Latest Interviews
Showing 211–225 of 525 transcripts.
Clear all filters- Goldman Sachs9 min
“The most attractive hedge”
Goldman Sachs and global investors are reassessing the U.S. dollar following a 10% pre-inauguration depreciation driven by downward real GDP revisions from 2.5% to 1.3% and a widening growth gap against Europe. Analysts predict a multi-month reversal of long-dollar positions as fair value models show the currency remains 10% to 15% overvalued, with the short dollar/yen trade emerging as a primary catalyst contingent on tariff policy and Federal Reserve reaction functions. While immediate directional positioning is advised against pending clearer White House news and data releases, the structural shift suggests accelerated market moves within the next two to three months.
- Goldman Sachs19 min
How insurers are navigating volatile markets
Mike Siegel, Matt Armas, Alison Nathan
The 14th annual Goldman Sachs Insurance Survey of 400 companies managing $13 trillion in assets reveals a strategic "Great Pivot" by life insurers shifting from public to private markets to capture liquidity premiums and mitigate volatility. This reallocation, alongside a surge in defensive investments in AI infrastructure, aims to enhance operational efficiency and diversify long-duration liabilities while navigating a complex environment of rising bond rates and equity swings. Collectively, these shifts support a booming industry outlook where improved returns and fixed-rate product demand drive lower policy costs and stronger capital deployment across both life and property-casualty sectors.
- Goldman Sachs26 min
Will tariffs lead to a recession?
Paul Krugman, Jan Hatzius, Oren Cass, Allison Nathan
Prominent economists Paul Krugman, Jan Hatzius, and Oren Cass debated the Trump administration's historic tariff expansion, which Krugman identifies as an unprecedented economic shock and Hatzius projects will reduce GDP growth by two percentage points while raising recession probabilities to 45%. While Krugman warns that policy uncertainty will stifle business investment and Hatzius cautions that the Federal Reserve faces a difficult trade-off between inflation and stagnation, Cass argues the measures represent a necessary structural correction to global supply chains that will eventually stimulate domestic production. The panel concluded that although immediate data lags obscure the full extent of damage, the severity of the downturn will ultimately depend on the Federal Reserve's ability to balance conflicting price and employment mandates against a backdrop of rapidly shifting trade policy.
- Goldman Sachs42 min
Warburg Pincus CEO Jeffrey Perlman on navigating a trickier private equity environment
Warburg Pincus CEO Jeffrey Perlman, who succeeded Chip Kaye in September 2025, outlined the firm's strategy to navigate a structural interest rate environment and declining performance persistence by leveraging a $45 billion distribution record and a "diversification by design" approach. The discussion highlighted the firm's 30th anniversary expansion in Asia, where shifting from minority stakes to majority control aims to capitalize on two-thirds of projected global growth despite tariff disruptions. Looking forward, Perlman emphasized the transformative potential of Artificial Intelligence in deal sourcing and operational efficiency while reinforcing a culture that prioritizes the institution over individual legacy.
- Goldman Sachs27 min
Is the market underpricing recession risks?
Tony Pasquarello, Josh Schifrin, Dominic Wilson
Following a pause on reciprocal tariffs that reduced immediate policy risk, analysts warn that recession fears remain significant and underpriced despite recent market rallies. While the U.S. dollar is entering a projected structural bear market over the next 6–12 months and oil faces downward pressure from disinflationary tariffs, equity volatility is expected to persist until clear trade outcomes emerge. Federal Reserve rate cuts will likely wait until deep financial stress or labor market cracks appear, with Chair Powell emphasizing the need to avoid unanchoring inflation expectations before acting aggressively.
- Goldman Sachs20 min
The case for private credit
James Reynolds, Lotfi Karoui, Alison Nathan
With private credit assets expanding to $2.1 trillion, the sector has evolved into a dominant financing alternative for private equity and sub-investment-grade borrowers, driven by institutional investors seeking inflation hedges and floating-rate yields. Despite limited historical recession data, the industry demonstrates resilience through superior creditor coordination and regulatory leverage caps that mitigate systemic fragility compared to the pre-2008 banking system. Looking forward, senior direct lending and flexible capital solutions in Europe and the U.S. present primary growth areas as traditional bank underwriting retreats, while emerging distressed opportunities in cyclical sectors offer avenues for debt-to-equity restructuring.
- Goldman Sachs10 min
Opportunities amidst historic volatility
Josh Schifrin and market analysts assess a volatile economic landscape where projected tariffs threaten to spark inflation and a temporary growth dip while creating a binary risk scenario between a trade war recession or a deal-driven recovery. Treasury yields have surged following hawkish commentary on tariff-induced inflation, breaking historical inverse correlations with equities and signaling fragility in market liquidity that mirrors structural stresses without reaching COVID-era severity. Despite this turbulence, strategists recommend buying equity dips and anticipate a weakening U.S. dollar alongside bearish oil prices as the market awaits the outcomes of the 90-day tariff pause to stabilize the frenetic trading environment.
