Paul Horvath
Showing 1–3 of 3 transcripts.
- Milken Institute1h 1m
Private Credit: Innovation, Strategy, and Distressed Debt in a Maturing Market | Global Conference
John L. Bowman, Michela Bariletti, Paul Horvath, Joe McCurdy, Rudy Sahay
Private credit in the U.S. has matured into a $3 trillion primary capital source, driven by regulatory shifts post-GFC and a strategic pivot toward re-integration with banks rather than disintermediation. While the U.S. market faces competition from large BDC ecosystems, European opportunities are emerging through Solvency II reforms and Brexit-related dislocations, prompting institutional investors to favor aligned partners who prioritize long-term control over deal velocity. To navigate rising leverage risks and geopolitical volatility, leading firms are deploying AI-driven underwriting and targeting $2 billion mid-market deals that offer superior covenant protection and recovery rates.
- Milken Institute55 min
Trends Shaping Global Credit Markets
Tracy Alloway, Sir Michael Hintze, Paul Horvath, Steven Shapiro, David Warren, Michael Hintze
Senior secured floating-rate managers and credit strategists navigated a market characterized by a mid-to-late cycle risk profile and diverging equity-bond valuations by pivoting away from generic high-yield exposure toward distressed special situations and hard assets. Despite warnings that rising rates and thin subordination could stress lower-rated issuers, panelists identified attractive dislocations in emerging markets and complex restructurings while utilizing options to hedge systemic risk cheaply. These strategic shifts reflect a calculated approach to capitalizing on liquidity mismatches and negative convexity in an environment where quantitative tightening is increasing default probabilities.
- Milken Institute1h 1m
Asia Summit 2015 - Treasure Hunters: Finding Value in Today's Market
Tom Finke, Paul Horvath, Rob Petty, Takumi Shibata, Hans Paul Birkner, Mike Milken, Chris Langer, Stefan Kostjusko
Four institutional managers from Babson, Orchid, Clearwater, and Nikkei Asset Management convened to argue for long-term value generation through high-yield credit and private lending amidst current market volatility and geopolitical uncertainty. The panel identified specific structural opportunities, including a $4 trillion regulatory capital gap for global banks, a $35 trillion Asian credit market, and the need for concentrated, high-conviction portfolios over traditional asset allocations. By prioritizing top-of-capital structures in non-bank lending and leveraging bank disintermediation strategies, the experts projected mid-teens returns while dismissing the existence of a prevailing high-yield credit bubble.