The Economist

Is the war in Ukraine nearing its end?

On September 6th, Ukraine launched a surprise counterattack supported by an unprecedented flow of Western intelligence and weaponry, liberating over 8,000 square kilometers of territory and collapsing Russian defenses around Kharkiv. This strategic reversal has forced the Kremlin into defensive silence while exposing internal vulnerabilities, including rising nationalist discontent and a direct threat to Vladimir Putin's legitimacy. Although the offensive has shifted Ukrainian war aims toward reclaiming all pre-2014 borders, experts maintain that while military victory remains achievable, the immediate collapse of the Russian state remains unpredictable.

What to expect from King Charles III

King Charles III

Upon becoming the world's oldest British monarch and longest-serving heir, Charles III must balance his role as Supreme Governor of the Church of England with the demands of a modern, religiously diverse nation. To ensure the institution's survival, he is strategically reducing the size of the working royal family to address public concerns over cost while navigating internal family tensions and the risk of constitutional crisis arising from his past political advocacy. This transition marks a shift from the universal respect commanded by his mother toward a more polarizing leadership style that relies on rapid adaptation to maintain the monarchy's public relevance.

Queen Elizabeth II: her reign in numbers

Queen Elizabeth II

Queen Elizabeth II reigned for seven decades, transforming the British Empire into a voluntary Commonwealth of 54 nations while maintaining an average public approval rating of 80%. Her tenure saw the monarch become a global diplomatic powerhouse who visited over 100 countries and met with 13 US presidents, effectively serving as the primary glue holding the post-colonial organization together. Known for her unwavering work ethic and pioneering use of digital communication, she balanced immense societal shifts—from the rise of female labor to the legalization of same-sex marriage—with a consistent dedication to state affairs.

Will Trump be president again?

Trump

Despite internal party fractures and ongoing legal challenges, Donald Trump's grip on the Republican Party remains unshaken following the 2022 defeat of prominent critic Liz Cheney, a result that has silenced opposition and consolidated his base. As Trump prepares to leverage his legal prosecutions as political grievances to secure the 2024 nomination, analysts project he may lose the national popular vote while remaining competitive enough to win the presidency through the Electoral College. This trajectory raises significant concerns regarding election integrity, particularly as Trump-endorsed officials in key states may utilize their positions to dispute or falsify results should he achieve a narrow victory.

The Saudi prince: how dangerous is MBS?

MBS, Khalid Al-Jabri, Nick Pelham, Nicholas Pelham

Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman has rapidly consolidated absolute power in Saudi Arabia while dismantling the religious establishment to implement sweeping social reforms like women's driving rights and public entertainment. These changes accompany a controversial economic strategy known as Vision 2030 aimed at reducing oil dependence, despite the regime facing severe scrutiny over the 2018 murder of journalist Jamal Khashoggi and persistent human rights abuses. Analysts warn that MBS's aggressive centralization of authority and reliance on fear to suppress dissent create a volatile political environment where internal fractures or miscalculations could threaten the kingdom's stability.

How are offices changing?

Faye Wong, Ben Hamley

Multinational corporations are transforming offices into social hubs and adopting hub-and-spoke models to meet a global demand for flexibility, where 76% to 86% of workers across major regions now prioritize remote options over traditional in-office presence. This shift has triggered significant urban vacancies in major city centers and compelled companies to transition from presenteeism-based management to performance-driven evaluation. While this evolution supports mixed-use urban planning and reduces commuting, it simultaneously risks exacerbating gender inequalities, particularly for working mothers in Asian markets.

Black holes: why they matter

Alok Jha

Black holes, defined by their event horizons and singularities, span from stellar remnants weighing three to twenty solar masses to supermassive giants millions of times heavier that anchor galaxies. Detection milestones since 1971, culminating in the Event Horizon Telescope's images of Cygnus X-1 and Sagittarius A*, have confirmed their existence through gravitational lensing and X-ray emissions. These cosmic phenomena remain central to resolving the conflict between General Relativity and Quantum Theory, particularly regarding the black hole information paradox and the nature of singularities.

How China crushed Hong Kong

Su Lin Wong, Dr Chung Kim Wah, Ching Chong, Carrie Lam, Anna Kwok

This presentation analyzes the systematic erosion of Hong Kong's autonomy following the 2019 extradition protests and the subsequent imposition of Beijing's National Security Law. Through detailed accounts of decades-long infiltration strategies involving civil servants, security forces, and academics, the discussion highlights how the Communist Party dismantled local resistance to transform the region into a police state. Former residents and exiled figures, including Dr. Chung Kim Wah and Anna Kwok, now warn that these tactics pose an immediate threat to liberal democracies worldwide, urging global vigilance against the export of authoritarian control.

