EQT and Range Combine to Create America's Natural Gas Champion - EQT CORP
Hello, everyone. Thank you for joining us and welcome to the EQT and Range Strategic Combination Conference Call. After today's prepared remarks, we will host a question and answer session. If you would like to ask a question, please press star one to raise your hand. To withdraw your question, press star 1 again. I will now hand the conference over to Cameron Horwitz, Managing Director, Investor Relations and Strategy. Cameron, please go ahead. Good morning, and thank you for joining today's call to discuss EQT's acquisition of range resources. With me today are Toby Rice, President and Chief Executive Officer of EQT, Jeremy Canote, Chief Financial Officer of EQT and Dennis Degner, President, and Chief executive officer of range. In a moment, Toby, Jeremy and Dennis will present their prepared remarks with a question and answer session to follow. An investor presentation outlining the transaction has been posted to the investor relations portion of our website, and we will reference certain slides during today's discussion. A replay of today's call will be available on our website beginning this evening. I'd like to remind you that today's called may contain four looking statements. Actual results and future events could materially differ from these four looking statements because of factors described in today's press release, our investor presentation, the risk factor section of our most recent Form 10-K, and then subsequent filings we make with the SEC. We do not undertake any duty to update any forward-looking statements. Today's call also contains certain non-GAAP financial measures. Please refer to today's press release and investor presentation for important disclosures regarding such measures, including reconciliation to the most comparable GAAP financial measure. Lastly, in connection with the transaction, EQT intends to file with the SEC, a registration statement that will include a joint proxy statement of EQT and range, and will contain important information regarding the transaction. With that, I'll turn the call over to Toby. Thanks, Cam, and good morning, everyone. This morning, we announced an agreement to acquire range resources in an all-stock transaction, creating what we believe is the undisputed leading natural gas platform in North America. This transaction comes at a pivotal moment for America's economy. as the convergence of modern industry and energy ushers in a new era of growth. Nowhere is this transformation more evident than in Appalachia, which is emerging as the epicenter of the U.S. economic renaissance. With a significant inflection in natural gas demand on the horizon, driven by new power generation facilities and expanding pipeline infrastructure, we believe this combination supercharges EQT's positioning, making us the operator of choice for this next wave of demand in unlocking opportunities to create differentiated shareholder value from our combined world-class resource base that neither company could achieve independently. The combination of EQT and range brings together two of the highest quality, longest-duration natural gas assets in North America, with more than 30 years of inventory served by EQT's integrated infrastructure, EQT'S leading commodities marketing platform, and a fortress investment-grade balance sheet. We forecast a pro forma unlevered free cash flow break-even below $2 per million BTU, making EQT the lowest cost and highest quality natural gas producer in the country by a wide margin. The combined company's peer-leading inventory duration and unmatched cost structure provides tremendous resilience through commodity cycles while enhancing upside exposure to strengthening natural gas fundamentals. This acquisition also provides additional scale and productive capacity to dedicate to premium supply agreements, further solidifying EQT as the partner of choice for power providers and other large energy users seeking long-duration natural gas supply. Ranges assets represent some of the highest quality natural gas inventory in North America, with acreage directly offsetting EQT's core positions in both southwest and northeast Pennsylvania. The combined asset base gives us a broader and complementary development footprint that we can optimize as one system. This will give us greater flexibility to optimize development sequencing, infrastructure utilization, and volume flows while allocating capital toward the highest return opportunities across the combined inventory. We believe this combination positions the company to capitalize on long-term demand opportunities with superior capital efficiency while providing lower cost and more reliable supply to customers than either company could independently achieve. The strategic fit becomes even more compelling given range's proximity to the Clarington, Ohio delivery point, which is increasingly becoming a focal point for new power generation and pipeline takeaway projects. EQT's power pipeline open season reflects the significant demand we see emerging in that area, and this combination meaningfully strengthens our ability to serve that demand with low-cost, reliable, long-duration supply. Turning to deal synergies, our diligence has identified annual base synergies of $325 million, consisting largely of corporate and organizational efficiencies and operating savings, with the achievability of those savings strengthened by the adjacency of the assets and our experience integrating large-scale transactions. However, the most compelling opportunity lies in unlocking the value of ranges molecules beyond the wellhead, which we believe is the next leg of value creation for this industry in an area where EQT has established itself as a clear leader. We believe there is more than $300 million of additional long-term annual synergy upside for midstream system optimization, gas, LNG, and LPG marketing optimization, additional premium supply deals, and partnering to accelerate inventory development into long- term demand growth. Based on our experience and track record of capturing synergies, we are confident our team can deliver this value for our shareholders. Stepping back, the industrial logic of this combination is clear and compelling. We are bringing together two world-class, offsetting resource positions that can be developed more efficiently as one system and pairing them with EQT's integrated infrastructure and commercial platform. The outcome is a company with superior inventory depth and duration, the lowest free cash flow break-even in the industry, advantage connectivity to significant power and LNG demand growth, a fortress investment-grade balance sheet, and ultimately, a company best positioned to serve customers and ensure America's modern economy has access to low-cost, reliable, clean natural gas for decades to come. We believe the combination of asset quality, durability, market access, and financial strength creates the strongest natural gas platform not only in North America, but in the world. One built to thrive through the inevitable cycles, positioned to uniquely capitalize on new demand growth and compound free cash flow