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  1. All-In Podcast1h 28m

    E89: GDP growth negative in Q2, $SHOP layoffs, Alzheimer's fraud, Ginkgo acquires Zymergen & more

    Chamath, Calacanis, Friedberg, David Sacks

    Chamath Palihapitiya and David Sacks analyze the U.S. economy's contraction and persistent inflation, attributing the "Biden recession" to delayed Federal Reserve action and excessive government spending under the Inflation Reduction Act. The discussion highlights corporate failures among tech giants like Shopify and Amazon as evidence of corrected pandemic-era expectations, while also critiquing systemic flaws in scientific research and political media accountability. Ultimately, the speakers warn that continued market distortions through subsidies and policy indecision could trigger a deeper double-dip recession and erode long-term economic stability.

  2. Goldman Sachs21 min

    Investing with Oaktree Capital Management’s Howard Marks

    Howard Marks, Katie Koch, Alison Nathan

    Howard Marks characterizes the mid-2022 market environment as a corrected balance where significant public equity markdowns have created attractively valued opportunities absent from private markets. Rejecting macroeconomic forecasts, Marks outlines Oaktree's crisis strategy of deploying capital when others retreat, a methodology built on historical conditioning and the principle that price matters more than asset quality. His 35-year partnership with Bruce Karsh further reinforces this discipline through complementary governance, ensuring joint conviction remains high during market dislocations.

  3. Goldman Sachs19 min

    Investing with KKR’s Tara Davies

    Tara Davies, Alison Mass, Alison Nathan

    On March 17, 2022, KKR Partner Tara Davies outlined a strategic pivot toward inflation-resistant real assets, emphasizing infrastructure's ability to hedge rising costs through revenue pass-through mechanisms while navigating a competitive market landscape. Davies detailed KKR's sector-agnostic approach to classifying assets by complexity rather than industry, prioritizing pricing power to protect margins amid supply chain disruptions and operational risks. The discussion further highlighted the firm's commitment to decarbonizing existing "brown" assets through granular operational improvements rather than divestment, alongside a leadership philosophy that values constructive debate and people skills over pure analytical modeling.

  4. All-In Podcast1h 42m

    E84: Markets update, crypto collapse, Russia/Ukraine endgame, state of the podcast

    Chamath, Calacanis, Friedberg, J. Cal, David Sacks

    Following a month-long hiatus, the four partners of "The All-In Podcast" resolved a dispute over J. Cal's request for additional equity by signing a formal agreement that settled ownership terms while requiring J. Cal to forfeit introductory segments as compensation. The group then provided a critical macroeconomic analysis attributing current inflation to post-2008 excess liquidity and predicted an imminent recession driven by aggressive Federal Reserve rate hikes. Finally, the panel discussed severe corrections across equities, real estate, and crypto markets, condemned Western sanctions against Russia as a strategic failure, and projected Ron DeSantis to win the 2024 Republican nomination against a struggling Democratic ticket.

  5. All-In Podcast1h 4m

    #AIS: Palmer Luckey on Anduril

    Palmer Luckey, Jason Calacanis, Zach, Kara Swisher, Austin Peter Smith, Ian Thompson

    Anduril founder Palmer Luckey defends his career and critiques the U.S. defense industry's reliance on legacy contractors and Silicon Valley's ideological resistance to modernizing military technology. The speech details Luckey's personal grievances against Jason Calacanis regarding past accusations of moral failings while outlining Anduril's strategy to deploy autonomous systems in response to geopolitical threats from China and Russia. Despite the tense confrontation, both parties conclude the dialogue by affirming their shared commitment to American national security and the strategic necessity of integrating commercial innovation into defense capabilities.

  6. Goldman Sachs26 min

    Angus Thirlwell, CEO and Co-Founder, Hotel Chocolat

    Angus Thirlwell, Cameron Alley

    Founded by CEO Angus Thirwell in 1993, Hotel Chocolat has evolved from an early e-commerce pioneer into a multi-channel empire that controls its supply chain through direct ownership of farms in St. Lucia and Ghana. The company recently achieved a 500% surge in digital sales during the pandemic while simultaneously implementing the Gentle Farming initiative to guarantee living wages for thousands of African producers. Moving forward, the brand plans to deepen its footprint in the USA and Japan by leveraging a large proprietary customer database to compete in the broader global gift market rather than relying solely on traditional retail expansion.

  7. All-In Podcast1h 39m

    #AIS: Bestie AMA with Valor's Antonio Gracias

    Antonio Gracias, Chamath, Calacanis, Friedberg, TheZachEffect, David Sacks, Glenn Greenwald, Bill Lee, Jeff Skoll, Dave Goldberg, Tony Hsieh, Chase Coleman, Brad Gerstner, Vinod Khosla, Michael Schellenberger, Andrew Yang, Elon Musk, Steve Jobs, Tim Cook, Samantha, Bobbin, Science Boy, Ted, Mike, Chris, Sarah, Joanna, Kate, Aria, Kenneth Brown III, Sonny Lampa, Prem, Phil Deutsch, Jan, Matthew, Elizabeth Holmes

    Antonio García Martínez and his investment partners argue that American manufacturing resilience depends on prioritizing Return on Invested Capital over revenue multiples, citing Tesla's operational necessity for onshoring as a counter to the short-term cost-cutting that drove industrial decline. This philosophy, forged through high-stakes poker networks and tested by a 2008 existential bet on Tesla and SpaceX, drives their current advocacy for a neutral energy policy and a macroeconomic outlook anticipating a brief recession followed by a capital market reset to pre-2020 valuation norms. By rejecting commoditized hardware markets and financial engineering in favor of high-barrier innovations, the group predicts a mini-retooling era where biomanufacturing and in-person collaboration define the next cycle of value creation.

