Latest Interviews
Showing 1–5 of 5 transcripts.
Clear all filters- Goldman Sachs19 min
US Midyear Outlook: Geopolitical Shocks, the New Fed Era, and Growth
Recent U.S. economic data reveals unexpectedly resilient job growth and stickier inflation stabilizing near 3%, driven by geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and AI-related price measurement distortions. Goldman Sachs forecasts core PCE inflation to settle around 2.1% with real GDP growth of 2%, prompting expectations that the Federal Reserve will maintain current interest rates through July while shifting its policy stance toward neutralizing inflation regardless of its source. Despite market speculation regarding rate hikes, the primary economic risk remains a potential escalation of the Middle East conflict that could trigger sustained price increases and destabilize financial markets.
- Goldman Sachs19 min
Innovation and Inflation: Twin Forces Reshaping Portfolios
Christian Mueller-Glissmann, Alexandra Wilson-Elizondo, Alison Nathan
Recorded on May 7, 2026, this market analysis addresses the 2026 stagflationary dynamic where traditional 60/40 portfolios fail to buffer against rising rates while the S&P 500 rallies on heavy technology concentration. Experts identify tactical opportunities in infrastructure and commodity carry strategies to mitigate momentum risks, though they warn that a potential labor market feedback loop or 30-year yield breakout could impose severe constraints on equity valuations. The discussion concludes by evaluating the low-probability risk of an AI positioning unwind alongside structural shifts in private credit leverage.
- Goldman Sachs20 min
Iran Conflict: How Long, and How Bad?
Sanam Vakil, Dennis Ross, Kevin Donegan, Alison Nathan
Entering its fourth week, the Iran conflict has evolved into a regime-survival struggle where Tehran seeks to spread costs widely while the U.S. military targets Iran's missile capabilities and nuclear program. Strategic deadlock persists over the Strait of Hormuz, as limited convoy operations can only restore roughly 20% of normal oil flows despite rehearsed allied defenses. Panelists conclude that resolving this locked-in scenario requires a mediated outcome, though recent political assassinations and the need to rebuild Iran's collapsed economy complicate any immediate return to pre-conflict stability.
- Goldman Sachs20 min
Why Japanese Stocks Could Keep Rallying
Driven by Prime Minister Senei Takeuchi's snap election victory, Japanese equities have surged 14% year-to-date in 2026, outperforming US benchmarks and triggering a Goldman Sachs price target increase based on anticipated political stability. This supermajority is expected to facilitate long-term policy continuity, attracting foreign capital as investors anticipate concrete corporate governance reforms and accelerated ROE growth to sustain the current market cycle. While risks such as leadership transitions or policy missteps remain, the landslide win signals a transition into a "delivery phase" where structural economic security and defense clarity ahead of the March 19 summit will likely drive further valuation expansion.
- Goldman Sachs20 min
More gains ahead for US stocks?
David Kostin, Ryan Hammond, Alison Nathan
Goldman Sachs Research has raised its 2024 S&P 500 year-end target to approximately 6,000, citing an 11% earnings growth forecast for 2025 driven by solid macroeconomic data and semiconductor strength. While mega-cap technology stocks currently dominate the rally and trade at historic valuation highs, the firm identifies mid-cap equities as a key opportunity due to their 15x forward earnings multiple and superior performance track record during Federal Reserve rate cuts. Future market returns are expected to rely on fundamental earnings growth rather than further valuation expansion, though the outlook remains contingent on navigating immediate geopolitical risks and inflationary pressures that could limit further rate reductions.