per share for decades to come i'll now turn the call over to dennis thanks toby and good morning everyone this transaction marks a major milestone in the range story following the discovery of the marcellus shale over 20 years ago range's technical team transformed that world-changing discovery into a high-quality drilling inventory measured in decades. Over the years, we have showcased industry-leading technical abilities, expanded access to international markets, built a bulletproof balance sheet, and created a business capable of generating free cash flow through market cycles. Of course, none of this would be possible without the incredible work of our team. Their relentless focus on innovation, commitment to operational excellence, environmental leadership, and dedication to our mission enable us to make this next step in our journey. I can confidently say that Range has never been in a stronger position than it is today. As we look to the future, the Range Board determined that partnering with EQT is the best way to accelerate value creation for shareholders, driven by a new level of enhanced scale, efficiency, and operational success from this incredible resource. We believe this is a true win-win for shareholders, employees, customers, and the communities where we live and work. The transaction exchange ratio represents a compelling premium for range shareholders, and the all-stock consideration provides them with the opportunity to participate in the significant value creation opportunities of America's largest and only vertically integrated natural gas producer. We also expect our customers and partners around the world will benefit from this transaction as we gain critical scale, midstream infrastructure, and expanded market access here and abroad. Together with EQT, we believe we will be in an even better position to realize the full potential of our asset base and meet the growing global demand for reliable energy for decades to come. We share EQT's vision for the future of our industry and their conviction that the Appalachian Basin remains the crown jewel of the world's natural gas resources. We are confident that together, we will unlock the immense value of our assets to support this demand. Most importantly, we are excited to join a like-minded organization that shares similar values. range and eqt are committed to engaging and investing in employees working safely and efficiently and being responsible members of the communities where we live and work we will continue to focus on supporting and empowering our teams as a combined company and are excited for this next chapter of range along with the compelling opportunities that we will unlock together with eq t with that i'll turn the call over to jeremy thanks dennis As Toby outlined, this combination creates the undisputed leading natural gas platform in North America. The resulting scale and durability of the business, combined with our integrated platform and investment-grade balance sheet, creates a differentiated investment proposition with the scale and financial relevance to compete for capital alongside the largest energy companies in the world. Turning to deal structure, EQT will acquire range in an all-equity transaction with a pro forma enterprise value greater than $50 billion. Range shareholders will receive 0.987 shares of EQT common stock for each range share owned, resulting in existing EQT shareholders owning approximately 73% of the combined company and range shareholders owning approximately 27% at closing. The all equity nature of the transaction strengthens our balance sheet while creating an even more resilient and diverse asset base we believe this transaction solidifies eqt's position to reach triple b or equivalent credit ratings from all agencies by early 2027. our commitment to maintaining a bulletproof balance sheet remains unwavering as such we are setting a pro forma maximum debt target of one times net debt to adjusted ebitda at a two dollar and seventy five cent 9x natural gas price to achieve and maintain triple b or equivalent credit ratings through the cycle consistent with eqt's existing strategy we intend to allocate capital toward disciplined investments in sustainable growth supported by new contractually linked demand while building cash opportunistically repurchasing shares and sustainably growing our base dividend The combination with range both supercharges and de-risks this plan and positions EQT to compound shareholder capital for the long term in a way that no peer is able to match. As Toby mentioned, we project a pro forma unlevered free cash flow break even below $2 per MMVTU, positioning EQTto generate material free cashflow even through the low parts of the commodity cycle. To hammer this point home, we project five-year cumulative pro forma free cash flow of nearly $14 billion at a $2.75 per MMBTU natural gas price, which is a level where the bulk of our peers will be free cashflow neutral or negative. Importantly, we also maintain significant exposure to upside price environments because our low-cost structure minimizes the need to defensively hedge with cumulative pro forma five year free cash flow north of $38 billion under a $5 per MMDT upside price scenario. The intrinsic value of the business is strong, but the upside optionality we've created through this large scale integrated natural gas platform is even stronger. Importantly, the combined sales portfolio also gives us multiple avenues to improve realizations over time. We will have approximately three BCF per day of pro forma in-basin production that can be directed toward premium long-term supply agreements, providing material exposure to improving local basis over the coming years. We also have nearly one BCF for day of international market exposure through EQT's existing LNG contracts. And the greater scale of the combined company gives us the option to increase that exposure as attractive opportunities emerge. Additionally, we plan to leverage the capabilities of EQT's commodities organization across the range's production base. Recall, this team generated approximately $200 million of incremental free cash flow for EQT last year, and expanding that capability across the combined production base represents a meaningful opportunity to enhance realizations and margins without relying on higher commodity prices. Wrapping up, when we announced the Equitrains acquisition in 2024, we set our goal was to buy wonderful businesses at fair prices, rather than fair businesses at wonderful prices. That same principle applies here. Range is a wonderful world-class asset, and more importantly, we believe it becomes even more valuable as part of the ECT platform. This combination takes two already differentiated companies and puts them in a class of their own. And we're incredibly excited about what lies ahead for EQT and our combined shareholder base. With that, I'll turn the call back over to Toby. Thanks, Jeremy. In closing, I wanna thank everyone at EQT and Range who helped make today's announcement possible. To the Range team, I've watched firsthand over the years as you built an exceptional company with a world-class asset base. I know