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  1. Goldman Sachs20 min

    More gains ahead for US stocks?

    David Kostin, Ryan Hammond, Alison Nathan

    Goldman Sachs Research has raised its 2024 S&P 500 year-end target to approximately 6,000, citing an 11% earnings growth forecast for 2025 driven by solid macroeconomic data and semiconductor strength. While mega-cap technology stocks currently dominate the rally and trade at historic valuation highs, the firm identifies mid-cap equities as a key opportunity due to their 15x forward earnings multiple and superior performance track record during Federal Reserve rate cuts. Future market returns are expected to rely on fundamental earnings growth rather than further valuation expansion, though the outlook remains contingent on navigating immediate geopolitical risks and inflationary pressures that could limit further rate reductions.

  2. Goldman Sachs10 min

    Hedges, privates and tax alpha: How investors are navigating record-high markets

    David Kostin, Padi Raphael, Adam Siegler

    The 2024 market outlook highlights robust U.S. equity gains and a decelerated recession risk of 15%, driven by resilient corporate earnings and consumer spending despite elevated valuations. Investors are increasingly utilizing $100 billion structured notes to hedge downside while private credit and extended private market participation offer yield and alpha alternatives as Federal Reserve rate cuts approach. Independent RIA firms are prioritizing technology partnerships and tax-efficient strategies to scale operations and replicate institutional infrastructure while expanding into new asset classes.