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  1. Goldman Sachs15 min

    Emerging Markets: Stirred, But Not Yet Shaken

    Kamakshya Trivedi, Alison Nathan

    Goldman Sachs analysts observe that risky assets recently reversed gains following an Iran conflict-driven oil spike, shifting market expectations from rate cuts to an inflation shock that has strengthened the US dollar through favorable terms of trade. While traditional hedges have underperformed, the firm maintains a positive outlook for emerging market equities, projecting 10–12% upside driven by robust earnings and structural trends like the AI semiconductor supply chain rather than multiple expansion. This bullish stance assumes the energy crisis remains short-duration; however, a prolonged conflict threatening physical supply shortages could force a re-evaluation of growth estimates and trigger significant market damage.

  2. Goldman Sachs28 min

    Europe’s Opportunity, AI, and Market Volatility with Goldman Sachs International's Co-CEOs

    Anthony Gutman, Kunal Shah, Allison Nathan

    Goldman Sachs navigates Middle East geopolitical instability while reinforcing its regional foothold through a new Riyadh wealth license and a $25 billion partnership with the Qatar Investment Authority. Strategically, the firm capitalizes on resilient Asian markets and European growth pockets in Spain and Poland, targeting infrastructure financing and private wealth expansion despite short-term currency volatility. Driven by robust corporate balance sheets and AI-fueled efficiency, leaders maintain a positive long-term economic outlook and anticipate continued M&A activity and capital market issuance as markets differentiate between structural trends and event-driven shocks.

  3. Goldman Sachs10 min

    Untangling Signals of Market Stress

    John Flood, Chris Hussey

    Markets are navigating extreme volatility driven by unresolved geopolitical conflicts, evidenced by a VIX spike to 30, oil approaching $100 per barrel, and S&P 500 futures depth collapsing to $3.8 million from historical averages. Institutional investors are executing heavy macro hedges and shorting broad products while rotating capital into U.S. equities as a safe haven, despite record trading volumes and degraded liquidity quality. The near-term market trajectory hinges on consecutive negative jobs data potentially destabilizing retail sentiment, though a return to geopolitical clarity is expected to trigger a rapid unwinding of macro shorts and a rotation back into Asian and European assets.

  4. Goldman Sachs15 min

    Can Software Survive AI?

    Gabriela Borges, Allison Nathan

    Goldman Sachs and industry analysts report a market sentiment shift in the software sector, where investor concerns over AI-driven existential risks have triggered significant sell-offs by challenging the defensibility of incumbent technology moats. In response, major players like Salesforce and Microsoft are executing strategic replatforming, targeted M&A, and granular monetization tactics to validate that their integrated AI solutions outperform third-party alternatives. Despite slowed revenue growth rates, the sector is showing signs of stabilization as companies demonstrate improved free cash flow margins and attract value-oriented investors seeking GAAP profitability over unchecked stock-based compensation.

  5. Goldman Sachs8 min

    New Worries

    Josh Schiffrin, Chris Hussey, Josh Shiprin

    Goldman Sachs Chief Strategy Officer Josh Shiprin highlighted that geopolitical instability and surging oil prices have overshadowed recent payrolls data, creating a complex stagflationary environment that complicates the Federal Reserve's outlook. While maintaining confidence in an impending rate cut, Shiprin warned that the duration of the conflict could alter the timing of reductions and urged investors to adopt a long-term strategy focused on a steepening U.S. 2s10s yield curve amidst heightened market uncertainty.

  6. Goldman Sachs13 min

    $120 Oil Ahead?

    Jerome Dortmans, Chris Hussey

    Goldman Sachs' Jerome Dortmans warns that the Iran conflict has disrupted 20% of global oil and LNG output, creating unhedgeable supply shortages that could deplete strategic reserves within days. He forecasts prices will surge toward $100–$120 per barrel if the disruption persists beyond three days, with diesel and jet fuel facing the most severe immediate constraints. Dortmans cautions that market complacency is dangerous, predicting material inflationary impacts that will primarily affect major importers like China and India as geopolitical priorities shift away from Western refining systems.

  7. Goldman Sachs31 min

    Lloyd Blankfein on His Memoir, Risk Management and Leadership

    Lloyd Blankfein, David Solomon

    Former Goldman Sachs Chairman and CEO Lloyd Blankfein details his tenure from 2006 to 2018, contrasting the firm's unique partnership culture with post-IPO public market pressures while outlining specific strategies that enabled survival during the 2007–2008 financial crisis. He attributes this resilience to rigorous mark-to-market accounting and a proactive risk-management focus on tail events, rather than predictive foresight, alongside a leadership philosophy centered on "managing down" to foster collective ownership. Blankfein's memoir, "Streetwise," further examines his journey from Brooklyn public housing to Wall Street, the firm's expansion into philanthropy through 10,000 Women, and the deliberate preservation of Goldman Sachs' distinctive internal culture amidst structural evolution.

  8. Goldman Sachs14 min

    Oil Market Impacts from Iran

    Daan Struyven, Alison Nathan, Don Stroivind

    A U.S. and Israeli military campaign against Iran resulted in the death of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, triggering a significant disruption to oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz and causing Brent crude prices to surge 25% year-to-date. While Goldman Sachs forecasts a base case of no sustained supply interruptions with prices stabilizing by late 2026, the market currently prices in a risk premium for a potential one-month closure that could drive costs to triple digits. As global spare capacity remains trapped by the blockade and U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve levels remain low, the situation presents immediate inflationary risks and elevated geopolitical tail risks for Gulf Cooperation Council infrastructure.