the work and determination behind what you've accomplished and the results speak for themselves. Twenty years ago, as Range pioneered the discovery of the Marcellus, you told the world, drilling is just the beginning. Today, this transaction recognizes everything you've built and marks the beginning of what we can accomplish together. Now we tell the world this combination is just a beginning. This combination establishes EQT as the clear leader across every dimension that matters in our industry. Inventory quality and duration, cost structure, financial strength, free cash flow generation, in long-term growth potential together these advantages establish what we believe is the most compelling investment proposition in the energy sector combining exceptional downside resilience with differentiated long- term upside potential we have a tremendous opportunity ahead of us and we look forward to working together to realize the full potential of this combination creating lasting value for all of our stakeholders with that we'll open the lineup for questions we will now begin the question and answer session please limit yourself to one question and one follow-up if you would like to ask a question please press star one to raise your hand to withdraw your question press star 1 again we ask that you pick up your handset when asking a question to allow for optimum sound quality if you are muted locally please remember to unmute your device please stand by while we compile the q a roster your first question comes from the line of neil meta with golden goldman sachs your line is open please go ahead yeah toby uh dennis congratulations uh to both of you maybe just uh you just give us a little bit a background here of how this came together any background you can provide about the process? Was it a competitive process? Is this something that you guys have been talking about potentially for a while? Just any perspectives you can provide about how this all came together. Yeah, thanks, Neil. Well, I think the investment community has identified the merits of a potential combination. I mean, it makes so much sense for the reasons that we laid out in our deck. This combination, you know, creates undisputed natural gas champion that checks the box on every metric that matters for an energy business. We significantly advanced EQT with this transaction. So it's made a ton of sense. But as far as a timing perspective, I think the one catalyst for us that really opened our eyes on this opportunity, why now, is the emergence of this demand that's showing up in our backyard in Appalachia. And I think the opportunity that it presents for both of our companies, it just allows us to compete more aggressively to win these opportunities. When you look at the asset base that we have at EQT, we've stated our productive capacity could be north of 12 BCF a day. And you look At what range brings to the table, and they're 2.5 BCF per day. They've stated in the past that they could double that production base and hold it flat for 15 years. That's a 5 BCF a day productive capacity. Put those together, you know, we have a productive capacity of 17 BCFs a day. Looking at an opportunity set that's, you knows, could be 20 BCF's a day, seeing how we can put these companies together and take a significant piece of this opportunity, I think to me was the compelling catalyst for us to act now. And then the follow-up, this might be for Jeremy, is just as we try to pencil out the accretion, how should we think about that as we think about 27, 28 on either free cash flow per share or EBITDA basis? And just any advice about thinking about the modeling of that dynamic? Yeah, Neil. I would take the approach of putting both businesses together from the public financials and the synergies that we've guided to. We're almost entirely on the operating expense side as opposed to the capital. Range, as everybody knows, is a fantastic operator. I think there are learnings from the Range operating team, and I think we'll take a best-of-both approach. But I would expect most of those synergies to show up on the on the Operating Expense side. Thanks, Jeremy. Your next question comes from the line of Betty Jang with Barclays. Your line is open. Please go ahead. Good morning. Congratulations on the deal. My first question is on the 30-year-plus inventory. Clearly, that's going to be a huge differentiator, but historically, the market is just unlikely to give you full credit for resources that's super far out. So how do you think about maximizing the value of that inventory over time and how to showcase to the market to optimize that value as well? Yeah, Betty, great question. We believe that our inventory is one of the most underappreciated aspects of our companies. And the way that we're going to monetize that and show the value there is by signing up for this long-term demand and competing to capture this. These supply contracts will give us the opportunity to sustainably grow our businesses and that's how we're going to be able to showcase the quality of this deep inventory we have is going to be converting that into into demand and uh sustainable production growth if i could follow up just on that um i think historically for eqt that optimal level may be in a low to mid single digit level and then have that growth meeting uh capturing a portion of demand. Does that change or philosophy change given this transaction? No, Betty, I think one thing we want to make clear with this transaction, while this is transformative to the quality of the business and a lot of things that we're incredibly excited about from a strategic execution standpoint, our strategy remains unchanged. We're still going to have a commitment to quality, our sustainable growth. We'RE still going TO HAVE A COMMITMENT TO MAKING SURE THAT'S SUSTAINABLE AND IT FOLLOWS demand. And we will have the ability now to allocate volumes that are flowing above ground to fill these contracts and look to backfill these over time. And you're on point with sort of the mid-single-digit growth. It's sort of a good ballpark for how we think about the growth rate that we'll look at. Yeah, Betty, I would think about it as same strategy, same framework, just really enhancing our ability to execute that at even greater scale and capture even more opportunity. So it's really about supercharging the plan we already had and accelerating that with even more confidence than we had before. And that's really why, as Toby said a few minutes ago, why now? Why the deal made so much sense? That's really what puts it all together. Right. That makes sense. Thank you. Your next question comes from the line of Arun Jayaram with JP Morgan. Your line is open. please go ahead yeah good morning uh toby dennis congratulations uh on this on this uh on this transaction um toby and jeremy is wondering if you could comment on how you believe this deal will help unlock the next wave of of demand of for eqt and maybe you could comment on what you're seeing at the clarington ohio kind of delivery point which is kind of highlighted some of your enthusiasm about some of the power generation and other supply deal potential at this hub. Yeah, Arun. So I'd