Latest Interviews
Showing 1–11 of 11 interview transcripts.
Clear all filters- Goldman Sachs22 min
Farallon Capital's Nicolas Giauque on Investing for the Long Term
Nicolas Giauque, Tony Pasquarello
Under Managing Partner Nicolas Giac, Farallon Capital, a multi-strategy firm managing $44 billion, distinguishes itself through a unified partnership structure that prioritizes extraordinary risk-adjusted returns via concentrated portfolios and probabilistic modeling. Giac outlines current opportunities in merger arbitrage, Japanese governance reforms, and biotech long/short strategies while anticipating future private credit deployment as the market cycle turns toward refinancing needs. The firm's global expansion and succession framework support a strategy of providing liquidity during disruptions and generating alpha by solving problems for companies navigating the AI-driven industry transformation.
- Goldman Sachs25 min
Fundamentals Still Matter: Lone Pine’s David Craver
David Craver, Tony Pasquarello
David Craver of Lone Pine Capital argues that structural shifts in market volatility and valuation norms have created a favorable environment for duration-based fundamental investors who focus on secular growth themes. Leveraging deep private market insights and a concentrated strategy, the firm maintains a bullish stance on AI infrastructure as a generational platform shift while anticipating a mid-term phase where established incumbents leverage technology to drive efficiency. Craver emphasizes that his investment discipline relies on rigorous fundamental analysis and the flexibility to adapt when facts evolve, positioning the firm to capitalize on the predicted disruption in top market cap names by 2035.
- Goldman Sachs35 min
Looking for Trends: One River Asset Management's Eric Peters
Eric Peters, a veteran trader and founder of One River, outlines a macro strategy combining systematic trend following and long volatility to navigate a global debt expansion era while advocating for Bitcoin as a sovereign-resistant collateral. His analysis projects a significant financial crisis within the next decade driven by unsustainable interest obligations, despite current government efforts to leverage AI and monetary policy to delay the inevitable. Peters emphasizes that a robust portfolio must dynamically hedge against these non-linear risks, leveraging historical data showing a 40x return over the S&P 500 since 2007 through this disciplined, non-directional approach.
- Goldman Sachs43 min
Macro Challenges and Credit Opportunities: Davidson Kempner's Tony Yoseloff
Tony Yoseloff, Tony Pasquarello
Davidson Kempner Capital Management Managing Partner Tony Yoseloff discusses the firm's $37 billion asset base and its integrated public-private strategy while addressing 2025 market dynamics characterized by refinancing risks, concentrated equity valuations, and accelerating M&A activity. Yoseloff highlights structural opportunities in European and Indian credit markets alongside caution regarding potential AI productivity delays, emphasizing an investment philosophy that prioritizes micro-level safety margins over macro speculation. The conversation further details the firm's successful multi-year succession planning, the shift toward retail-driven private credit, and Yoseloff's advice for junior analysts to focus on fundamental investment theses rather than spreadsheet mechanics.
- Goldman Sachs24 min
Repricing risks post tariff truce
Tony Pasquarello, Dominic Wilson, Josh Shiffrin
A panel of analysts forecasts a low but non-zero recession risk while projecting 1% growth amid a "higher inflation, lower growth" environment driven by effective tariff rates of 12% to 13%. The Federal Reserve is expected to cut rates in 2025 if unemployment exceeds 4.5%, potentially ushering in a dovish regime that supports equities despite narrow paths constrained by bond market volatility and deficit concerns. While U.S. dollar depreciation may cushion equity performance, the discussion concludes with a cultural segment where Josh Shiffrin and Dominic Wilson critique the narrative outcomes of *Lost*, *The Shining*, and *The Departed*.
- Goldman Sachs27 min
Is the market underpricing recession risks?
