Latest Interviews
Showing 106–120 of 243 interview transcripts.
Clear all filters- Goldman Sachs10 min
Time to buy bonds?
Despite a macroeconomic shift toward higher inflation and lower growth driven by tariff announcements since April, the 10-year Treasury yield has remained stable while credit spreads have partially recovered from their initial widening. Goldman Sachs Asset Management has strategically increased portfolio duration and favored Investment Grade credit over High Yield, citing bond outperformance versus equities and the U.S. dollar's status as a global safe haven. Although the firm acknowledges an increased recession probability and sector divergence within travel, it concludes that current market pricing does not yet fully reflect downside risks, prompting continued allocation to structured credit opportunities.
- Goldman Sachs14 min
How AI and geopolitics are reshaping cybersecurity
Driven by escalating cyber threats and the strategic necessity for platform consolidation, the cybersecurity sector has witnessed record-breaking M&A activity despite a soft overall market, highlighted by Google's $32 billion acquisition of Wiz. While macroeconomic volatility creates near-term uncertainty for IPOs, the industry's resilient, "sticky" spending habits and significant private equity capital are redirecting focus toward cloud security and AI-driven defense solutions. This evolving landscape, bolstered by government partnerships and geopolitical tensions, positions the field as a critical competitive advantage even as it grapples with emerging risks from generative AI and autonomous attack vectors.
- Goldman Sachs9 min
“The most attractive hedge”
Goldman Sachs and global investors are reassessing the U.S. dollar following a 10% pre-inauguration depreciation driven by downward real GDP revisions from 2.5% to 1.3% and a widening growth gap against Europe. Analysts predict a multi-month reversal of long-dollar positions as fair value models show the currency remains 10% to 15% overvalued, with the short dollar/yen trade emerging as a primary catalyst contingent on tariff policy and Federal Reserve reaction functions. While immediate directional positioning is advised against pending clearer White House news and data releases, the structural shift suggests accelerated market moves within the next two to three months.
- Goldman Sachs19 min
How insurers are navigating volatile markets
Mike Siegel, Matt Armas, Alison Nathan
The 14th annual Goldman Sachs Insurance Survey of 400 companies managing $13 trillion in assets reveals a strategic "Great Pivot" by life insurers shifting from public to private markets to capture liquidity premiums and mitigate volatility. This reallocation, alongside a surge in defensive investments in AI infrastructure, aims to enhance operational efficiency and diversify long-duration liabilities while navigating a complex environment of rising bond rates and equity swings. Collectively, these shifts support a booming industry outlook where improved returns and fixed-rate product demand drive lower policy costs and stronger capital deployment across both life and property-casualty sectors.
- Goldman Sachs10 min
Opportunities amidst historic volatility
Josh Schifrin and market analysts assess a volatile economic landscape where projected tariffs threaten to spark inflation and a temporary growth dip while creating a binary risk scenario between a trade war recession or a deal-driven recovery. Treasury yields have surged following hawkish commentary on tariff-induced inflation, breaking historical inverse correlations with equities and signaling fragility in market liquidity that mirrors structural stresses without reaching COVID-era severity. Despite this turbulence, strategists recommend buying equity dips and anticipate a weakening U.S. dollar alongside bearish oil prices as the market awaits the outcomes of the 90-day tariff pause to stabilize the frenetic trading environment.
- Goldman Sachs11 min
Recession watch: How to hedge now
Daan Struyven, Allison Nathan, Don Stryven
Recorded on April 8, 2025, Goldman Sachs analysts presented a strategic pivot toward hedging with commodities, projecting a 10% rise in gold to $3,300 per ounce under stagnation while forecasting a decline to $55 per barrel for Brent crude by 2026. The presentation detailed a "long gold, short oil" portfolio architecture designed to capitalize on anticipated Fed rate cuts and supply surges, respectively, with recession scenarios potentially pushing gold toward $4,250 or oil below $40. Additionally, the analysis highlighted copper's resilient long-term outlook driven by supply deficits, despite near-term volatility exacerbated by U.S. tariff announcements.
- Goldman Sachs15 min
Are credit investors nervous about recession risk?
Goldman Sachs Chief Credit Strategist Lotfi Karawi attributes recent corporate bond spread widening to a necessary realignment with macro volatility rather than a recessionary collapse, noting that fundamentals remain robust while investors demand higher risk premiums due to trade and policy uncertainties. The firm forecasts Investment Grade spreads to peak between 120 and 125 basis points as market sentiment normalizes, a move that remains far from the 200-basis-point levels required to signal true recessionary stress. Despite the repricing, total return outlooks stay positive supported by high treasury yields, prompting a strategic shift toward defensive, high-quality instruments like agency mortgages while reducing exposure to lower-rated carry trades.