look at the productive base we have within Appalachia right now, which is the big source of the demand coming. Over three BCF a day exposed to local markets. That's before we think about adding the sustainable growth. So we've got a significant amount of supply that we're going to be able to support gas supply contracts. This long duration inventory that we have is going to allow us to continue to extend that opportunity set. And I think when you mentioned the Clarington demand hub that we see rising, you know, we're taking advantage of that with our power pipe, which as you know is going through an open season process right now. We're seeing, and we'll have some updates on that in the future, but we're seeing really strong interest in that. And to have the range asset base next door to this type of asset, which allows us to feed even more of that supply, to feed that demand, is going to set the table for us to create even more gas supply opportunities with that piece of infrastructure. Yeah, I'd also think about just where the range acid is positioned, right there along the Ohio River. It's almost like beachfront real estate to where this emerging kind of epicenter of growth is really coming from where we see that gas leaving the basin. So really what we're trying to do is position around that, not only core resource, but around that core market egress to those new demand centers. I'd also point out that that shipping port deal that we have that we announced last year that's already signed, that is in the middle of ranges acreage. So our ability to serve that even more efficiently, I think is a great example of what you can do when you have an even larger asset base. You can provide ultimately better service to customers really at cheaper rates, but actually capture more margin at the same time in the process. And that's really the essence of what we're trying to do here. Even just when we look at it domestically, and then I think internationally, what this opens up for us to really supercharge what we are doing in LNG. And I think what we, you know, I think about a lot of the conversations we have in the LNG markets, it usually starts with LNG and ends with LPG. So I think taking the NGL international exposure that Range has already built up and pairing that with our LNG strategy, I think it's going to be a really powerful combination. Great. Thank you, Jeremy. And just to follow up, you guys have highlighted 325 million of annualized baseline synergies. I wanted to see, Toby, if you can elaborate on the development plan optimization piece of this. I know that EQT has used a combo development scheme to efficiently develop your assets. How is the range acreage, you know, how could that support kind of combo development in your eyes? Yeah, Arun, our approach here really is to right-size the operations to the asset. And I think what you've seen Range do with their operating techniques on their asset base I think is best in class for that asset. So I would not look at this as us bringing combo development to an area where they've already proven exceptional operating capacity in their areas. That said, we will look for combo development opportunities where it makes sense. This is probably going to show up in the drier gas areas. We do have some good dry gas overlap in Washington County, and then the operational scale we have achieved up in Lycoming County could be some further opportunities for us to take advantage of that. But I think from an opportunity, from a scheduling perspective, we don't anticipate any scheduling changes. It's going to be business as usual, probably for the first 12 months. And then I think, from the scheduling perspective one of the opportunities we have is really taking advantage of some of the bigger picture opportunities, not just optimizing for the laterals or the site, but optimizing for the field. And there could be some opportunities where we could move some activity around to better serve the gathering infrastructure that we have in place. And those will be opportunities to bring greater efficiencies. But I'd say what I'm most excited about is looking at the efficiencies we're going to bring on the infrastructure level and then also the opportunities we see on the downstream capturing demand set. Thank you. Got it. Your next question comes from the line of Philip Youngworth with BMO. Your line is open. Please go ahead. Yeah, thanks. Good morning, and congrats on the deal. It looks like in the deck, you might have raised your appellation, natural gas demand potential to 25 Bs a day, whereas I think last quarter it was around 20 Bs day. But, one, I just wanted to confirm this, and then, generally, how are you seeing momentum across in-basin power demand pipeline takeaway, especially just given some of the noise around data center construction inter-quarter across different states? That is a good observation. We have raised it. We continue to be in dialogue with probably every party involved. I'd say that momentum continues to build, and that certainly illustrates it. Look, I think we're as bullish on that opportunity as we've ever been right now, really up and down the value chain. And I think, look, the goal of this deal is to better position the business to serve these opportunities, help catalyze and bring more of these to fruition. Ultimately, it's about putting the customers first. It's kind of the philosophy in which we approach this and having a better business and platform from which to do that, I think will help bring more of this to fruition. So we're excited. Great. Then on the on the gas marketing front, you mentioned the strong commercial capabilities you've built in recent years with range or increasing gas marketing capacity. 25% was just hoping beyond the higher volumes you could talk about some of the nuances and how this helps you. And then longer term, do you see opportunities to optimize ranges, margins through just whether it's gathering gas FP, liquids FP, and optimizing those contracts given the increased scale or just over time as those contracts roll off? Yeah, great questions. On the marketing side, a lot of the value does come down to scale. The more scale you have, the more you see in the market, the More you can optimize where those volumes flow. I think what we've been doing with our curtailment strategy as an example, you look at, I think some people don't realize we gather about $600 million a day of gas on our MAKO system already of ranges production. Pro forma, when you look at the returns on those wells being dry gas, but with now integrated economics, it's actually the best across range's entire portfolio. Not only that, it unlocks the ability to pursue the same strategic curtailment strategy across that asset base that we have on our own. That's a huge value driver for us every year. I think what we're doing in the NGL side of the business with the recent Blackline acquisition, and when you look at what we can do through the other facilities on the East Coast. I think there's further upside there, just optimizing where all those barrels flow. And then look on the midstream side. You know, I think our ability to replicate some of what we've