Latest Interviews
Showing 1–15 of 18 transcripts.
Clear all filters- Goldman Sachs17 min
How New Models are Changing the AI Investment Landscape
Sharmin Mossavar-Rahmani, Jim Covello
Current AI adoption faces a critical bottleneck where massive infrastructure investments fail to generate net savings for enterprises, concentrating economic value primarily with semiconductor manufacturers rather than end users. Profitable integration depends on solving data readiness and implementing model orchestration layers that route queries efficiently, a shift expected to redirect value toward the enterprise value chain through widespread open-source adoption. As hyperscalers face scrutiny over trillion-dollar capital expenditures, the market is pivoting from reward-based sentiment to demand for immediate return on investment, creating divergent outcomes based on whether enterprises can eventually achieve sustainable AI profitability.
- Goldman Sachs11 min
Live Market Insights: Addressing Client Questions on the Mid-Year 2026 Outlook
Sharmin Mossavar-Rahmani, Matt Weir, Nicola Gifford
Analysts project a robust 2026 outlook for U.S. equities, forecasting S&P 500 earnings growth of approximately 17% driven by broad-based margin expansion and macroeconomic resilience following a transition to energy independence. Portfolio strategies reflect this optimism by maintaining U.S. allocations while adding targeted exposure to AI supply chain leaders in Korea and Taiwan, while explicitly advising against the high costs of systematic put option hedging. Future market dynamics will be shaped by the tension between hyperscalers deploying 100% of operating cash flow into AI capital expenditures and the counterbalancing force of $1.3 trillion in projected corporate share buybacks.
- Goldman Sachs10 min
AI: What Investors Should Know
Jim Covello, Sharmin Mossavar-Rahmani
Goldman Sachs analysts project that global AI capital expenditures will surpass $3 trillion by 2026, though they warn of distinct "earnings bubbles" in public markets and "valuation bubbles" in private sectors driven by unsustainable demand. While consumer adoption remains strong, enterprise integration faces hurdles due to data fragmentation, leading experts to predict a strategic shift toward specialized Small Language Models that prioritize efficiency over mass labor replacement. The investment landscape is further complicated by geopolitical divisions favoring the U.S. in chip infrastructure and China in model production, alongside concerns over circular financing practices that delay profitability for large-cap companies.
- Goldman Sachs21 min
Will US Stocks Outperform in 2026?
Sharmin Mossavar-Rahmani, Alison Nathan
Goldman Sachs projects global equities to outperform U.S. stocks in 2026, with emerging markets excluding China forecast to lead returns despite a negative outlook on Chinese assets due to a disconnect between official GDP figures and independent growth estimates. While identifying potential valuation risks and "bubble trouble" within the private AI sector, the firm advises against hedges like gold or Bitcoin in favor of U.S. Treasuries and broad S&P 500 exposure. The strategic recommendation centers on maintaining a diversified portfolio with a U.S. overweight, utilizing the index's rebalancing mechanism to capture long-term returns driven by margin expansion and AI efficiency.
- Goldman Sachs27 min
Jigsaw CEO Yasmin Green on AI and using technology for good
Yasmin Green, Sharmin Mossavar-Rahmani, Sharmeen Masovar-Rahmani
Jigsaw, a semi-autonomous unit within Google, applies interdisciplinary research to develop AI tools like the Perspective API and Bowling Green pilot that enhance online discourse while addressing the societal shift from information literacy to information sensibility. Led by founders Yasmin Green and Jared Cohen, the group analyzes the trajectory of artificial general intelligence to predict the automation of entry-level work and the potential for AI to exacerbate global inequalities. Their current strategic focus counters public anxiety about technological subservience by prioritizing human connection and workflow-centric organizational structures over raw computational acceleration.
- Goldman Sachs19 min
Keep on truckin’: Will the US continue to outperform other markets?
Sharmin Mossavar-Rahmani, Sharmeen Mosavar-Rahmani, Alison
Goldman Sachs Wealth Management forecasts an 8% base return for U.S. equities in 2025, advocating for a strategic shift from non-U.S. public markets toward U.S.-oriented private assets despite elevated valuations. The firm advises against allocating capital to China, gold, or cryptocurrencies, citing structural headwinds and a lack of intrinsic value, while predicting that interest rates will decline as tariffs remain limited. Consequently, the outlook recommends maintaining a high-quality fixed income hedge to navigate volatility rather than employing costly derivatives or selling equities for tax avoidance.
- Goldman Sachs22 min
America Powers On: Why US equities are still poised to outperform in 2024
Sharmin Mossavar-Rahmani, Alison Nathan
Goldman Sachs Investment Strategy Group projects U.S. equities to deliver approximately 6% returns in 2024, driven primarily by earnings growth amid potential valuation contraction despite a 14-year legacy of U.S. preeminence. The firm maintains a strategic overweight on U.S. stocks while issuing tactical recommendations for energy infrastructure and physical uranium, warning that geopolitical escalation in the Middle East poses the primary downside risk to this outlook.
- Goldman Sachs22 min
Piloting Through: Why Investors Should Stay the Course
Sharmin Mossavar-Rahmani, Allison Nathan
Goldman Sachs' Investment Strategy Group, led by Chief Investment Officer Sharmeen Masavaramani, maintains a "stay invested" stance on U.S. equities for 2022, forecasting a 6% to 12% total return despite valuations in the 10th decile. The firm projects robust U.S. economic growth of 3.5% to 4.0% and 12% earnings expansion, suggesting that the current equity risk premium remains attractive relative to fixed income even as the Federal Reserve implements three to four interest rate hikes. While acknowledging volatility risks such as geopolitical shocks and persistent inflation, the group advises slowly adding to equity positions and maintains a strategic overweight to U.S. stocks over international markets based on superior historical earnings performance.
