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  1. Goldman Sachs17 min

    How New Models are Changing the AI Investment Landscape

    Sharmin Mossavar-Rahmani, Jim Covello

    Current AI adoption faces a critical bottleneck where massive infrastructure investments fail to generate net savings for enterprises, concentrating economic value primarily with semiconductor manufacturers rather than end users. Profitable integration depends on solving data readiness and implementing model orchestration layers that route queries efficiently, a shift expected to redirect value toward the enterprise value chain through widespread open-source adoption. As hyperscalers face scrutiny over trillion-dollar capital expenditures, the market is pivoting from reward-based sentiment to demand for immediate return on investment, creating divergent outcomes based on whether enterprises can eventually achieve sustainable AI profitability.

  2. Goldman Sachs11 min

    Live Market Insights: Addressing Client Questions on the Mid-Year 2026 Outlook

    Sharmin Mossavar-Rahmani, Matt Weir, Nicola Gifford

    Analysts project a robust 2026 outlook for U.S. equities, forecasting S&P 500 earnings growth of approximately 17% driven by broad-based margin expansion and macroeconomic resilience following a transition to energy independence. Portfolio strategies reflect this optimism by maintaining U.S. allocations while adding targeted exposure to AI supply chain leaders in Korea and Taiwan, while explicitly advising against the high costs of systematic put option hedging. Future market dynamics will be shaped by the tension between hyperscalers deploying 100% of operating cash flow into AI capital expenditures and the counterbalancing force of $1.3 trillion in projected corporate share buybacks.

  3. Goldman Sachs10 min

    AI: What Investors Should Know

    Jim Covello, Sharmin Mossavar-Rahmani

    Goldman Sachs analysts project that global AI capital expenditures will surpass $3 trillion by 2026, though they warn of distinct "earnings bubbles" in public markets and "valuation bubbles" in private sectors driven by unsustainable demand. While consumer adoption remains strong, enterprise integration faces hurdles due to data fragmentation, leading experts to predict a strategic shift toward specialized Small Language Models that prioritize efficiency over mass labor replacement. The investment landscape is further complicated by geopolitical divisions favoring the U.S. in chip infrastructure and China in model production, alongside concerns over circular financing practices that delay profitability for large-cap companies.

  4. Goldman Sachs27 min

    Jigsaw CEO Yasmin Green on AI and using technology for good

    Yasmin Green, Sharmin Mossavar-Rahmani, Sharmeen Masovar-Rahmani

    Jigsaw, a semi-autonomous unit within Google, applies interdisciplinary research to develop AI tools like the Perspective API and Bowling Green pilot that enhance online discourse while addressing the societal shift from information literacy to information sensibility. Led by founders Yasmin Green and Jared Cohen, the group analyzes the trajectory of artificial general intelligence to predict the automation of entry-level work and the potential for AI to exacerbate global inequalities. Their current strategic focus counters public anxiety about technological subservience by prioritizing human connection and workflow-centric organizational structures over raw computational acceleration.

  5. Goldman Sachs19 min

    Keep on truckin’: Will the US continue to outperform other markets?

    Sharmin Mossavar-Rahmani, Sharmeen Mosavar-Rahmani, Alison

    Goldman Sachs Wealth Management forecasts an 8% base return for U.S. equities in 2025, advocating for a strategic shift from non-U.S. public markets toward U.S.-oriented private assets despite elevated valuations. The firm advises against allocating capital to China, gold, or cryptocurrencies, citing structural headwinds and a lack of intrinsic value, while predicting that interest rates will decline as tariffs remain limited. Consequently, the outlook recommends maintaining a high-quality fixed income hedge to navigate volatility rather than employing costly derivatives or selling equities for tax avoidance.

  6. Goldman Sachs22 min

    2021 Investment Outlook: “US Resilient”

    Sharmin Mossavar-Rahmani, Jake Seward

    Goldman Sachs CIO David Koston presents a 2021 investment strategy centered on the "U.S. Resilient" framework, advocating for sustained U.S. equity exposure despite elevated valuations while assigning a base case 8% total return with specific tactical allocations to bank loans over high-yield bonds. The outlook highlights China as the primary emerging market growth driver and warns of downside risks including vaccine efficacy against variants and geopolitical tensions, though upside potential remains tied to robust fiscal stimulus and pent-up consumer demand. Ultimately, the analysis urges clients to maintain long-term equity participation rather than attempting to time exogenous shocks like the pandemic, citing historical evidence that institutional resilience and economic fundamentals will eventually drive market recovery.

  7. Goldman Sachs13 min

    "Climbing the Wall of Worry”

    Sharmin Mossavar-Rahmani, Liz

    Amidst significant market volatility and policy uncertainty, financial advisors are urging investors to maintain a long-term strategic asset allocation prioritizing equities over cash and bonds. The presentation projects mid-single-digit annual returns for the next decade while forecasting a labor market recovery that may not reach historical lows until 2023. Furthermore, despite concerns regarding the upcoming election and rising federal debt, experts advise against market timing, citing a consensus that $1.5 trillion in additional fiscal stimulus is imminent and necessary to prevent an economic cliff.

  8. Goldman Sachs57 min

    The State of the Real Estate Market

    Sharmin Mossavar-Rahmani, Alan Kava, Roy March, Ralph Rosenberg, Sharmeen Mosavaramani

    On April 24, 2020, Goldman Sachs, KKR, and Eastdale executives analyzed a global real estate market defined by record cap rate spreads, an 80% drop in private transaction volumes, and divergent sector performance driven by the COVID-19 pandemic. While hospitality and retail faced existential threats from plummeting occupancy and accelerating structural decline, industrial and life science sectors demonstrated resilience through e-commerce growth and near-perfect rent collections. Industry leaders anticipate a prolonged recovery period where well-capitalized banks may stabilize the market, yet a sharp bifurcation remains between distressed "have-to" sellers and liquidity-rich investors poised to acquire depressed assets.