done with Equitrans, with compression across ranges asset-based, certainly as you look at growing that business and pulling forward the really deep inventory they have across Marcellus and across the deeper Utica, I Think there's an enormous opportunity for us, both on the assets we already gather, but also on the other assets that are largely served by MPLX to work with them and further optimize that. So I think there's a tremendous amount of value that we've only just started scratching the surface on. And that's really part of some of those upside synergies, why we bucketed that differently. It's hard at this juncture to say exactly what those are, but we think there is a bunch of value there to unlock and do it more efficiently, and we can certainly play a part in that. Great detail. Appreciate it. Congrats again. Your next question comes from the line of Josh Silverstein with UBS. Your line is open. Please go ahead. Yeah, thanks. Good morning, guys. I just wanted to ask on capital allocation post-close, you know, how do you envision free cash flow allocation between, you know, debt reduction, buybacks and organic growth. You mentioned that one time spent debt to EBITDA targeted 275. So do you first go to debt reduction and then the buybacks ramp? Because both companies were on that track to basically ramp buybacks meaningfully next year. Yeah, I would say our approach on the capital allocation framework is going to be largely unchanged. I would note that this transaction does accelerate our deleveraging progress. And when it comes to, it will continue to show modest growth on our dividend over time. But to the point on buybacks, if we were excited about our buyback opportunity, we're even more excited with this pro forma combination and our ability to buy back our stock. A couple of things that are really driving deceleration. One, the deleveraging nature is going to give us more the ability to be more opportunistic and then the accretion on free cash flow per share coupled with the synergies that we've got are going to give us More capacity to be More aggressive on the buyback when those opportunities present itself got it and then just on the 300 million dollars of strategic upside synergies can some of this come kind of post-close, or is this being developed over time, that demand wave coming? I'm just kind of curious on the timeframe for that. Thanks. Yeah, I think some of it could actually be much sooner. I'll give two examples. One, if we just hold our same 15% of production allocated to LNG, that'd be another two tons that we could sign up for. That's something we could do sooner. Obviously, it depends on when those facilities ultimately get built to when the cash flow shows up. That's something we don't necessarily control. Another example, if we were to replicate a deal like CPVCA that we announced last quarter, you know, that could be signed up sooner, but it takes three to five years for that stuff to get built. So there is value that I would say can be secured, but when it turns into cash flows is a bit of the question. So again, it's a little different than the traditional synergy that shows up in 12 to 24 months. But I think it's very real at the same time. Thanks, guys. Your next question comes from the line of Sam Margolin with Wells Fargo. Your line is open. Please go ahead. Good morning. Thank you for taking the question. Maybe if we could revisit growth and capital for a second. I think the context is interesting because both companies were progressing on efficiency. You weren't static, so it was becoming easier to grow. In some cases, it's almost impossible not to grow, and so the question is, do you see maybe like a rebalancing of capital where a little bit more goes into midstream to balance out the midstream connectivity between the two assets, or are you comfortable just continuing to realize upstream efficiencies and growing on your baseline activity level? Yeah, I think one thing we're excited about, you know, midstream optimization efficiencies that we can gain from investments in compression are going to be some of the highest return investments that we could make fastest payback. So those will be at the top of the list. It's one of the reasons why we've prioritized those there since taking over E-Train. So we'll look at those opportunities. I think our growth, our ultimate growth plans, we're really going to be governed by the amount of demand that we have and making sure that we're not overwhelming the demand and we're being thoughtful about how we allocate volumes into that demand as it shows up over time. But, you know, I think, like I said before, you know, mid-single-digit growth, I think, is certainly achievable for these organizations. And our opportunities to capture more demand, I Think, will govern the size of that. Okay, understood. And then, yeah, maybe just, you know – Jeremy made a remark about LPGs and NGLs. If we could dive into that maybe just with a little bit more detail, because Range did historically spend a lot of time you know talking about just the ngl macro and um you know i think you've expressed that you're constructive on it but maybe if anything's changed on that front for you in the in the last six months or so uh notwithstanding uh external events um that maybe uh you know induced the timing of this or or just re-engaged you in a in a different production mix Yeah, good morning. This is Dennis. Maybe I'll jump in here for a quick second. I think the NGL piece, as you said, has been a hallmark, a part of the range story. We see this as being a part of a few different aspects of this combination and what is going to add some additional durability to the pro forma business as we go forward. I think when you look at the duration also for the inventory that Ranger would bring into this combination, and the marketing skill sets that both range and EQT bring to this process, we think it really expands the ability to touch on something that I think you've heard both Tony and Jeremy reflect on, and that is enhancing margins. And so we think that then enhances the durability to the business going forward. I think we've seen a real pullback in some of the inventory levels on the LPG front over the balance of the past, we'll call it six to eight months. That's been nice to see. We're still a little bit elevated on that front. But as we get ready to go into the winter months here, we're still continuing to be more and more optimistic. Storage levels get re-normalized. And of course, winter demand always plays a strong part in the equation. I think exports just continue to also reflect a strong output part of this conversation where you're in excess of 2 million barrels a day on a repeatable basis. Again, back to the durability of supporting that for our business. So as we get into 2027, we fully expect prices to continue to show strengthening stock levels to get renormalized. And again, if you look at this pro forma entity, we're adding some diversity in how we think about the future of meeting demand, both domestically and globally as well. Thank you. Your next question comes from the line of John Abbott with Wolf Research. Your line is open. Please go