- Goldman Sachs22 min
2021 Investment Outlook: “US Resilient”
Sharmin Mossavar-Rahmani, Jake Seward
Goldman Sachs CIO David Koston presents a 2021 investment strategy centered on the "U.S. Resilient" framework, advocating for sustained U.S. equity exposure despite elevated valuations while assigning a base case 8% total return with specific tactical allocations to bank loans over high-yield bonds. The outlook highlights China as the primary emerging market growth driver and warns of downside risks including vaccine efficacy against variants and geopolitical tensions, though upside potential remains tied to robust fiscal stimulus and pent-up consumer demand. Ultimately, the analysis urges clients to maintain long-term equity participation rather than attempting to time exogenous shocks like the pandemic, citing historical evidence that institutional resilience and economic fundamentals will eventually drive market recovery.
- Goldman Sachs13 min
"Climbing the Wall of Worry”
Amidst significant market volatility and policy uncertainty, financial advisors are urging investors to maintain a long-term strategic asset allocation prioritizing equities over cash and bonds. The presentation projects mid-single-digit annual returns for the next decade while forecasting a labor market recovery that may not reach historical lows until 2023. Furthermore, despite concerns regarding the upcoming election and rising federal debt, experts advise against market timing, citing a consensus that $1.5 trillion in additional fiscal stimulus is imminent and necessary to prevent an economic cliff.
- Goldman Sachs1h 1m
Phasing in the Reopening of the Economy
Sharmin Mossavar-Rahmani, Dr. Luciana Borio, Dr. Florian Krammer, Sharmeen Mosavaramani
As of April 2020, global infections surpassed 3.2 million with 61,600 U.S. fatalities, prompting a complex transition toward economic reopening despite many states failing to meet sustained case reduction criteria. Therapeutic advancements, notably the NIH's findings on baricitinib, offer potential mortality reductions while experimental monoclonal antibodies and multiple vaccine platforms aim for deployment by mid-year to address the pathogen's persistence. Public health officials warn that premature relaxation of restrictions risks autumnal resurgence, necessitating robust testing expansion and contact tracing to manage recurring waves until herd immunity is achieved.
- Goldman Sachs57 min
The State of the Real Estate Market
Sharmin Mossavar-Rahmani, Alan Kava, Roy March, Ralph Rosenberg, Sharmeen Mosavaramani
On April 24, 2020, Goldman Sachs, KKR, and Eastdale executives analyzed a global real estate market defined by record cap rate spreads, an 80% drop in private transaction volumes, and divergent sector performance driven by the COVID-19 pandemic. While hospitality and retail faced existential threats from plummeting occupancy and accelerating structural decline, industrial and life science sectors demonstrated resilience through e-commerce growth and near-perfect rent collections. Industry leaders anticipate a prolonged recovery period where well-capitalized banks may stabilize the market, yet a sharp bifurcation remains between distressed "have-to" sellers and liquidity-rich investors poised to acquire depressed assets.
- Goldman Sachs1h 2m
An Update on Therapies and Vaccines
Sharmin Mossavar-Rahmani, Dr. Richard Hatchett, Esther Krofah, Dr. Paul Stoffels
On April 14, 2020, Goldman Sachs CIO Wealth Management hosted Sharmin Mosavar-Rahmani for the eighth iteration of a COVID-19 series discussing the epidemiological landscape of nearly 2 million infections and 110,000 fatalities. Experts outlined a pipeline where effective therapies are expected within four to six months while vaccines leveraging platforms from CEPI and Johnson & Johnson may require 12 to 18 months, with potential emergency use by the first quarter of 2021. The call further detailed critical challenges regarding antibody test accuracy, the certainty of a second wave, and the necessity for aggressive surveillance and testing infrastructure to facilitate any safe economic reopening.
- Goldman Sachs53 min
The CARES Act and its Impact on the US Economic Outlook
Sharmin Mossavar-Rahmani, Alec Phillips, Jan Hatzius, William G. Gale, Sharmeen Mosavar-Rahmani, Bill Gale
On March 31, 2020, Goldman Sachs hosted a client call featuring Chief Economist Jan Hatzius and external fiscal experts to analyze the CARES Act and downgrade the 2020 U.S. economic outlook to a record contraction. The discussion detailed the legislation's targeted relief components, including expanded unemployment benefits, direct stimulus checks, and $46 billion in aid for the airline industry, alongside projections that Q2 GDP will fall approximately 10% with net debt-to-GDP rising above 100%. Despite these severe short-term headwinds, experts concluded that low interest rates and the Federal Reserve's potential $4.5 trillion lending capacity would likely prevent a sovereign debt crisis.
- Goldman Sachs58 min
An Update on the Economic and Public Health Implications of Coronavirus for Europe
Sharmin Mossavar-Rahmani, Dr. David Heymann, Sven Jari Stehn, Silvia Ardagna, Peter Oppenheimer, Sharmeen Mosavar-Rahmani
Hosted by Goldman Sachs on March 26, 2020, a panel of infectious disease experts and economists analyzed the severe impact of the coronavirus on Europe, highlighting Italy's high mortality due to demographic factors and early hospital overload while noting a potential 9% GDP contraction in the Euro area by year-end. In response to the crisis, European central banks and governments deployed unprecedented monetary and fiscal measures, including unlimited asset purchases and corporate loan guarantees, though fragmentation within the Eurozone contrasted with more coordinated US actions. Despite the deepening economic downturn, equity strategists noted that market valuations have reached historic lows, projecting a high probability of double-digit returns over the subsequent 24 months as earnings decline stabilizes.