  8. Goldman Sachs31 min

    A ‘Seismic’ Shift in Private Markets

    Mike Koester, Alison Nathan

    Goldman Sachs co-president Mike Kester outlines a private market sector growing to $10 trillion that is undergoing a seismic shift toward individual investor participation while navigating a fundraising slowdown driven by the denominator effect. Despite regulatory pressures and a transition away from financial engineering toward active operational management, the industry continues to deliver consistent excess returns and is prioritizing sectors like infrastructure and life sciences. Kester projects that while capital raising will decelerate and valuation reporting standards will tighten, systemic risk remains low due to the pre-syndication of risk to long-term limited partners.

  9. 20VC with Harry Stebbings1h 6m

    Q-Commerce in Emerging Markets with the CEOs of Airlift, JOKR, & Zepto | 20VC #892

    Usman Gul, Ralf Wenzel, Aadit Palicha

    Executives from Airlift, Joker, and Zepto outlined how quick-commerce ventures in emerging markets leverage high population density and lower labor costs to achieve profitability faster than Western counterparts. These companies are pivoting from pure delivery models to vertically integrated operations that control supply chains, optimize unit economics through reduced wastage, and generate significant revenue via proprietary advertising platforms. By capitalizing on local ad-hoc purchasing habits and navigating unique infrastructure challenges, the sector is transitioning toward "e-commerce 3.0" with a focus on free cash flow generation rather than capital-intensive growth.

  10. All-In Podcast29 min

    #AIS: Joe Lonsdale on the problem with higher education

    Joe Lonsdale, Chamath, Calacanis, Friedberg

    Joe Lonsdale critiques the decline of American institutions caused by ideological dogma in housing, education, and university systems, citing specific failures in Austin's "housing first" policies and the corruption of higher education by enforced conformity. In response to these systemic issues, he announced the immediate launch of a new non-profit university in Austin with $100 million in funding to prioritize intellectual freedom and merit-based accountability over the current "woke" orthodoxy. The initiative aims to address profound educational inequality by recruiting thousands of students and faculty who seek a curriculum centered on the history of free civilizations rather than enforced ideological silos.

  11. All-In Podcast23 min

    #AIS: The Lanby's Tandice Urban on solving healthcare's customer service problem

    Tandice Urban, Chamath, Calacanis, Friedberg

    The speaker identifies systemic inefficiencies in US healthcare caused by a fee-for-service model that prioritizes volume over patient experience, resulting in an average Net Promoter Score of just 3 for primary care providers. To address this dysfunction, the presentation advocates for a shift toward direct-to-consumer and value-based models, exemplified by Lanby, a New York-based membership service utilizing a three-person care team to treat patients as customers rather than cases. This approach aims to align financial incentives with health outcomes, potentially preventing 40% of top-cause annual deaths through improved access to preventive care and hospitality-style service standards.

  12. Y Combinator13 min

    Turning Your Users Into Paying Customers

    Harj Taggar, Michael Seibel, Brad Flora

    Founders are urged to immediately validate product-market fit by charging users, as genuine facial reactions to price reveal true demand more effectively than free usage data. Experts cite Dropbox as a case study where dynamic pricing and grandfathering legacy customers proved that fear of alienating users often prevents necessary revenue validation. While exceptions exist for structured freemium, open core, and advertising models, the consensus emphasizes that revenue in the bank remains the primary signal for a viable business trajectory.

  13. All-In Podcast29 min

    #AIS: MP Materials CEO James Litinsky on rare earths, supply chain, and energy independence

    James Litinsky, Chamath

    Jim Latinsky's fund orchestrated a transformative turnaround of the distressed Mountain Pass rare earth mine, evolving it from a bankrupt asset into a $6.5 billion public company that now supplies critical magnet materials to General Motors. This revival addresses a global supply chain deficit where China controls the vast majority of production, creating a strategic imperative for U.S. domestic manufacturing in the face of a predicted five-year shortage of essential minerals for electrification. Concurrently, the speaker warns that downstream automotive OEMs face a "musical chairs" collapse due to these resource gaps, urging a bipartisan regulatory shift to accelerate domestic mining projects while balancing environmental standards with national security needs.

  14. All-In Podcast38 min

    #AIS: Pear VC’s Mar Hershenson on making successful founders

    Mar Hershenson, Chamath, Calacanis, Friedberg

    PairVC founder Mara Hershenson argues that while some entrepreneurial success is innate, high-performing peer environments act as catalysts capable of transforming character and ambition to accelerate startup outcomes. Her educational experiments, including the Stanford Startup Simulation and a specialized female founders program, demonstrate that structured exposure to failure and peer friction can replicate the "PayPal Mafia" effect, yielding billions in raised capital and multiple unicorns. Consequently, Hershenson advocates for early interventions and robust founder networks to desensitize individuals to risk and cultivate the resilience required for high-stakes entrepreneurship.

  15. All-In Podcast40 min

    #AIS: FiveThirtyEight's Nate Silver on how gamblers think

    Nate Silver, Chamath, Calacanis, Friedberg, Zach

    FiveThirtyEight Editor-in-Chief Nate Silver explores the intersection of gambling, venture capital, and risk management in an in-progress book featuring insights from elite poker players and founders. The work analyzes how high-stakes decision-makers leverage probabilistic thinking, structured processes, and disciplined intuition to navigate uncertainty and extract value in volatile environments. Beyond his research, Silver addresses critical political challenges, including the risks of constitutional crisis in the 2024 election and the broader societal impacts of polarization on government capacity.