ahead. hey good morning and thank you for taking our questions doug is currently traveling i guess pro first question really is on potential asset sales you sort of think about your pro form of footprint is everything cord are there things areas that you could potentially trim how do you think about potential acts asset sales post the deal yeah john i'd say you know all of our assets are up for sale um you know we will rationalize the assets that we have and make sure we're we're putting dollars and investing in in the best return projects um you know we have sold assets in the past uh we'll continue to look at that um and i think we just pair that up with what we see is a pretty tremendous demand set up and the value of this inventory starting to become appreciated as we as we look to sign up for this demand and accelerate some of the uh some of the growth of the production growth from this from these assets all right and for the second question I did drop off for a short period of time, so I apologize if this was already asked. But do you envision any sort of FTC issues, just given the size of the position that you would have in the Marcellus in getting the deal done? No, we do not. Appreciate it. Thank you. Thanks, John. Your next question comes from the line of James West with Mellius Research. Your line is open. Please go ahead. Hey, good morning. Good morning, guys. And congratulations. So I'd be curious, you know, we've always thought your vertical integration was a competitive strength here. And so adding midstream assets to range is going to be, I think, a home run. Could you maybe comment? Can you comment a little bit in the Q&A, maybe elaborate more on how you envision that unfolding? Yeah. I mean, we've got our playbook set up and we're excited to continue the execution of what is a proven program. This will be part of just assessing the gathering system pressures, the timing of the volumes when they're coming in line and opportunities to smooth that out and optimize is sort of the standard approach that we're taking. I'll tell you another part of our integration playbook, which doesn't get as much airtime, but one part that we'll really excited with this range integration is identifying best practices. And I think when you look at the operational skill sets that range brings to the table, I mean, super, super technical on the subsurface, getting every value out of every molecule of liquids that gets produced. These are all best practices that we're going to be looking to incorporate into EQT. And we're really excited about learning from who we believe is a top operator in Appalachia. Got it. Okay. Maybe I follow up on my side from the LNG, LPG aspect and the export aspect. Does this transaction, would you anticipate signing up more off-take agreements in the near term? Yeah, I would say it depends on the economics. You know, I think the trend more likely that we're seeing is that end users are the ones who are going to pick up a lot of that capacity. is we see bases tightening. You know, taking on FT is effectively the opposite positioning for something like that. So I think we're more excited about the in-base-in-demand opportunities and actually maybe shedding some of that FT we have right now, like our rover capacity, which is out of the money. I'd say the other thing that we're excited about, though, as we probably shed some ofthat FT and just let it roll off, which is an opportunity both we and Range have, it just takes time, is actually just continuing to pick up more LNG capacity across the larger asset base. I mean, the way we look at it at a high level is that a molecule as part of the EQT platform is just simply worth more. It's not just, you know, we can do things a little cheaper. You know, Range is an extremely efficient operator, one of the best in the basin. But it's once you get that molecule out of the wellhead, what can you do with it to maximize value through the entire value chain? And that's really where our focus is right now. And LNG is a huge piece of that. Yeah, James, just as far as what that could look like. I mean, another part that is going to stay consistent is sort of our percentage of production that's exposed to international volumes. And coming into this was about 15%. If we maintain that level of exposure in international markets, that would give us the capacity to add approximately 2 million tons per annum of incremental LNG to account for the range volumes. So, we'll see if those opportunities are worthy of executing, but that's sort of the capacity and how we're thinking about it. Got it. Thanks, guys. Your next question comes from the line of Bob Brackett with Bernstein Research. Your line is open. Please go ahead. Good morning. Congratulations. I do want to highlight that October 26th is actually the 22nd anniversary of RENs number one, the well that Range drilled that actually unlocked the Marcellus. So it's an auspicious day for the combination. My question would be talking a little bit around the mid-single digit growth. That feels more of a forecast. If there's end user demand creation, if there's demand pull growth, as opposed to a target, we're going to grow that rate to grow. Is that a fair way to think about it? Yeah, there's a bunch of ifs there. I mean, that's why I think when we talk about our growth, we don't just talk about growth. We talk about sustainable growth and making sure that demand is there before we bring those volumes up is a key part of it. But Dennis, did you know that today was the 22nd anniversary? I knew that it was in the month of October. I didn't have that specific date in my head, but I knew October was the anniversary month. Is this destiny? I don't know. I don't know. Bob, thanks for bringing that cool data. Thanks, guys. You bet. Your next question comes from the line of Gabe Daoud with Truist. Your line is open. Please go ahead. Thanks, operator, and congrats, Toby and Dennis, on the transaction. Super exciting. Just maybe a quick one for me, just back to the growth commentary again. And so, fair to assume, and I think, Toby, you mentioned this, probably everything stays the same for the next 12 months. But so, range is still executing against the growth plan through 27. Is that the way we should still think about it? Yeah, good question. This is Dennis. Right now, we're still on track to finish the year with, we'll call it year two of the multi-year growth plan. And plans are in motion for refinement on how we'll think about the execution for 2027. But at the highest level, we are executing 2027 as planned for that last leg of our multi-year growth plan. Yeah, and our plan is to continue that cadence with Ranch. Okay. Okay, got it. Thanks, guys. And then actually just a quick follow-up on 2027. Is there any change on how we should view, like, the pro forma cash tax implications or position? No, nothing as it relates to the transaction. Okay. Thanks, Jeremy. Thanks, guys. Your next question comes from the line of David Deckelbaum with Stiefel. Your line is open. Please go ahead. Thanks for taking my questions, guys, and congrats to Toby and Dennis on the deal. I did want to follow up just on overall. I know you've talked