Paul Liberman
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- Milken Institute57 min
The Future of Decision Intelligence | Global Conference 2026
Dan Primack, Stephanie Guild, Paul Liberman, Brian Quintenz
Former CFTC Commissioner Brian Quintenz, Robinhood CIO Steph Gild, and DraftKings President Paul Lieberman discussed how regulated prediction markets like Kalshi aggregate disaggregated information into high-frequency sentiment signals that surpass traditional polling and institutional research. The panelists distinguished these federally licensed derivatives from unregulated gambling by highlighting their role in price discovery, the use of real capital to reduce emotional bias, and robust surveillance systems that deter insider trading. Looking ahead, the speakers anticipate expanding contract categories into corporate earnings and geopolitical events while maintaining that these tools serve as complementary data points for investment portfolios rather than sole decision-making authorities.