Latest Interviews

Is higher inflation cause for concern?

Global economies are grappling with unexpected inflationary surges driven by supply chain disruptions, massive stimulus spending, and emerging market crop shortages, with rates soaring far above the 2% targets set by major central banks. While wealthy nations initially hesitated to raise interest rates, emerging markets like Brazil, Russia, and Mexico have aggressively tightened monetary policy to preserve credibility and anchor public expectations. Policymakers now face the critical challenge of distinguishing between temporary price spikes and persistent inflation to prevent long-term economic damage and eroded living standards.

Should we be worried about technology?

Tom Standage

Speaker highlights the cyclical historical pattern of technological optimism and backlash, noting that current "tech lash" sentiments mirror past shifts from Victorian Luddite protests to 1990s dot-com utopianism. The presentation argues that technology itself lacks inherent agency, asserting that societal outcomes depend on human application and that regulatory frameworks must evolve through real-time "sandbox approaches" to manage rapid innovation. To address modern challenges like the climate crisis, the speaker advocates for a measured strategy where further technological solutions, such as geoengineering and electric vehicles, are employed to solve problems created by previous innovations.

How to Find the Right Co-founder

Harj Taggar, Hans Stager

This analysis argues that co-founding remains the optimal strategy for most startups due to productivity gains, emotional stabilization, and higher investment viability compared to single-founder ventures. The discussion details rigorous selection criteria emphasizing stress management and trust, alongside practical methods for sourcing partners through organic networks and trial periods. Finally, it outlines best practices for formalizing the partnership through 50/50 equity splits and clear leadership roles to ensure long-term retention and alignment.

Covid-19: what will it take to vaccinate the world?

Edward Carr

The global vaccination effort faces severe logistical hurdles and a sharp disparity where wealthy nations have hoarded doses while developing countries rely on candidates like AstraZeneca or the transparency-questioned Chinese and Russian alternatives. To counter this inequity, the COVAX facility aims to secure access for lower-income regions, drawing immediate support from the US after President Biden's inauguration to join 190 participating economies. Experts warn that shifting distribution models to prioritize global need over national self-interest is essential to saving millions of lives and preserving future international cooperation on systemic crises.

Inflation: could covid-19 cause prices to rise?

Simon Cox

This analysis examines the collapse of the traditional Phillips curve relationship, which previously predicted that low unemployment would drive inflation, a dynamic that failed to materialize during the 2010s despite record-low joblessness. Various theories now compete to explain this anomaly, including anchored inflation expectations, globalization, and wage rigidity, while central banks have simultaneously shifted to unprecedented fiscal-monetary cooperation to address economic stagnation. Consequently, recent pandemic-era policies featuring massive government stimulus and near-zero interest rates aim to finally breach the persistent low-inflation trap and restore stable price growth.

What is history's deadliest pandemic?

A comprehensive analysis reveals malaria's profound historical role in shaping human migration, the transatlantic slave trade, and the geopolitical outcomes of World War II through its influence on genetics, economies, and military campaigns. While global infection rates have declined due to advanced treatments and targeted strategies like Senegal's genomic surveillance, the legacy of DDT usage remains linked to the origins of the modern environmental movement. Current eradication efforts face significant hurdles as researchers repurpose genomic tools for new pathogens while struggling to secure the estimated $2.7 billion in annual funding required to eliminate the disease by mid-century.

DeepMind solves protein folding | AlphaFold 2

Lex

DeepMind's AlphaFold 2 has solved the fifty-year protein folding challenge by employing attention-based transformer architectures to achieve prediction accuracy rivaling expensive experimental methods. This system outperformed its predecessor and all competitors at the 2018 CASP competition, generating precise three-dimensional structures for millions of proteins despite the astronomical complexity of folding configurations. Experts anticipate this breakthrough will catalyze multiple Nobel Prizes and transform fields ranging from drug discovery to materials science by enabling the computational design of proteins for treating misfolding diseases and engineering agricultural and industrial applications.

Mining the deep sea: the true cost to the planet

Kerry Howell, Matt Upton, Claire

As global demand for green technology minerals outstrips land-based reserves, deep-sea mining operations utilizing vehicles like the ROV Isis target vast deposits of critical metals in the Clarion-Clipperton Zone and hydrothermal vents. While proponents cite Japan's recent successful extraction and the urgency of replacing ethically problematic land mining, scientists warn that the unregulated exploration licenses issued by the International Seabed Authority threaten to destroy unique species and disrupt essential carbon-sequestering ecosystems. The International Seabed Authority is currently evaluating applications that could launch large-scale industrial extraction, prompting urgent calls to weigh these economic gains against the irreversible loss of unknown biodiversity and ecosystem services.