about this multiple different ways about seeing the benefits of the pro forma combo. So you highlighted the 20 BCF a day of in-basin demand potential really beyond 2030. So I guess just timing-wise, we talked about sort of keeping the plan the same in 27 and perhaps building a higher sustainable level beyond that. When you're looking at the addressable demand, are you seeing the pace of that coming forward in terms of negotiations that you felt like you had to get this deal done now? And, you know, is the quantum of these deals on an individual basis now just getting larger in terms of negotiations of how much supply might be dedicated here? Yeah, it's for the timing of this demand. I mean, you Know, this is the demand that we're seeing that's adding to this is showing up three plus years out. And so this is all about preparing today for what that future will look like. um yeah i mean the volumes of these uh continue to surprise us that they continue to get bigger just the quantity of this um and i'll tell you that the next leg here um you know when we look at the range asset base being in close proximity to the ohio river you know these rivers are home to a number of brownfields and we think there will be continued identification of opportunities whether that's power generation or advanced manufacturing uh to be attracted to appalachia brownfields appreciate that and maybe just a follow-up on just the forward plan you talked about the 325 synergies and the 300 million upside i guess within that you know how are you guys thinking about the the impact of midstream investments especially on the range side that's obviously been a huge benefit to the eqt side particularly around sort of enhancing the base decline and reducing downtime and being able to allocate towards higher return areas? And maybe, you know, how soon should we expect, you know, these kind of investments on the midstream side, particularly areas like compression on that range base? Yeah, one thing I think that's important for us to call out with these synergies, you know, Jeremy talked to the timing of the upside synergies being a little bit longer term in nature. But even in the base synergies, we are giving ourselves time to pace that out over the next two to three years. So there will be time for us to do sort of the advanced planning today and set this infrastructure in motion to be deployed, call it over the next 24 months. This is something where we need, as far as how this is going to translate to capital spending and the investment opportunities, that's what we're going to be rolling up our sleeves on. And one of the first questions we're going to be looking to answer, just given the high return nature of these opportunities. So more to come on that. Thanks, Debbie. Your next question comes from the line of Bertrand Dons with William Blair. Your line is open. Please go ahead. Hey, congrats on the deal. You kind of brushed on it, but I just want to understand this kind of more pointedly. correctly. Could you talk about how much the liquids upside factored into the decision to make the acquisition? You know, was the rationale justified just based on the core gas business and then the liquids outside was just, you know, cherry on the top? Or was the liquids component a key pillar in the rationale? And if so, is that what we should look for, you know, after you've digested this deal, maybe in a few years when you're looking for more? uh the liquids are about durability and cost structure diversification uh that was the added benefit that came with the deal but make no mistake that the the real goal here is around the natural gas side um and the growth of that business um you know we're also seeing a lot of promising kind of early indications and results especially from like the olympus acreage but also just under our core eqt acreage and also ranges acreage in the deep utica We think that is an enormous resource to be unlocked, all dry gas that's available, you know, primarily to EQT and range in the basin. And so that's really our focus. I think that the liquids are a benefit, but definitely not the strategic reason to do the deal. Got it. Thank you. And then the second one, on the marketing side, now that you guys have kind of moved into the, you know, first place slot, is it going to be a typical marketing arm where it's its own subsidiary with its own incentives? Or is this a more integrated version where you might be the largest, but it's just a part of the larger EQT entity? I think that might evolve over time. I mean, certainly once our LNG capacity comes online, I think we might have to think about accounting for it a little bit differently. But I think, you Know, for 2027, I wouldn't expect any change. Okay. So maybe just ask differently. Is it going to have its own line item? I would imagine investors value a marketing multiple a little bit differently. I just wonder if it's broken out that way for the street. Certainly not in 2027, but in the future, that might change. Perfect. Thank you very much. Your next question comes from the line of John Anis with Texas Capital. Your line is open. Please go ahead. Hey, good morning guys and congrats on the deal. For my first one, does the combined liquids position create sufficient scale to pursue different processing, fractionation, or export arrangements and could EQT eventually consider greater ownership of liquids infrastructure? Yeah, certainly that's going to be One of the benefits of scale is it increases the ability to invest in infrastructure, whether that's midstream or processing. I will say one of the areas that we're looking at is with our Clear Fork processing facility, we've got capacity to potentially expand that. So that'll be something that we'll look for more on our side. Range has commitments in place with Mark West, but there'll still be some optimization opportunities that we will be able to look for. And, you know, we look forward to going through those optimizations with Mark West themselves. I mean, when we took over EQT, one of our biggest focus items was working with our midstream provider, E-Train, to create a more efficient solution that creates more value for both the operator and the service providers. And that'll be a big focus in this integration, working with Mark Best. I appreciate that, Culler. Toby, maybe for my follow-up, I'm curious, as you went through diligence, where did you become more constructive? on the opportunity of combining with range than where you were at at the start of the process yeah i would say probably the most impressive thing about the range asset base uh was the depth and quality of their inventory um you know i i think that has been probably the most impressive part of the story and i think there's things that you can see only when you get in from diligence you're not going to be you're you're not going to see from the mile-high view you get from Enveris. So that certainly was the biggest focus for us, and the asset base that Range has, I think, has exceeded our expectations. We're incredibly excited about that opportunity. Yeah, it was pretty amazing. I mean, we thought we knew the Range assets well. They're on the other side