Latest Interviews
Showing 841–855 of 1,191 interview transcripts.
Clear all filters- Goldman Sachs10 min
The Outlook for the Corporate Credit Default Cycle
Goldman Sachs identified three sequential credit risks in early March, noting that Federal Reserve intervention in late March successfully mitigated the most severe credit crunch and liquidity impairment while leaving fundamental financial distress intact. Although the central bank's announcement triggered an 85% surge in primary market issuance and normalized secondary trading conditions, the firm maintains a 13% default rate forecast for the year due to persistent earnings pressure on lower-rated issuers. Market participants anticipate a strategic shift toward restructurings rather than liquidations, with a projected sector rotation back into cyclical industries like energy as the economic recovery progresses.
- Goldman Sachs21 min
Daniel Susskind, Author of "A World Without Work"
Economist Daniel Susskind argues that the 21st century faces a crisis of scarcity for well-paid work driven by technology rather than a lack of tasks, creating distinct challenges in inequality, concentrated power, and the erosion of meaning derived from employment. While dismissing Malthusian pessimism, Susskind predicts that technological expansion will eventually double global GDP per capita within decades, prompting a necessary policy shift from traditional labor market regulation to "leisure policies" and the rapid adoption of Universal Basic Income to address the immediate collapse in demand exacerbated by the pandemic. To navigate this transition, he advises young professionals to either cultivate non-routine interpersonal skills that resist automation or acquire technical expertise to design automated systems, warning that current educational models remain dangerously misaligned with future economic realities.
- Goldman Sachs8 min
Measuring the Reopening of America
A new analytical framework quantifies the impact of staggered social distancing relaxations on human behavior by integrating high-frequency data from OpenTable, Google, and Apple across venues like retail locations and workplaces. This approach monitors divergent corporate recovery signals, noting a 135% surge in PayPal account signups alongside a 1,500% spike in video chat usage, while ride-sharing demand in New York City climbs 14% despite strict lockdowns. Although heavy manufacturing activity remains down by over 90%, the framework uses these lagging industrial metrics and consumer behavior trends to forecast broader economic resumption.
- Goldman Sachs27 min
Bernard Looney, Chief Executive Officer of BP
BP CEO Bernard Looney led the company through a historic demand collapse and supply disruption by prioritizing workforce safety, community support, and financial liquidity while navigating the "Black April" crisis. Concurrently, Looney accelerated BP's strategic shift toward clean energy with a net-zero commitment by 2050, driven by shifting societal values and investor sentiment regarding ecological fragility. The leadership approach also emphasized a cultural transformation focused on employee mental health, authentic communication, and ethical decision-making to rebuild societal trust.
- Goldman Sachs7 min
How Coronavirus is Changing the Way Food is Bought and Sold
The grocery industry has demonstrated resilience by adapting supply chains to shifting consumption patterns, specifically a return to shelf-stable goods and historic brands as consumers cook at home. While current shortages stem from distribution logistics rather than production limits, the crisis has triggered a competitive tension between large, rigid manufacturers and agile smaller rivals. Analysts anticipate this event will permanently alter the decades-long trend of rising out-of-home dining, forcing major industry players to accelerate supply chain optimization to maintain market share against emerging competitors.
- Goldman Sachs8 min
Richard Gnodde on Navigating Through a Crisis
European business leaders are pivoting from immediate crisis survival to analyzing divergent demand trajectories, while central bank interventions maintain liquidity despite a disconnect between negative macro data and positive risk asset performance. This universal event has accelerated digital adoption by three to four years, rendering a return to pre-crisis models a strategic error. Simultaneously, deteriorating U.S.-China trade dynamics and the upcoming U.S. election pose significant variables that could either fracture or deepen regional integration in the post-crisis global operating environment.
- Goldman Sachs8 min
Telehealth’s Rapid Rise
Telehealth has rapidly expanded from primary care to encompass mental health, chronic disease management, and biopharma engagement through employer benefits, direct-to-consumer models, and integrated hospital systems. Regulatory shifts during the pandemic, including Medicare reimbursement parity and cross-state licensing, removed historical barriers while maintaining HIPAA compliance to address privacy concerns. This evolution drives long-term cost reductions by prioritizing home-based care and improving access for underserved populations, although certain specialties like anesthesiology remain physically constrained to in-person interactions.
- Goldman Sachs27 min
António Guterres, United Nations Secretary-General
UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres identifies the COVID-19 pandemic as the most severe global crisis since World War II, exposing critical fragilities in multilateral governance and the urgent need for a unified international strategy. He warns that the emergency is exacerbating deep-rooted inequalities, disproportionately affecting women, refugees, and the informal economy while threatening democratic stability through rising authoritarian surveillance and mental health burdens. Guterres calls for an unprecedented mobilization of resources involving the IMF, private sector expertise, and immediate debt relief to prevent systemic insolvencies and steer future recovery toward a greener, more inclusive global order.
