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  1. The Economist9 min

    War in Ukraine: how far will Putin go?

    Putin

    Experts warn that Vladimir Putin, viewing the conflict as an existential war against the West, possesses both the willingness and capability to escalate through battlefield nuclear weapons, sabotage of NATO arms depots, and unfounded chemical weapon allegations. While the Kremlin employs grey zone tactics to erode alliance credibility and seeks a negotiated global sphere of influence with Western leaders, Russia simultaneously faces internal fragility marked by rising anti-Moscow sentiment and domestic instability. This dynamic creates a high-risk environment where Russian paralysis and paranoia could precipitate a direct confrontation with NATO or a destabilizing collapse of the Russian state itself.

  2. Goldman Sachs25 min

    What the Fed’s Hawkish Pivot Means for Economic Growth and Markets

    David Mericle, Brian Friedman, Alison Nathan

    Goldman Sachs has revised its 2022 Federal Reserve interest rate hike forecast to seven increases driven by wage growth incompatible with inflation targets, projecting balance sheet reductions to begin in June. While financial conditions remain tighter with record credit outflows and equity exposure hitting yearly lows, the firm attributes greater recessionary risk to the fading of pandemic-era fiscal stimulus than to monetary policy. Consequently, the research recommends a long-equity, short-credit strategy and identifies emerging market currencies as attractive assets amid a global divergence where developing central banks have largely finished tightening.

  3. Goldman Sachs24 min

    What’s Ahead for the Housing Market

    Douglas Yearley, Terry Hagerty, Allison Nathan, Doug Yearley

    Driven by a decade of severe undersupply and a millennial demographic boom, the U.S. housing market experienced rapid price appreciation and a shift toward new construction between 2020 and 2022. Toll Brothers CEO Doug Yearley and sector analysts project sustained demand through 2022 despite rising mortgage rates, citing a fundamental supply shortage rather than market froth. This environment catalyzed over $20 billion in equity issuance and a 60% surge in M&A activity, while capital markets increasingly favor consolidation and the scaling of modular and offsite manufacturing technologies.

  4. Goldman Sachs22 min

    Verena Pausder, Founder of Fox & Sheep

    Verena Pausder, Wolfgang Fink

    Verena Pauster advocates for redefining children's digital engagement by mandating a "time budget" that restricts passive consumption in favor of creative output, while her non-profit addresses Germany's educational inequality through subsidized coding access and individualized learning tools. Concurrently, Pauster led the "Stay on Board" initiative to successfully lobby for 2023 legislation protecting board members' employment status during parental leave, proving that strategic advocacy can overcome century-old regulatory barriers. These efforts form part of her broader strategic vision in *The New Country*, which proposes using digitalization to modernize national infrastructure across education, decarbonization, and equal rights.

  5. Milken Institute1h 48m

    Silver Linings Playbook: New Momentum for Outcomes-Driven Government

    Matt Horton, Ben McAdams, Jennifer Park, Nancy Augustine, William Glasgall, Michael Grossman, Michael Hammett, Grace Simrall, Ryan Smith, Jen Tolentino

    The National Academy of Public Administration launched its Center for Intergovernmental Partnerships in September 2024 to address systemic fragmentation across federal, state, and local agencies amid an $800 billion annual transfer landscape facing a potential fiscal cliff. This initiative spearheads three strategic projects targeting pandemic compliance, workforce shortages, and "No Wrong Door" service models while promoting outcomes-based financing and data-driven municipal innovations like Louisville's broadband expansion and Durham's driver's license reform. Panelists emphasize normalizing innovation failure to replicate these successful solutions and leveraging American Rescue Plan funds to build long-term evidence capacity rather than relying on temporary revenue replacement.