of the fence line from us both in southwest and northeast of Pennsylvania. Once we got under the tent, though, I Think our eyes were really open. I think Dennis and the team did a great job just laying that out for us and helping us better understand it in a way that even we hadn't entirely appreciated from the outside with public data. So, look, we couldn't be more excited. We think from a value standpoint, it makes all the sense in the world. And we look forward to, you know, walking everybody through that and helping tell that story. So that is fully appreciated. Thanks, guys. Your next question comes from the line of Leo Mariani with Roth. Your line is open. Please go ahead. Yeah. Quick question here for Dennis. I just wanted to get a sense if you guys kind of broadly looked at other combinations for range or was this pretty much more of just a negotiation with EQT? Yeah. Good morning, Leo. Thanks for asking the question. I think when you take a step back and you look at the approach that our board has taken and management team over the past several years, I think something you've probably heard both Toby and Jeremy reflect is on is that they understand range pretty well. And I think we share the same view. We feel like we've understood the opportunity set in the basin at a very good level. And then, of course, when this opportunity presented itself to have a conversation about combining the organizations, I think it really presented a unique opportunity that was different than the other opportunities here in Appalachia. And again, whether it's scale, how you look at the vertical integration, upside opportunities, enhancement of margins through the marketing combination, and of course, the LNG and NGL export international market exposure. I think all of that combination started to really separate itself versus the other opportunities in the region. But simply put, we were also comfortable in the go-it-alone case because of the inventory and the duration that we had, and we share a lot of common vision around the future demand that was coming into the basin, but as you started to really look at this combination, it presented a force multiplier-type moment for our organizations as we plan for that durability and also that demand that's coming toward us. There'll be more information that comes out with the filings here in the future on kind of those details, but we saw this as just being the leading combination. Great. That makes a lot of sense, Dennis. And then just quickly for the team at EQT, just curious if you can give us kind of like a high-level thumbnail sketch of kind of how you got to the roughly 21% premium versus Friday's close for range. What were the key metrics that you guys looked at there? Yeah, I think it's important for us in looking at this premium. Obviously, it needs to be attractive for a world-class organization like range to come on board. But I think for us, we needed to stay disciplined and make sure that we're still showing accretion on value. And specifically on free cash flow per share, NAV per share. We've checked the box that this is an accretive transaction. And I think the other point that's worth mentioning is that, you know, there's not a lot of targets that we would be talking about. And because we need to check the box on the strategic nature of this business. And this transaction checks the box there as well. you're talking about cost structure this is going to be 10 cents accretive to our cost structure inventory quality duration we spoke a lot about how this complements and supports the ability for us to to to fill in our sustainable growth uh strategy uh and then from a balance sheet perspective we've got a i mean this is deleveraging and it's going to allow us to continue to have a fortress balance sheet which is going gonna give us tremendous optionality optionality optionality uh in the future so uh range truly was unique but that sort of i would say we were disciplined but we've checked a lot of boxes and um we feel really good about the outcome of this deal thanks guys your next question comes from the line of noel parks with two he brothers investment research your line is open please go ahead Hi. Good morning. A couple of questions ago, someone touched on something that had been on my mind as well, and it was the discussion of once you really got under the hood, you were able to recognize value beyond sort of what was available publicly. I just wondered if you could just give an example of that, because I think the first question in my mind when I heard about the transaction was, you know, range especially has had keys of potential of inventory that, you'll go so far beyond what we've been used to talking about for a decade, you don't try to just prove reserves. So I'm very interested to hear about, you know, maybe an example of what really made you sort of spark up about this being the deal in the time. Yeah, so on the Marcellus, I mean, you've heard the range management team talk about their world-class inventory for a long time. I think for us to see that firsthand, see the pressure data, seethe recoveries that they have, see gas in place estimates they've done. I mean, like I said, they've done an incredibly fantastic job on the technical understanding of the subsurface. These are opportunities that we're going to look to bring over on the assessment of our asset base. So the Marcellus, I think, was fairly straightforward and eye-opening. But, you know, other resources, you knows, we're both doing exploratory work on the Utica. And so when you pair up the data that we're both capturing, put that together, and you look at the leasehold positions that we have, the work that we are doing is going to translate to inventory creation on the range side, and similarly what range is doing is to translate to upside from eqt uh and that that really is more focused on the deeper utica but all of this just gives us greater greater inventory confidence and we're going to get value for that by signing up for this long-term demand and uh bringing sustainable growth to this to this organization so that's the setup great and uh of course range of solution a lot of continuous acreage i'm just wondering overall any thoughts on the land strategy going forward um i don't know if there are sort of overlap filling trading opportunities unlocked and just get it like to get a sense of maybe the scale of those yeah i think we continue to be intelligent about the dollars we put towards land um you know i think it is important to note we have a very large HBP position with minerals range similarly as well as a large HPP position. So we'll continue to be opportunistic. And I'll tell you, we're going to still have to compete for the land that we pick up. Both organizations have robust land departments, and we are going to need to put those skills to work to fill in opportunities ahead of the drill bit. But this is more of just continuing the great work that we do every day on the land front. Great. Thanks a lot. There are no further questions at this time. This concludes today's call. Thank you for attending. You may now disconnect.
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