How gene editing could reduce the cost of cosmetics

Sunil Chandran, Jason Kelly, Alok Jha

Biotech firms like Amaris and Ginkgo are rapidly scaling the production of cosmetic ingredients through synthetic biology, currently supplying the majority of the global squalane market while securing contracts to engineer novel scents and fragrances. This shift replaces unsustainable extraction methods that endanger shark populations and deplete natural resources, offering companies the potential for 50% cost savings alongside regulatory advantages in the US and EU. Beyond ingredient sourcing, the sector is increasingly leveraging engineered microbes to address industry-wide waste challenges, such as breaking down the 120 billion units of single-use packaging generated annually.

Alien life: are we about to find it?

Alok Jha

Driven by a decade of technological advancement, the scientific community is shifting from sci-fi speculation to rigorous analysis with the James Webb Space Telescope and upcoming 40-meter ground-based observatories poised to detect biosignatures like oxygen on Earth-like exoplanets. Despite the light-lag constraint making intelligent technosignatures unlikely to be verified soon, researchers are prioritizing the identification of liquid water and biological markers on targets such as Teegarden B. Experts project that these initiatives will either confirm the existence of extraterrestrial life within ten years or fundamentally alter our understanding of life's rarity in the universe.

How does raising interest rates control inflation?

Central banks globally utilize interest rate hikes to curb inflation by increasing borrowing costs, yet this strategy faces a historic challenge where reducing inflation above 5% without triggering a recession has not occurred in over 70 years. While the mechanism effectively dampens spending through variable mortgages and business investment, fixed-rate markets and implementation lags of up to two years create complex economic disparities and risks of over-correction. Ultimately, policymakers aim to anchor expectations at a 2% target, balancing the immediate pain of higher costs against the severe historical precedent of the 1981 recession that required rates to reach 19%.

War in Ukraine: how has the world changed?

The ongoing conflict represents the most significant geopolitical shift since the Cold War, fundamentally altering global security dynamics, European defense postures, and transatlantic unity while exposing Russia's military weaknesses and economic fragility. Global markets face amplified inflation and supply chain disruptions, prompting a long-term restructuring of trade networks and driving China to develop defensive strategies against Western financial sanctions. Meanwhile, Ukraine has demonstrated unexpected resilience with credible victory prospects, potentially accelerating the collapse of the Russian regime and forcing a reconfiguration of the international order where two-thirds of the world remains neutral or supportive of Moscow.

China in Africa: should the West be worried?

Bright Akwe, Papa Star Times, Gadi Epstein, John McDermott

Since the 1960s, China has deployed billions in infrastructure financing and military expansion to forge deep strategic bonds across Africa, securing control over critical assets ranging from railways in Zambia to a permanent naval base in Djibouti. This approach, facilitated primarily by state-owned banks and opaque lending terms, has generated approximately $160 billion in African debt while enabling Beijing to leverage financial dependencies for diplomatic support and media influence. Although Western nations criticize these tactics as debt-trap diplomacy, the strategy simultaneously entrenches Chinese geopolitical power through leading roles in telecommunications and defense equipment sales.

Could Ethiopia’s war in Tigray spark conflict with Sudan?

Sudan and Ethiopia are engaged in a volatile border confrontation over the fertile Al-Fashaga region, where Sudanese forces seized territory from Ethiopian farmers following the collapse of a 2008 treaty during Ethiopia's 2020 Tigray civil war. This territorial dispute has intensified amid wider regional tensions involving the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam, prompting Sudan to align with Egypt in the "Guardians of the Nile" military operation. Despite the involvement of multiple armed factions and failed international mediation, experts continue to advocate for an African Union-led process to resolve the crisis and prevent a broader regional escalation.

War in Ukraine: the emerging global food crisis

Arkady, Ed, Shashank, Sasha Nauta

The ongoing war in Ukraine is precipitating a global food crisis by blocking critical export routes through Odessa, destroying domestic harvests, and disrupting fertilizer supplies, which threatens hundreds of millions in nations like Egypt and the Democratic Republic of Congo. Simultaneously, the prospective NATO accession of Sweden and Finland is expected to significantly strengthen Baltic security through Finland's substantial artillery capabilities, despite President Vladimir Putin leveraging the expansion to fuel narratives of Russian encirclement. This geopolitical shift occurs against the backdrop of US legislative uncertainty regarding escalating aid packages and potential changes in Washington's strategic posture ahead of the 2024 presidential election, raising concerns among European allies about future burden-sharing.