  6. Milken Institute1h 6m

    Creating Community Wealth and New Revenue: Public Assets Workshop

    Matt Horton, Ben McAdams, Dina Blaes, Jason Foster, Shayne Kavanagh, Joe Minicozzi, Dan Tangherlini, Natalie Cohen

    The Milken Institute Center for Regional Economics convened a public finance forum where panelists including former Salt Lake County Mayor Ben McAdams and Urban Planner Joe Minicozzi argued for "Urban Wealth Funds" to transform underutilized public assets into revenue generators that reduce reliance on regressive tax bases. While the session highlighted a Salt Lake County study revealing $12 billion in potential transit-corridor value, speakers like Dina Blaze and Dan Tangerlini emphasized that equitable implementation requires overcoming political barriers and establishing community equity endowments to prevent resident displacement. Experts concluded that local governments must adopt proactive asset valuation and flexible governance structures to legally function as corporate-like entities that capture public wealth for direct community reinvestment.

  7. Milken Institute1h 9m

    Deep Dive: Deployment of High Demand Community Infrastructure Projects

    Dan Carol, Bryan Borlik, Rachel Halfaker, Donnel Baird, Rob Day, Bill Lee, Patrick Meyers, Michelle Moore, Matt Petersen, David Guilford, Adam Fried, Robbie Jones

    The Economic Development Administration awarded a grant to the Milken Institute and RCAP to launch a pre-development training accelerator designed to equip rural and underserved communities with the technical capacity to make infrastructure projects shovel-ready. A diverse panel of experts including representatives from the Trust for Public Lands, Groundswell, and Spring Lane Capital highlighted the critical need for zero-percent match requirements, community-paid participation stipends, and granular data targeting to overcome traditional grant-writing barriers. These initiatives aim to transform one-time federal funding into sustainable local wealth by pairing financial capital with technical assistance to scale projects ranging from broadband and green infrastructure to urban decarbonization.

  8. All-In Podcast1h 14m

    E65: VC markup dynamics, Russia/US tensions over Ukraine, Altos Labs raises $3B, Stripe mafia & more

    Chamath, Putin, Obama, Bill Ackman, Yamanaka, Jason, David Sacks, David Friedberg

    Investors David Friedberg, Jay Hogue, Bill Gurley, and Chamath Palihapitiya analyzed current market volatility, venture capital valuation mechanics, and geopolitical risks while debating the strategic separation of long-term investing from short-term trading. The panelists contrasted the structural disincentives for marking down portfolio companies with a consensus that supply chain disruptions, rather than interest rates, currently pose the primary threat to the US economy. Looking forward, the group identified opportunities in fundamentally strong growth stocks despite sector corrections, warned against NATO expansion escalating the Ukraine conflict, and predicted a rapid resolution to global supply bottlenecks alongside a paradigm shift in biotech age reversal research.

  9. Milken Institute36 min

    Permanent Disruption: Navigating the Road Ahead

    Dan Carol, Michael Piwowar, Tammie Arnold, Elaine Buckberg, Maurice Jones, Mike Pivovar

    The Milken Institute's 2022 Public Finance Forum convened virtual cross-sector innovators to address the $4 trillion public finance sector through infrastructure deployment, ESG integration, and adaptive public-private partnerships. General Motors Chief Economist Elaine Buckberg outlined a resilient U.S. economic outlook marked by 3.9% growth and easing inflation, while OneTen's Maurice Jones highlighted a critical need to dismantle credential barriers to advance Black employment and close the racial wealth gap. Complementing these social and economic themes, the event featured commitments from major automakers toward electrification and Alpha Ledger's introduction of blockchain technology to modernize municipal bond markets for greater efficiency and equity.

  10. Milken Institute30 min

    Managing Through Change: Mayors Weigh In

    Mary Ellen Wiederwohl, Michael Hancock, Quinton Lucas

    Accelerator for America President Mary Ellen Reeder-Wohl facilitated a public finance forum with Denver Mayor Michael Hancock and Kansas City Mayor Quentin Lucas to discuss leveraging federal funds for systemic urban transformation. The mayors detailed strategies for redesigning major infrastructure corridors, such as Denver's Colfax Avenue and Kansas City's I-70, to prioritize equitable housing, transit, and business opportunities while preventing community displacement. By framing local projects as regional assets, both leaders emphasized a shared commitment to moving beyond reactive budget maintenance toward proactive solutions for inequality and economic resilience.