Tony Pasquarello, Josh Schifrin, Dominic Wilson
Following a pause on reciprocal tariffs that reduced immediate policy risk, analysts warn that recession fears remain significant and underpriced despite recent market rallies. While the U.S. dollar is entering a projected structural bear market over the next 6–12 months and oil faces downward pressure from disinflationary tariffs, equity volatility is expected to persist until clear trade outcomes emerge. Federal Reserve rate cuts will likely wait until deep financial stress or labor market cracks appear, with Chair Powell emphasizing the need to avoid unanchoring inflation expectations before acting aggressively.
- Goldman Sachs24 min
What's behind the US equity underperformance?
Tony Pasquarello, Josh Schifrin, Dominic Wilson
Josh Schifrin and Dominic Wilson have revised their U.S. year-on-year growth forecast down to 1.7% due to policy uncertainty and weak first-quarter data, anticipating a delay in Federal Reserve rate cuts until June. While the team expects the yield curve to steepen and favors front-end fixed income positions to hedge against economic pain, they caution that "U.S. exceptionalism" is fading as European markets like Germany gain traction through significant fiscal expansion. Ultimately, the strategists predict a volatile near-term environment where short-term labor data may deteriorate further before a recovery emerges, challenging the prevailing thesis that the administration will maintain a growth floor.
- Goldman Sachs38 min
Bigger markets, more alpha: Capstone’s Paul Britton on running a derivatives hedge fund
Paul Britton, Tony Pasquarello
Founded in 2004 by Paul Brittain, Capstone Investment Advisors transitioned from options market making to a $11 billion multi-asset firm that leverages post-2008 risk framework reforms to generate alpha through derivative strategies. The firm currently manages a 330-person organization utilizing AI to automate workflows and maintains a distinct focus on providing liquidity overlays for institutions heavily allocated to private assets. Looking forward, leadership anticipates a shift away from central bank interventions toward higher market elasticity, a structural change that Brittain believes will favor active management strategies employing rigorous process discipline.
- Goldman Sachs24 min
Markets post-Fed: Inflation back in focus
Tony Pasquarello, Josh Schifrin, Don Wilson
The Federal Reserve concluded its initial easing cycle with a 25 basis point rate cut while signaling a shift to a cautious, data-dependent Phase Two that prioritizes inflation progress toward the 2% target. Economists and strategists project 2 to 3 additional cuts in 2025 contingent on cooling price pressures, though markets face binary volatility driven by upcoming tariff announcements and leadership transitions. While underlying inflationary risks in housing moderate and the Fed Put provides downside support, equity performance will increasingly rely on corporate earnings rather than anticipated policy support in the post-election landscape.
- Goldman Sachs30 min
Post-election market outlook
Tony Pasquarello, Josh Schifrin, Dominic Wilson
Strategists Dominic Wilson and Josh Schifrin analyze the post-election market surge, attributing the rally in US equities, the dollar, and bond yields to a convergence of upgraded growth prospects and pro-growth policy expectations. While the Federal Reserve is forecasted to implement a December rate cut and adopt a cautious "destination mode," the pair highlights persistent tail risks including tariff volatility, valuation concerns, and a heavy concentration of capital in US assets. Their outlook recommends a long-equity and long-dollar portfolio position to navigate an expected year-end transition into a choppier, policy-sensitive trading environment.
- Goldman Sachs49 min
How to find alpha: Bridgewater Associates’ Co-CIO Karen Karniol-Tambour
Karen Karniol-Tambour, Roelof Botha, Joe Baratta, Jon Winkelried, Tony Pasquarello
Bridgewater Associates' Co-CIO team outlines a US economic landscape defined by sustainable 3% growth and a neutral rate near 3%, driven by an AI-fueled capital expenditure cycle and supply-side labor dynamics. The strategy pivots toward a diversified portfolio positioning that favors Japanese equity normalization, Chinese asset valuation discounts, and Euro currency strength while maintaining a structural US dollar tilt amidst rising global deficits. These macroeconomic views are integrated with a philosophy of radical transparency and algorithmic rigor to navigate complex themes ranging from AI-driven inflation to divergent post-election fiscal trajectories.