Latest Interviews
Showing 106–109 of 109 transcripts.
Clear all filtersMorgan Housel: Understanding Elon Musk, Jensen Huang and Other Outliers in Tech
Morgan Housel, Elon Musk, Jensen Huang, Molly O'Shea
Financial writer Morgan Housel discusses how 90% of outlier success in fields like venture capital and publishing stems from uncontrollable luck rather than replicable strategies, challenging the validity of morning routines and predictive forecasting. He contrasts this by analyzing the post-2020 capital cycle, noting that the transition from zero interest rates to a 5.5% discount environment has forced a return to valuing current cash flows over speculative stories to flush out unsustainable "tourist investors." Drawing on themes from *The Psychology of Money* and *The Same as Ever*, Housel argues that while specific market conditions and technologies evolve, human behavioral constants regarding greed and fear remain the only reliable guide for navigating financial uncertainty.
David Weisburd, 10X Capital: Finding Alpha and LP Bias
David Weisberg, the strategy architect behind Tenex Capital's venture franchise, leverages his *Liquidity* podcast to dissect the structural tensions between General Partners and Limited Partners in today's AI-driven market. He argues that the sector operates as an access class defined by a critical misalignment between founder risk mitigation and the LP demand for concentrated power-law outcomes, a dynamic that creates volatility during conflicting economic cycles. Weisberg advises navigating this environment through time diversification, limiting portfolios to fifteen to twenty-five positions to optimize alpha, and utilizing early-stage secondary sales to return capital without relying solely on lagging DPI metrics.
Alex Kolicich, 8VC: Exodus of Venture Capital, AI Predictions
Alex Kulisic, founding partner of 8VC, outlines a market correction driven by post-2021 leverage distortions while forecasting a temporary AI overhype followed by a decade of transformative knowledge work. He identifies a shift toward disciplined capital allocation across software, biotech, and defense, noting that current enterprise value creation remains nascent despite infrastructure enthusiasm. Ultimately, Kulisic advises founders to capitalize on available dry powder by prioritizing durable product-market fit over transient feature parity as the sector matures.
Xander Oltmann, Commodity Capital: Downfall of SaaS & Uprising of Vertically Integrated Monopolies
Commodity Capital founder Xander Oltman invests in pre-seed hard tech and manufacturing companies by leveraging declining software costs to build vertically integrated monopolies that bypass traditional SaaS vulnerabilities. Backed by industry figures like David Sachs and public CEOs, the firm targets assets such as Hadrian and Armada that utilize AI and modern APIs to achieve superior gross margins while competitors face eroding technological moats. This strategy positions the fund to capitalize on a shifting market where distribution and capital intensity drive value, anticipating a 2024 resurgence in IPOs and larger check sizes for defensible operating models.