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  1. Bank of America18 min

    Shaky ‘26 for alt asset manager stocks, but steady asset inflows

    TJ Thornton, Craig Siegenthaler

    Following a decade of outperformance, alternative asset manager stocks face 2025–2026 headwinds from private credit concerns and AI-driven market disruption, yet have rebounded recently as valuations hit historical discounts and short positions unwind. Industry analysis identifies private credit fears as largely manufactured with returns forecast at 6%, while projecting that superior managers will capture future capital flows amid an expected bifurcation in performance. Despite private equity maturing, the sector retains defensive "never-for-seller" characteristics and significant long-term upside driven by retail adoption, operating leverage, and a future bear market that is projected to generate massive alpha through negative covariance with public equities.

  2. Bank of America19 min

    Conflict keeps midstream compelling, integrateds see a pipeline of cash

    Jean Ann, TJ Thornton

    U.S. energy producers are prioritizing capital discipline and shareholder returns over expansion, while a B of A outlook projects long-term oil prices stabilizing between $70 and $71 supported by strategic reserve restocking and potential Iranian production increases. Disruptions to Qatar's LNG capacity and delays in new projects are shifting global supply toward equilibrium, driving a 50% EBITDA surge for U.S. LNG exporters by next year. Simultaneously, rising electricity demand from data centers and AI is accelerating natural gas pipeline construction, creating a divergence where midstream firms anticipate low double-digit earnings growth despite a neutral third-person tone ensuring objective delivery of these market shifts.