- Goldman Sachs8 min
Tracking China’s Economic Recovery
Goldman Sachs China Equity Research deployed a custom aggregated demand tracker synthesizing 58 weekly data inputs to gauge real-time economic recovery against lagging official statistics. The analysis reveals aggregate demand reached 81% of pre-pandemic levels by late April, driven by strong rebounds in consumer staples and construction while discretionary sectors like air travel remain severely depressed. Concurrently, the firm projects a structural shift toward new infrastructure spending, which is expected to grow by over 20% this year to offset near-term slowdowns and drive future productivity.
- Goldman Sachs1h 1m
Phasing in the Reopening of the Economy
Sharmin Mossavar-Rahmani, Dr. Luciana Borio, Dr. Florian Krammer, Sharmeen Mosavaramani
As of April 2020, global infections surpassed 3.2 million with 61,600 U.S. fatalities, prompting a complex transition toward economic reopening despite many states failing to meet sustained case reduction criteria. Therapeutic advancements, notably the NIH's findings on baricitinib, offer potential mortality reductions while experimental monoclonal antibodies and multiple vaccine platforms aim for deployment by mid-year to address the pathogen's persistence. Public health officials warn that premature relaxation of restrictions risks autumnal resurgence, necessitating robust testing expansion and contact tracing to manage recurring waves until herd immunity is achieved.
- Goldman Sachs8 min
Jason Mathews on Major Themes Driving Markets
Analysts are divided between an optimistic camp anticipating a six-week economic reopening supported by stimulus and a pessimistic camp warning of long-term damage from massive job losses and reduced equity buybacks. The energy sector faces intense scrutiny regarding solvency amidst negative oil prices, prompting investors to seek firms with strong balance sheets or bet on tanker companies holding storage capacity. Meanwhile, over $1 trillion has flowed into money market funds, creating a significant liquidity reserve that may fuel future market appreciation once the current focus on COVID-19 outcomes shifts to election-related volatility.
- Goldman Sachs23 min
Deepak Chopra, MD, Founder of The Chopra Foundation
Dr. Andrew Newberg outlines a framework for managing crisis by applying the S-T-O-P technique to dissolve emotions through non-judgmental physical observation and biological self-regulation. He connects historical technological advancements following past upheavals to a future where algorithms correlate mental and biological states to foster creativity over anxiety. This approach culminates in a philosophy of emotional intelligence that progresses from empathy to love, driving biological healing through limbic resonance while promoting a post-crisis ecosystem built on humility and shared purpose.
- Goldman Sachs9 min
How Corporate CEOs are Navigating the Shutdown
Over the past eight weeks, corporate clients have transitioned from securing liquidity to navigating Q1 earnings calls, where board members are actively intervening on capital allocation and workforce strategies amid a market where 90% of clients face disruption. While M&A activity remains suppressed pending stability, emerging pent-up demand suggests a resurgence in the second half of the year as leaders adapt operational models and shift engagement practices toward hybrid video interactions. Goldman Sachs has facilitated this crisis response by increasing internal communication frequencies and leveraging virtual platforms to guide clients through sector-specific reopening protocols and strategic value reassessments.
- Goldman Sachs8 min
How the Shutdown is Driving Millennial Investing Themes
Over the last five years, the fundamental equity team has identified the 2.3 billion millennial demographic as a primary driver of tech-enabled consumption and wellness trends. The pandemic accelerated these behaviors by forcing mass adoption of e-commerce, streaming services, and remote work tools across all age groups, resulting in record adoption metrics for platforms like Shopify, Disney+, and Zoom. Looking ahead, the team expects a rebound in experiential spending driven by pent-up demand and continues to prioritize investments in sustainable packaging, genomics-driven healthcare, and companies capable of surviving the lockdown period.
- Goldman Sachs57 min
The State of the Real Estate Market
Sharmin Mossavar-Rahmani, Alan Kava, Roy March, Ralph Rosenberg, Sharmeen Mosavaramani
On April 24, 2020, Goldman Sachs, KKR, and Eastdale executives analyzed a global real estate market defined by record cap rate spreads, an 80% drop in private transaction volumes, and divergent sector performance driven by the COVID-19 pandemic. While hospitality and retail faced existential threats from plummeting occupancy and accelerating structural decline, industrial and life science sectors demonstrated resilience through e-commerce growth and near-perfect rent collections. Industry leaders anticipate a prolonged recovery period where well-capitalized banks may stabilize the market, yet a sharp bifurcation remains between distressed "have-to" sellers and liquidity-rich investors poised to acquire depressed assets.