Latest Interviews
Showing 196–210 of 481 interview transcripts.
Clear all filters- Goldman Sachs7 min
Why tech stocks could keep rallying
Following a sharp correction in early 2024, the Nasdaq recovered to a flat annual performance driven by resilient S&P 500 earnings growth, clearer trade policies, and renewed capital deployment into artificial intelligence. Goldman Sachs technology specialist Pete Callahan highlights that large-cap tech stocks are regaining defensive status amid a return of dispersion within the "Magnificent Seven," creating specific stock-picking opportunities. With macro fears receding in favor of micro-level AI catalysts, the prevailing strategy recommends maintaining positions through the remainder of the year despite ongoing scrutiny of inflation data and bond market rates near 4.5%.
- Goldman Sachs19 min
Equity risks and alts opportunities
David Kostin, Padi Raphael, Allison Nathan
The Professional Investor Forum gathered advisors managing $1.3 trillion to analyze a U.S. market recovering to pre-tariff levels despite a 50% recession probability, as first-quarter earnings beat expectations by 12% before new April policy shifts. Goldman Sachs forecasts a recession-free 2025 baseline, though participants anticipate earnings compression in the second quarter if tariffs are implemented. Consequently, investment strategies are pivoting toward private market allocations and equal-weighted indices to mitigate concentrated stock risk while managing capital flows repatriated from Europe and steady inflows from Asia.
- Goldman Sachs10 min
“Long stocks, short bonds”
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell prioritized stabilizing the domestic labor market while the central bank maintained current interest rates amidst stagflation risks and uncertain tariff impacts. The administration projects $300 billion in annual tariff revenue alongside increased spending, creating a fiscal environment that pressures the dollar and drives a strategic shift toward long equities and short bonds. Investors are compressing their trading horizons to hourly assessments as they navigate high volatility driven by potential job losses and the first significant inflation data release in July.
- Goldman Sachs42 min
From CIO to CEO: TCW’s Katie Koch on running a $200B asset manager
TCW President and CEO Katie Koch, a former Goldman Sachs CIO with two decades of investment experience, is steering the firm's strategic evolution from its fixed-income heritage into private credit and ETFs to address a shrinking public market landscape. Leveraging significant dry powder during recent market dislocations, Koch emphasizes a culture rooted in integrity and psychological safety while executing active management strategies designed to generate outsized returns for institutional clients. Her leadership philosophy blends operational discipline with personal values regarding resilience, aiming to provide holistic investment solutions that allow borrowers and investors to navigate volatility across both public and private asset classes.
- Goldman Sachs25 min
Wise Founder Taavet Hinrikus on Europe’s Tech Renaissance
Taavet Hinrikus, Clif Marriott
Tavit Tammemäe catalyzed Estonia's transformation into a European tech powerhouse by co-founding Skype, which triggered a wave of successful exits, and later launching the fintech unicorn Wise. Transitioning from operator to investor, he founded Plural in 2021 alongside four other former European CEOs to deploy €500 million in Fund II toward complex, high-impact sectors like defense and healthcare AI. The firm targets "obsessed" founders capable of building $100 billion companies, aiming to replicate the scalability of Skype and Wise within the European market.
- Goldman Sachs22 min
AI Exchanges: How tech giants are navigating the AI landscape
Eric Sheridan, Allison Nathan, George Lee
Major technology giants are sustaining record capital expenditures through 2025 to solidify AI infrastructure dominance, with Goldman Sachs projecting this peak intensity to slow in 2026 despite tariff-related cost increases. Executives from Meta, Alphabet, and Amazon characterize the sector as being in the early innings of a third computing shift, prioritizing defensive positioning and infrastructure monetization over immediate application-layer profitability. Although investor sentiment remains bifurcated by macroeconomic risks, current valuations reflect a strategic reliance on these incumbents' unprecedented balance sheet scale to navigate the transition from raw training to commercial deployment.
- Goldman Sachs13 min
Stagflation and the Fed's next move
The U.S. economy confronts a stagflationary shock driven by spending cuts, restrictive immigration policies, and tariff uncertainty, creating a complex backdrop for Federal Reserve monetary strategy. Policymakers are advised to pause rate decisions at the May meeting to assess new trade data while maintaining a tough rhetorical stance to anchor inflation expectations without pre-committing to specific future cuts. As the Fed balances its dual mandate amidst potential political pressure, global investors are cautiously retaining dollar allocations despite signs of institutional skepticism and capital outflows that are currently characterized as temporary positioning rather than a permanent strategic shift.
- Goldman Sachs10 min
Time to buy bonds?
Despite a macroeconomic shift toward higher inflation and lower growth driven by tariff announcements since April, the 10-year Treasury yield has remained stable while credit spreads have partially recovered from their initial widening. Goldman Sachs Asset Management has strategically increased portfolio duration and favored Investment Grade credit over High Yield, citing bond outperformance versus equities and the U.S. dollar's status as a global safe haven. Although the firm acknowledges an increased recession probability and sector divergence within travel, it concludes that current market pricing does not yet fully reflect downside risks, prompting continued allocation to structured credit opportunities.