- Goldman Sachs13 min
10KSB Voices Rural Advocacy Conference in DC: David Solomon with Program Graduate & Punchbowl News
David Solomon, Anna Palmer, Jenny Steffensmeyer
Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon and small business owner Jenny Steffensmeyer discussed critical challenges facing the "10,000 Small Business Voices" program, including capital access, workforce shortages, and a significant rural artificial intelligence adoption gap. Solomon expressed optimism that a Republican-controlled administration will reduce regulatory burdens to stimulate growth, while Steffensmeyer highlighted that technological upskilling remains impossible without affordable financing. To address these disparities, the group urged Congress to deregulate small businesses, simplify SBA lending, and provide incentives to level the competitive playing field.
- Goldman Sachs20 min
How tariffs will impact the US economy
Goldman Sachs Chief U.S. Economist David Miracle, joined by host Alison Nathan in a March 10 *Exchanges* episode, revised the full-year effective tariff forecast upward to approximately 10 percentage points, driven by implementations on Canada, Mexico, and proposed auto duties. Consequently, the firm lowered its 2025 GDP growth outlook to 1.7% and raised the recession probability to 20%, while maintaining a Federal Reserve rate-cutting trajectory that diverges from market expectations due to elevated inflation near 3%. Although Miracle dismisses the current environment as true stagflation, he warns that expanded trade policy uncertainty poses a more severe risk to business investment and hiring than in 2019.
- Goldman Sachs8 min
Chief US Equity Strategist David Kostin on the market impact of recent policy updates
David Kostin, Carl, John Yang, Sarah
Goldman Sachs strategist David Koston revised 2024 U.S. equity EPS growth forecasts downward to 9% due to a weakening economic outlook, while maintaining a 6,500 target for the S&P 500. Portfolio rotations are shifting toward defensive healthcare and consumer staples as investors grow indifferent to trade policy uncertainty, with a specific focus on low-volatility earnings and companies leveraging AI for revenue generation. Although tariff scenarios could compress margins, the firm continues to view GDP growth and the Magnificent Seven's high reinvestment rates as the primary drivers for sustained market performance pending durable economic data.
- Goldman Sachs18 min
Trump’s tariffs: Big talk or big action?
Trump, Jeff Gerrish, Allison Nathan
The current administration is deploying aggressive tariff policies to reshape U.S. manufacturing, secure national security in strategic sectors, and address geopolitical concerns like fentanyl trafficking. While market volatility is intentionally leveraged to force negotiation concessions, a coordinated strategy involving hawkish figures aims to replace bilateral deals with a reciprocal global tariff system by the April 1st deadline. Despite legal challenges, these measures are designed to correct trade imbalances and extend beyond the scope of previous administrations to fundamentally alter international trade dynamics.
- Goldman Sachs19 min
Keep on truckin’: Will the US continue to outperform other markets?
Sharmin Mossavar-Rahmani, Sharmeen Mosavar-Rahmani, Alison
Goldman Sachs Wealth Management forecasts an 8% base return for U.S. equities in 2025, advocating for a strategic shift from non-U.S. public markets toward U.S.-oriented private assets despite elevated valuations. The firm advises against allocating capital to China, gold, or cryptocurrencies, citing structural headwinds and a lack of intrinsic value, while predicting that interest rates will decline as tariffs remain limited. Consequently, the outlook recommends maintaining a high-quality fixed income hedge to navigate volatility rather than employing costly derivatives or selling equities for tax avoidance.
- Goldman Sachs15 min
Marc Benioff on how Salesforce is seizing on AI opportunities
Salesforce CEO Marc Benioff positions the company's new AgentForce platform as a critical industry shift designed to replace ineffective AI pilots with autonomous agents that augment existing workforces without requiring proprietary model training. By leveraging a foundational data cloud strategy, the system aims to boost revenue and operational efficiency across sales, service, and marketing while specifically addressing issues like healthcare worker burnout. With the platform set for public release next week, Benioff anticipates an immediate industry-wide adoption as clients gain the ability to deploy custom, high-performing agents that operate with significant speed and security.
- Goldman Sachs16 min
How AI could impact geopolitics
Jared Cohen, Leslie Kendrick, Michael Mina
U.S. generative AI leadership faces a critical bottleneck where physical infrastructure limitations and power shortages necessitate a strategic pivot toward overseas data centers, with the Middle East emerging as the primary destination due to its abundant energy and rapid construction capabilities. This infrastructure shift forces Gulf states to leverage their position as critical swing states to secure advanced chip allocations, effectively creating a binary partnership choice between Washington and Beijing. Concurrently, the United States reinforces its geopolitical stance through escalating export controls and tariffs on China, while simultaneously expanding capital investments abroad to bypass domestic capacity constraints.
- Goldman Sachs15 min
“Free Solo” climber Alex Honnold on challenging yourself to make an impact
Free solo climber Alex Honnold discusses his methodology for managing fear during high-stakes ascents while emphasizing a philosophy of personal growth over competitive winning. Beyond climbing, the free soloist launched the Honnold Foundation in 2012 to fund solar energy projects globally, maintaining a commitment to donate one-third of his income to provide electricity access for nearly one billion people. By prioritizing high-risk pilot initiatives like solar-powered boats in the Amazon, the organization addresses both community development and environmental preservation without overhead costs.