  11. Milken Institute31 min

    Show Time for Infrastructure: Accelerating Shovel Worthy Infrastructure Projects

    Stacy Swann, Christine Harada, Nathaniel Keohane, Collin O'Mara, Jim Pass

    Under the Paris Agreement, the U.S. aims to cut economy-wide greenhouse gas emissions by 50–52% below 2005 levels by 2030 while addressing a projected $10 trillion infrastructure gap through coordinated federal and private sector investment. Recent multi-agency announcements have accelerated clean energy deployment targets, including 30 gigawatts of offshore wind by 2030 and grid modernization initiatives, alongside efforts to unify financial standards and streamline permitting to unlock necessary capital. This strategy relies on bipartisan support for natural climate solutions and the passage of comprehensive legislation like the Build Back Better Act to achieve net-zero emissions by 2050 while creating an estimated 1.5 million jobs annually.

  12. Milken Institute36 min

    Equity and ESG for Munis: Risks, Disclosure, and Adoption

    Caitlin MacLean, Olivia Albrecht, Lourdes Germán, Gary Hall, Mark Kim, Zoila Jennings

    The municipal ESG bond market currently lacks a consistent pricing premium despite $43 billion in outstanding labels, driven by challenges in quantifying social metrics and a reliance on self-verification by 61% of issuers. To address these data gaps and standardization issues, the Municipal Securities Rulemaking Board is launching the Emma Labs analytics platform while seeking enhanced disclosures, and a new $4 million consortium is developing unified racial equity frameworks for municipal financing. Consequently, market participants are being urged to align with international standards and demand greater transparency from asset managers to harmonize taxonomies and improve access for smaller communities.

  13. Milken Institute30 min

    A Conversation with Brian Deese, Director, White House National Economic Council

    Brian Deese, Dan Carol

    Following the American Rescue Plan, the U.S. achieved historic economic growth in 2021, with GDP expansion between 5% and 6% and a significant decline in child poverty and evictions. Now, the administration is leveraging these funds alongside the Bipartisan Infrastructure Law, led by Mitch Landrieu, to deploy 21st-century industrial strategies that address supply chain bottlenecks and accelerate private capital investment in clean energy. Despite current pressures from the Omicron variant and geopolitical instability, officials emphasize a "bottom-up" approach to sustain recovery while ensuring long-term climate resilience and regional equity.

  14. Milken Institute20 min

    A Conversation With Kathy Hochul, Governor of New York

    Kathy Hochul, Michael Piwowar, Richard Ravitch

    Governor Hochul is fortifying New York State's fiscal reserves against potential crises while rejecting tax hikes to stem the out-migration of high-net-worth individuals. Simultaneously, she is collaborating with New York City Mayor Adams on subway safety initiatives and advancing the delayed congestion pricing plan to secure MTA funding. Her administration also prioritized keeping schools open during the Omicron surge through widespread testing and is incentivizing the construction of 100,000 affordable housing units to address long-term economic stability.

  15. Goldman Sachs21 min

    Carlos Acosta, Director of the Birmingham Royal Ballet

    Carlos Acosta, Nishi Samaya

    Born into a working-class Cuban family, former principal dancer Carlos Acosta leveraged the state-sponsored arts program to become the first black principal dancer in *Swan Lake* at the Metropolitan Opera and the first black director of a major ballet company, the Birmingham Royal Ballet. Appointed in January 2020 amidst the onset of the pandemic, Acosta is currently executing strategic initiatives to elevate technical standards and diversify audiences through innovative productions like *Radio and Juliet*. His leadership focuses on dismantling industry exclusion by actively recruiting global talent and redefining classical dance's cultural relevance for younger generations.