- Goldman Sachs37 min
Nasdaq CEO Adena Friedman on the future of public markets
Adena Friedman, John Waldron, Allison
Led by CEO Adena Friedman, the NASDAQ has evolved from a US electronic stock exchange into a global technology platform supplying critical infrastructure to 130 markets while prioritizing liquidity, transparency, and anti-financial crime solutions. The organization recently navigated record trading volumes and leverages hybrid cloud architecture and generative AI to enhance market resilience, with a specific strategic focus on the anti-financial crime sector following the Verifin acquisition. Looking forward, leadership advocates for structural regulatory reforms to reverse the decline in public listings and attract capital back to public markets against the backdrop of rapid private market growth.
- Goldman Sachs14 min
How AI and geopolitics are reshaping cybersecurity
Driven by escalating cyber threats and the strategic necessity for platform consolidation, the cybersecurity sector has witnessed record-breaking M&A activity despite a soft overall market, highlighted by Google's $32 billion acquisition of Wiz. While macroeconomic volatility creates near-term uncertainty for IPOs, the industry's resilient, "sticky" spending habits and significant private equity capital are redirecting focus toward cloud security and AI-driven defense solutions. This evolving landscape, bolstered by government partnerships and geopolitical tensions, positions the field as a critical competitive advantage even as it grapples with emerging risks from generative AI and autonomous attack vectors.
- Goldman Sachs9 min
“The most attractive hedge”
Goldman Sachs and global investors are reassessing the U.S. dollar following a 10% pre-inauguration depreciation driven by downward real GDP revisions from 2.5% to 1.3% and a widening growth gap against Europe. Analysts predict a multi-month reversal of long-dollar positions as fair value models show the currency remains 10% to 15% overvalued, with the short dollar/yen trade emerging as a primary catalyst contingent on tariff policy and Federal Reserve reaction functions. While immediate directional positioning is advised against pending clearer White House news and data releases, the structural shift suggests accelerated market moves within the next two to three months.
- Goldman Sachs19 min
How insurers are navigating volatile markets
Mike Siegel, Matt Armas, Alison Nathan
The 14th annual Goldman Sachs Insurance Survey of 400 companies managing $13 trillion in assets reveals a strategic "Great Pivot" by life insurers shifting from public to private markets to capture liquidity premiums and mitigate volatility. This reallocation, alongside a surge in defensive investments in AI infrastructure, aims to enhance operational efficiency and diversify long-duration liabilities while navigating a complex environment of rising bond rates and equity swings. Collectively, these shifts support a booming industry outlook where improved returns and fixed-rate product demand drive lower policy costs and stronger capital deployment across both life and property-casualty sectors.
- Goldman Sachs26 min
Will tariffs lead to a recession?
Paul Krugman, Jan Hatzius, Oren Cass, Allison Nathan
Prominent economists Paul Krugman, Jan Hatzius, and Oren Cass debated the Trump administration's historic tariff expansion, which Krugman identifies as an unprecedented economic shock and Hatzius projects will reduce GDP growth by two percentage points while raising recession probabilities to 45%. While Krugman warns that policy uncertainty will stifle business investment and Hatzius cautions that the Federal Reserve faces a difficult trade-off between inflation and stagnation, Cass argues the measures represent a necessary structural correction to global supply chains that will eventually stimulate domestic production. The panel concluded that although immediate data lags obscure the full extent of damage, the severity of the downturn will ultimately depend on the Federal Reserve's ability to balance conflicting price and employment mandates against a backdrop of rapidly shifting trade policy.
- Goldman Sachs42 min
Warburg Pincus CEO Jeffrey Perlman on navigating a trickier private equity environment
Warburg Pincus CEO Jeffrey Perlman, who succeeded Chip Kaye in September 2025, outlined the firm's strategy to navigate a structural interest rate environment and declining performance persistence by leveraging a $45 billion distribution record and a "diversification by design" approach. The discussion highlighted the firm's 30th anniversary expansion in Asia, where shifting from minority stakes to majority control aims to capitalize on two-thirds of projected global growth despite tariff disruptions. Looking forward, Perlman emphasized the transformative potential of Artificial Intelligence in deal sourcing and operational efficiency while reinforcing a culture that prioritizes the institution over individual legacy.
- Goldman Sachs27 min
Is the market underpricing recession risks?
Tony Pasquarello, Josh Schifrin, Dominic Wilson
Following a pause on reciprocal tariffs that reduced immediate policy risk, analysts warn that recession fears remain significant and underpriced despite recent market rallies. While the U.S. dollar is entering a projected structural bear market over the next 6–12 months and oil faces downward pressure from disinflationary tariffs, equity volatility is expected to persist until clear trade outcomes emerge. Federal Reserve rate cuts will likely wait until deep financial stress or labor market cracks appear, with Chair Powell emphasizing the need to avoid unanchoring inflation expectations before acting aggressively.