  9. Goldman Sachs10 min

    A New Way to Trade Emerging Markets

    Stratford Dennis, Chris Hussey

    Global emerging market equities have surged 15% year-to-date on $45 billion in inflows, driven by strong earnings fundamentals and a weaker US dollar that specifically benefits non-China regions like Korea and Brazil. While broad markets rally, China lags due to a lack of earnings growth and tariff headwinds, prompting investors to shift capital toward Latin American assets and structural plays like call spreads to manage valuation risks. Goldman Sachs maintains a bullish stance on this "EM ex-China" exposure, citing anticipated Brazilian interest rate cuts and election cycles as key catalysts for continued, albeit slower, appreciation.

  10. Goldman Sachs32 min

    Board Governance in 2026: AI Oversight, Activism, and Delaware’s Edge

    Larry Cunningham, John F.W. Rogers

    The University of Delaware's John L. Weinberg Center for Corporate Governance marked its 25th anniversary by unveiling the book *Boardroom Legacy*, which contextualizes John L. Weinberg's 1948 thesis on board stewardship through contributions from fifteen scholars and support from Goldman Sachs. Symposium speakers highlighted Weinberg's prescient advocacy for independent audit committees and CEO oversight while discussing modern governance challenges, including SEC Chair Paul Atkins' intent to reform shareholder proposal processes and the persistent market dominance of Delaware's legal infrastructure. Additionally, the event explored Warren Buffett's enduring influence on corporate succession planning and capital allocation strategies, cementing the center's role as a hub for bridging historical governance principles with contemporary regulatory and strategic realities.

  11. Goldman Sachs20 min

    Why Japanese Stocks Could Keep Rallying

    Bruce Kirk, Alison Nathan

    Driven by Prime Minister Senei Takeuchi's snap election victory, Japanese equities have surged 14% year-to-date in 2026, outperforming US benchmarks and triggering a Goldman Sachs price target increase based on anticipated political stability. This supermajority is expected to facilitate long-term policy continuity, attracting foreign capital as investors anticipate concrete corporate governance reforms and accelerated ROE growth to sustain the current market cycle. While risks such as leadership transitions or policy missteps remain, the landslide win signals a transition into a "delivery phase" where structural economic security and defense clarity ahead of the March 19 summit will likely drive further valuation expansion.

  12. Goldman Sachs8 min

    Tech Comeback Ahead?

    Peter Callahan, Mike Washington

    In 2026, the technology sector is experiencing a 3% to 4% year-to-date decline and lagging the broader market for the first time in 15 years as investor focus shifts from generative AI infrastructure builds to commercial implementation and revenue verification. Despite "best-in-class" earnings growth across the Mag Seven cohort, equity valuations remain suppressed because companies face intense pressure to convert massive capital expenditures into immediate top-line growth within the next 6 to 24 months. Analysts maintain a constructive outlook on clean tech valuations but anticipate high volatility in the coming weeks as the market transitions from sector-wide moves to stock-specific differentiation.

  13. Goldman Sachs16 min

    The New AI Trades

    Ryan Hammond, Allison Nathan

    In early 2026, software stocks suffered a 25% valuation collapse as forward earnings multiples compressed, while investors grappled with AI-driven disruption risks across sectors like legal and media. Simultaneously, five U.S. hyperscalers are projected to spend $660 billion on capital expenditures this year, a surge consuming 90% of their operating cash flows that has forced reduced buybacks and increased debt reliance. Amidst these headwinds, Goldman Sachs forecasts an S&P 500 recovery driven primarily by 12% fourth-quarter earnings growth and a market rotation toward cyclical sectors rather than AI-centric leaders.

  14. Goldman Sachs10 min

    Still Bullish on Gold

    Lina Thomas, Chris Hussey

    Competing demand from central banks and private investors is driving a self-reinforcing rally in gold prices, while Goldman Sachs forecasts a 2026 target of $5,400 based on declining Federal Reserve rates and fiscal debasement fears. The silver market is experiencing extreme volatility due to a severe liquidity squeeze in London vaults, which Goldman Sachs expects to persist despite the metal's potential as a speculative vehicle. Although geopolitical tensions are fueling broader commodity stockpiling, the firm distinguishes gold's constrained supply as superior to the scalable nature of non-precious metals like copper, which limits their capacity for a sustained super cycle.

  15. Goldman Sachs25 min

    Fundamentals Still Matter: Lone Pine’s David Craver

    David Craver, Tony Pasquarello

    David Craver of Lone Pine Capital argues that structural shifts in market volatility and valuation norms have created a favorable environment for duration-based fundamental investors who focus on secular growth themes. Leveraging deep private market insights and a concentrated strategy, the firm maintains a bullish stance on AI infrastructure as a generational platform shift while anticipating a mid-term phase where established incumbents leverage technology to drive efficiency. Craver emphasizes that his investment discipline relies on rigorous fundamental analysis and the flexibility to adapt when facts evolve, positioning the firm to capitalize on the predicted disruption in top market cap names by 2035.