Kamakshya Trivedi
Showing 1–4 of 4 transcripts.
- Goldman Sachs15 min
Emerging Markets: Stirred, But Not Yet Shaken
Kamakshya Trivedi, Alison Nathan
Goldman Sachs analysts observe that risky assets recently reversed gains following an Iran conflict-driven oil spike, shifting market expectations from rate cuts to an inflation shock that has strengthened the US dollar through favorable terms of trade. While traditional hedges have underperformed, the firm maintains a positive outlook for emerging market equities, projecting 10–12% upside driven by robust earnings and structural trends like the AI semiconductor supply chain rather than multiple expansion. This bullish stance assumes the energy crisis remains short-duration; however, a prolonged conflict threatening physical supply shortages could force a re-evaluation of growth estimates and trigger significant market damage.
- Goldman Sachs27 min
Goldman Sachs Exchanges: Outlook 2026 | Episode 3: Assets and Allocation
Peter Oppenheimer, Kamakshya Trivedi, Daan Struyven, Christian Mueller-Glissmann, Alyssa Nathan
A 2026 global equity strategy forecasts sustained optimism driven by profit growth and moderating inflation, with a strategic tilt toward undervalued emerging markets and AI application sectors. The outlook anticipates a depreciating US dollar and a tail end of global easing, prompting portfolio managers to favor equities over credit while hedging against stretched valuations through diversified alternatives. Simultaneously, commodities are positioned for divergence, featuring a base case for a 10% gold rally and strategic long exposure to local US power markets fueled by surging AI data center demand.
- Goldman Sachs26 min
Tariffs: What’s ahead and why it matters
Alec Phillips, Joseph Briggs, Kamakshya Trivedi, Alison Nathan
Starting February 1, 2025, the administration implemented a 10% tariff on Chinese imports and delayed measures against Canada and Mexico while accelerating steel and aluminum duties to 25% with no exemptions. This unprecedented two-week escalation compresses trade war dynamics into a single window, projecting a mid-single-digit rise in effective U.S. tariff rates that could slow American growth by 25 basis points and push core inflation to 2.6% by year-end. As global central banks diverge with the Federal Reserve adopting a slightly hawkish stance, investors are increasingly hedging against dollar strength while anticipating a pivotal April 1 report on structural tariff mechanisms.
- Goldman Sachs26 min
How a popular trade collapsed — and why it matters
Kamakshya Trivedi, Praneet Shah, Allison Nathan
Following a surge to record speculative highs in 2024, the yen carry trade unraveled after the Bank of Japan's rate hike and expectations of US Federal Reserve cuts narrowed the critical yield differential. This reversal triggered a negative feedback loop of forced liquidations across global markets, affecting currencies from the Mexican peso to the Chinese renminbi, while distinct dynamics emerged between the rapid unwinding of hedge fund positions and the slower rebalancing of institutional portfolios. Despite the immediate volatility, economists anticipate the trade could regain relevance by mid-November if US economic data supports the restoration of attractive global yield spreads.