- Goldman Sachs36 min
The recession question
Jan Hatzius, Dominic Wilson, Alison Nathan
Goldman Sachs has revised its U.S. economic forecast from optimistic to pessimistic, estimating a 45–50% recession probability as average tariff rates climb to 15–25%, which simultaneously drives inflation higher and suppresses growth. The firm projects the Federal Reserve will cut rates by 75 basis points in the near term if a soft landing occurs, though deeper cuts may follow if economic deterioration accelerates. These policy shifts coincide with a paradoxical market environment where Treasury yields and equity volatility rise, the U.S. dollar weakens against major currencies, and global growth forecasts turn negative across 21 of 25 covered economies.
- Goldman Sachs32 min
OpenAI CFO Sarah Friar on the race to build artificial general intelligence
Goldman Sachs and OpenAI leaders outline a strategic pivot toward full-stack infrastructure, highlighted by a $500 billion "Stargate" investment plan designed to secure 10 gigawatts of compute power for advanced reasoning models and autonomous agents. This capital deployment addresses severe hardware bottlenecks while driving breakthroughs in O-series models that now achieve PhD-level scientific proficiency and global coding supremacy. With revenue tripling annually and immediate plans to scale AI into education and enterprise banking, OpenAI aims to reach artificial general intelligence capabilities while treating an initial public offering as a long-term objective rather than an immediate priority.
- Goldman Sachs11 min
Recession watch: How to hedge now
Daan Struyven, Allison Nathan, Don Stryven
Recorded on April 8, 2025, Goldman Sachs analysts presented a strategic pivot toward hedging with commodities, projecting a 10% rise in gold to $3,300 per ounce under stagnation while forecasting a decline to $55 per barrel for Brent crude by 2026. The presentation detailed a "long gold, short oil" portfolio architecture designed to capitalize on anticipated Fed rate cuts and supply surges, respectively, with recession scenarios potentially pushing gold toward $4,250 or oil below $40. Additionally, the analysis highlighted copper's resilient long-term outlook driven by supply deficits, despite near-term volatility exacerbated by U.S. tariff announcements.
- Goldman Sachs27 min
Jigsaw CEO Yasmin Green on AI and using technology for good
Yasmin Green, Sharmin Mossavar-Rahmani, Sharmeen Masovar-Rahmani
Jigsaw, a semi-autonomous unit within Google, applies interdisciplinary research to develop AI tools like the Perspective API and Bowling Green pilot that enhance online discourse while addressing the societal shift from information literacy to information sensibility. Led by founders Yasmin Green and Jared Cohen, the group analyzes the trajectory of artificial general intelligence to predict the automation of entry-level work and the potential for AI to exacerbate global inequalities. Their current strategic focus counters public anxiety about technological subservience by prioritizing human connection and workflow-centric organizational structures over raw computational acceleration.
- Goldman Sachs36 min
Bain Capital’s David Gross on global opportunities and private equity’s evolution
Bain Capital Co-Managing Partner David Gross outlined a bullish macro strategy targeting Japan's fragmented buyout market, Germany's divestiture wave, and India's stabilizing governance structure while leveraging a dedicated macro team to identify investable themes. To sustain competitive advantage, the firm is scaling its operational capabilities with 130 value creation professionals and deploying a venture arm to integrate disruptive technologies like AI across its portfolio. This approach, underpinned by Bain's private partnership model and disciplined valuation entry, has enabled distribution yields exceeding 30% in North America and positions the firm to navigate current cyclical lows toward a recovery in deployment and liquidity.
- Goldman Sachs26 min
How Robin Hood CEO Rich Buery is addressing NYC’s rising poverty rates
Rich Buery, Richard Buery, Tony Pasquariello
The Robin Hood Foundation addresses New York City's rising poverty rate, which has surged to 25% due to expiring pandemic benefits and rising living costs, by deploying a $129 million investment strategy in 2024. This approach combines direct funding for high-impact interventions like the CUNY ASAP program with advocacy for systemic changes and the exploration of AI solutions to expand economic opportunity. Led by CEO Rich Beery, the organization utilizes evidence-based research and public-private partnerships to prioritize early childhood education and policy reforms that yield measurable long-term societal benefits.
- Goldman Sachs9 min
Can US equities rally again?
Market strategist John Flood identifies April 2nd as a critical clearing event poised to unlock trading activity from frozen hedge funds and asset managers following a March sell-off that targeted recent U.S. positions in financials and industrials. This anticipated catalyst coincides with a potential $25 billion pension rebalancing flow and a compressed buyback blackout for corporations, while investor sentiment shifts as retail re-engagement and potential CTA short-covering create upward momentum toward the S&P 500's 200-day moving average. Despite ongoing risks from upcoming tariff announcements and overvalued consumer staples, Flood maintains an optimistic outlook that the market's highest velocity de-risking is complete, leaving risk skewed to the upside.
- Goldman Sachs40 min
Medal of Honor Recipients share their stories of courage and leadership
Command Master Chief Britt Slabinski, Captain Florent Groberg, Matt Gibson, Britt Slabinski, Florent Groberg
Goldman Sachs hosted a special session featuring Medal of Honor recipients Britt Slabinski and Flo Groberg to discuss how military principles of courage, resilience, and teamwork apply to high-performing corporate environments. Drawing from their combat experiences in Afghanistan and subsequent careers, the speakers emphasized that exceptional leadership requires prioritizing team success over individual glory and maintaining human connection even as AI integrates into operations. Their insights provided a framework for organizational culture by advocating for leaders to operate with conviction and compassion, ensuring employees feel valued and aligned with a clear mission.