Shyam Maheshwari

Credit Market Outlook

Oriel Morrison, Paul Horvath, Christopher Lee, Shyam Maheshwari, Robert Petty

A panel of financial experts identifies a global economic inflection point driven by "Japanification" and stagnant growth, prompting a strategic shift away from overvalued Western assets toward Asia's emerging credit markets. Despite significant risks from shadow banking, high non-performing loan ratios, and regulatory fragmentation, the consensus highlights a massive $37 trillion debt expansion and a pivot to non-bank lending as the primary source of alpha in the region. While navigating complex legal environments and a climbing default cycle, institutional investors are increasingly deploying capital into distressed Asian debt through specialized private platforms and creditor-friendly partnerships to capture substantial recovery returns.