to effectively deploy these inevitable advancements.
- Goldman Sachs19 min
Innovation and Inflation: Twin Forces Reshaping Portfolios
Christian Mueller-Glissmann, Alexandra Wilson-Elizondo, Alison Nathan
Recorded on May 7, 2026, this market analysis addresses the 2026 stagflationary dynamic where traditional 60/40 portfolios fail to buffer against rising rates while the S&P 500 rallies on heavy technology concentration. Experts identify tactical opportunities in infrastructure and commodity carry strategies to mitigate momentum risks, though they warn that a potential labor market feedback loop or 30-year yield breakout could impose severe constraints on equity valuations. The discussion concludes by evaluating the low-probability risk of an AI positioning unwind alongside structural shifts in private credit leverage.
- The Economist6 min
How high could the oil price go? | The Economist
Zanny Minton Beddoes, Edward Carr, Mathieu, Henry
Global oil markets face a structural crisis where a 14 million barrel-per-day supply deficit has eroded the "sanguine" expectation of a quick peace deal, creating a price disconnect that literature estimates would require $167 to $460 per barrel to correct. With production gains from non-conflicted regions proving negligible, the market is currently absorbing this shortfall through record-fast inventory drawdowns of 8 to 10 million barrels daily, driven by pre-war shipments and sanctions-induced cargo displacement. As critical buffers for jet fuel and diesel approach minimum levels and logistical constraints lengthen trade routes, the only remaining adjustment mechanisms involve further depletion of commercial stocks or active demand destruction in major consuming regions like Asia.
- Milken Institute17 min
Time to Heal: Bring the Hostages Home Now, A Conversation with Noa Argamani | Global Conference 2025
At the Milken Institute Global Conference, rescued hostage Noam Gamani detailed the lethal conditions and ongoing execution of captives held in Gaza, specifically highlighting the unresolved status of her partner Avi Natan. Gamani, recognized as a 2025 *Time* 100 inductee, urged global leaders to maintain relentless public pressure through visible advocacy to secure a comprehensive negotiation deal for the 59 remaining hostages. She emphasized that the crisis remains an active war zone where daily casualties occur unless immediate diplomatic action addresses the imminent threat of death for those still imprisoned.
- Milken Institute18 min
A Conversation with Fernando Haddad, Minister of Finance of Brazil | Global Conference 2025
Fernando Haddad, Laura Deal Lacey
President Lula's administration projects a sustainable 3% annual economic growth trajectory through structural tax reforms, a new carbon market, and a Vice Presidential-led reindustrialization plan targeting hundreds of billions in private investment. This domestic strategy is reinforced by a dedicated National Data Center Policy promoting green digital infrastructure and solidified international partnerships under the G20 and BRICS frameworks to drive climate governance and the upcoming COP30 summit. With advanced infrastructure concessions and commitments such as a $34 billion corporate investment package, Brazil positions itself as a secure hub for sustainable capital seeking alignment with its 90% clean energy matrix.
- Goldman Sachs20 min
Iran Conflict: How Long, and How Bad?
Sanam Vakil, Dennis Ross, Kevin Donegan, Alison Nathan
Entering its fourth week, the Iran conflict has evolved into a regime-survival struggle where Tehran seeks to spread costs widely while the U.S. military targets Iran's missile capabilities and nuclear program. Strategic deadlock persists over the Strait of Hormuz, as limited convoy operations can only restore roughly 20% of normal oil flows despite rehearsed allied defenses. Panelists conclude that resolving this locked-in scenario requires a mediated outcome, though recent political assassinations and the need to rebuild Iran's collapsed economy complicate any immediate return to pre-conflict stability.
- Goldman Sachs10 min
"The Market Is Fragile"
Goldman Sachs analysts describe a market characterized by conservative positioning and elevated volatility, where financial conditions have tightened significantly despite the S&P 500's resilience against multiple geopolitical and economic shocks. Investors are rotating from asset-light sectors facing AI valuation uncertainty toward asset-heavy industries such as semiconductors and defense, which have outperformed by 25% year-to-date as a defensive measure. While a prolonged energy disruption remains a primary risk for the European economy, the firm anticipates limited downside for US equities and highlights European financials as a favored investment theme.
- Milken Institute19 min
Conversation with Columbia Investment Management Company CEO & President Kim Lew | Future of Finance
Columbia University manages the complex transition from traditional globalization-driven investing to a fragmented landscape defined by geopolitical risk, AI integration, and restrictive cross-border regulations. The institution deploys advanced artificial intelligence tools to rapidly analyze data, streamline operational dashboards, and provide an unbiased perspective within its Investment Committee, thereby distinguishing itself from over-allocated peers. Ultimately, the approach emphasizes building horizontal networks and cultivating future thought leaders to ensure mission-driven organizations can navigate volatile markets while maintaining long-term tactical flexibility.