Jia Lynn Yang, Author of "One Mighty and Irresistible Tide"

Jia Lynn Yang, Asahi Pompei

Rooted in the racist eugenics of the 1924 Immigration Act, U.S. immigration policy evolved over decades to prioritize national security and Cold War ideology until President Lyndon B. Johnson signed the 1965 Immigration and Nationality Act. This landmark legislation dismantled ethnic quotas in favor of family reunification and skilled labor preferences, inadvertently triggering massive demographic shifts from Asia, Africa, and Latin America despite original intentions to maintain a white demographic majority. Today, the legacy of these laws continues to shape contentious political debates regarding American identity, refugee admissions, and the ethical balance between open borders and selective restriction.

Public Debt: how much is too much?

Ryan Avent

Between April and June 2020, the United States borrowed a record $3 trillion while the global economy saw public debt surge by an estimated $300 billion due to pandemic-related spending. Historical precedents and favorable conditions, such as low interest rates, have traditionally allowed nations to sustain high debt levels, though experts warn that a potential rise in rates could threaten financial stability. Consequently, economists maintain that despite these risks, continued deficit spending remains essential to prevent lasting damage to the global recovery.

Dr. Khalil Gibran Muhammad, Professor of History, Race and Public Policy at Harvard Kennedy School

Dr. Khalil Gibran Muhammad, Dan Hibbert

Harvard historian Khalil Gibran Muhammad joined Goldman Sachs to dissect the historical roots of systemic racism, tracing modern policing to slave patrols and explaining how racial capitalism sustains a ten-to-one wealth gap between Black and white families. Muhammad distinguished current protests from the Civil Rights era by their unprecedented white participation and argued that lasting change requires the private sector to move beyond reputational philanthropy toward dismantling the political power structures that protect inequality. He concluded that bridging this divide demands a national confrontation with American history, urging universal bias education and the transfer of power from police institutions to local communities to address the true causes of social stratification.

Stockmarket v economy: the impact of covid-19

Alice Fullwood

Amidst the 2020 pandemic crisis, the US stock market surged 38% despite widespread unemployment and racial unrest, driven primarily by Federal Reserve interventions that injected unprecedented liquidity into financial markets. This rally decoupled market performance from real-world economic conditions by disproportionately benefiting technology giants and wealthy asset holders, who own the vast majority of equities compared to lower-income households. While these central bank actions successfully prevented a total economic collapse, they simultaneously exacerbated wealth inequality and created a precarious dependency on federal stimulus for continued asset inflation.

Real Numbers – Episode 16, Finale

Sawyer

The final episode of Season 1 of *Real Numbers* derives five distinct mathematical solutions to the geometric distribution problem of calculating the expected number of half-court shots Danielle needs to make. The episode further analyzes a bonus problem involving two consecutive successes, demonstrating via a recursive state method that the expected attempts equal 30 rather than the intuitive estimate of 25. Concluding the season, the host solicits listener feedback on problem topics, format changes, and potential mathematical depth for the upcoming second season.

Real Numbers – Episode 15, The Half Court Shot

Sawyer

Host discusses probability theory by solving a problem where a student named Jayden schedules two or three exams across five weekdays, calculating expected spans of 1.6 and 2.4 days respectively through enumeration and linearity of expectation. The episode transitions to a new challenge involving a basketball player named Danielle who makes 20% of her half-court shots, asking listeners to determine the expected attempts needed for a single success and for two consecutive makes. While the mathematical framework for the exam scenarios is fully derived and verified, the solution to Danielle's geometric distribution problem remains pending for the listener to solve.

Real Numbers – Episode 13, How Many Snowboards Need Sharpening

Sawyer

This instructional session applies the linearity of expectation to calculate expected values in scenarios involving both independent and dependent selections. Using the marching band example, the analysis demonstrates how fixed global distributions alter probabilities while the method for summing indicator variables remains valid regardless of independence. The presentation concludes by challenging the audience to utilize this specific probabilistic framework to determine the expected number of snowboards requiring sharpening in a student-led lesson environment.