Latest Interviews
Showing 1–7 of 7 transcripts.
Clear all filters- Goldman Sachs14 min
Sharmin Mossavar-Rahmani: Long US stocks Amid Volatility
Sharmin Mossavar-Rahmani, Tony Pasquariello
Sharmeen Mosabar-Rahmani will retire after 33 years at Goldman Sachs, concluding a tenure as Chief Investment Officer of Wealth Management where she championed a strict long U.S. equity bias backed by a global team of over 110 strategists. Her departure coincides with a market landscape defined by the surge to 10,000 global ETFs and 30,000 U.S. registered investment advisers, which the firm navigates by integrating AI profitability models, technical analysis, and rigorous geopolitical risk assessment. Maintaining a framework that prioritizes long-term investment horizons over market timing, the organization continues to leverage its "US preeminence" thesis despite recent volatility, citing a track record where early 2009 S&P 500 investments yielded significant compounded returns relative to alternative global exposures.
- Goldman Sachs18 min
How AI is Affecting GDP Growth, Productivity, and Jobs
Sharmin Mossavar-Rahmani, Jan Hatzius
Goldman Sachs estimates that while AI currently contributes a modest 0.1 percentage points to U.S. GDP, it is driving $600 billion in domestic capital expenditure with projections reaching up to $7 trillion cumulatively by 2030. Over the next decade, these investments are expected to raise productivity levels by approximately 15% and push long-term growth forecasts into the mid-2% range, despite immediate headwinds from import deductions and capital reallocation. Although roughly 25% of work tasks are exposed to AI technology, analysis suggests only 6% to 7% will result in direct job elimination, leading to a gradual transition that may raise the unemployment rate by up to 1 percentage point over ten years without triggering a sudden labor shock.
- Goldman Sachs17 min
How New Models are Changing the AI Investment Landscape
Sharmin Mossavar-Rahmani, Jim Covello
Current AI adoption faces a critical bottleneck where massive infrastructure investments fail to generate net savings for enterprises, concentrating economic value primarily with semiconductor manufacturers rather than end users. Profitable integration depends on solving data readiness and implementing model orchestration layers that route queries efficiently, a shift expected to redirect value toward the enterprise value chain through widespread open-source adoption. As hyperscalers face scrutiny over trillion-dollar capital expenditures, the market is pivoting from reward-based sentiment to demand for immediate return on investment, creating divergent outcomes based on whether enterprises can eventually achieve sustainable AI profitability.
- Goldman Sachs11 min
Live Market Insights: Addressing Client Questions on the Mid-Year 2026 Outlook
Sharmin Mossavar-Rahmani, Matt Weir, Nicola Gifford
Analysts project a robust 2026 outlook for U.S. equities, forecasting S&P 500 earnings growth of approximately 17% driven by broad-based margin expansion and macroeconomic resilience following a transition to energy independence. Portfolio strategies reflect this optimism by maintaining U.S. allocations while adding targeted exposure to AI supply chain leaders in Korea and Taiwan, while explicitly advising against the high costs of systematic put option hedging. Future market dynamics will be shaped by the tension between hyperscalers deploying 100% of operating cash flow into AI capital expenditures and the counterbalancing force of $1.3 trillion in projected corporate share buybacks.
- Goldman Sachs10 min
AI: What Investors Should Know
Jim Covello, Sharmin Mossavar-Rahmani
Goldman Sachs analysts project that global AI capital expenditures will surpass $3 trillion by 2026, though they warn of distinct "earnings bubbles" in public markets and "valuation bubbles" in private sectors driven by unsustainable demand. While consumer adoption remains strong, enterprise integration faces hurdles due to data fragmentation, leading experts to predict a strategic shift toward specialized Small Language Models that prioritize efficiency over mass labor replacement. The investment landscape is further complicated by geopolitical divisions favoring the U.S. in chip infrastructure and China in model production, alongside concerns over circular financing practices that delay profitability for large-cap companies.
- Goldman Sachs19 min
Keep on truckin’: Will the US continue to outperform other markets?
Sharmin Mossavar-Rahmani, Sharmeen Mosavar-Rahmani, Alison
Goldman Sachs Wealth Management forecasts an 8% base return for U.S. equities in 2025, advocating for a strategic shift from non-U.S. public markets toward U.S.-oriented private assets despite elevated valuations. The firm advises against allocating capital to China, gold, or cryptocurrencies, citing structural headwinds and a lack of intrinsic value, while predicting that interest rates will decline as tariffs remain limited. Consequently, the outlook recommends maintaining a high-quality fixed income hedge to navigate volatility rather than employing costly derivatives or selling equities for tax avoidance.
- Goldman Sachs13 min
"Climbing the Wall of Worry”
Amidst significant market volatility and policy uncertainty, financial advisors are urging investors to maintain a long-term strategic asset allocation prioritizing equities over cash and bonds. The presentation projects mid-single-digit annual returns for the next decade while forecasting a labor market recovery that may not reach historical lows until 2023. Furthermore, despite concerns regarding the upcoming election and rising federal debt, experts advise against market timing, citing a consensus that $1.5 trillion in additional fiscal stimulus is imminent and necessary to prevent an economic cliff.