Joe Wall
Showing 1–3 of 3 transcripts.
- Goldman Sachs27 min
US presidential elections outlook: Implications for policy and markets
Joe Wall, Alec Phillips, Alison Nathan
The 2024 U.S. presidential election, held on November 5, presents significant market volatility risks as former President Donald Trump leads the Republican primary against Nikki Haley despite facing 91 criminal indictments. The general election outcome will likely be decided by seven competitive states, with third-party candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. polling at historically high levels that could impact Democratic margins in a race where economic concerns regarding inflation and tariffs dominate voter sentiment. Political analysts project that a divided government or an all-Republican victory is more probable than a Democratic sweep, with fiscal policy heavily dependent on whether the 2017 tax cuts are extended and how proposed tariffs are implemented.
- Goldman Sachs36 min
How Small Business Owners Are Dealing With Worker Shortages, Inflation and Supply Chain Delays
Joe Wall, Allison Nathan, Ruby Bugarin, Kari Parker, Rosemary Swirk
Goldman Sachs' "10,000 Small Businesses Voices" initiative released September survey data revealing a sharp 29-point decline in small business optimism driven by the Delta variant, inflation, and severe workforce shortages. The report details how specific sectors face record operating costs and supply chain delays, while Black-owned businesses struggle with lower capital confidence and depleted cash reserves compared to the broader market. In response to these challenges, the organization is calling for a permanent low-interest loan program and federal procurement reforms to address the systemic lack of representation and resource disparity.
- Goldman Sachs24 min
Markets Update: 2021 Global Growth Outlook
Jan Hatzius, Jake Seward, Joe Wall
Goldman Sachs Chief Economist Jan Hatzias projects a 6.4% U.S. GDP growth for 2021, driven by a projected $750 billion stimulus package and a spring recovery accelerated by vaccinations. Global forecasts anticipate a robust 5-6% rebound in Europe and slightly below 8% growth in China, while central banks maintain a dovish stance with no interest rate hikes expected until 2024 or 2025. The analysis concludes that the crisis highlighted the efficacy of aggressive fiscal intervention and the adaptability of market economies despite persistent structural shifts in employment and productivity.