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Axon Enterprise, Inc. — Q3 2026 Earnings Summary

  • Financial Performance:

    • Total revenue reached $909 million, a 28% increase year over year.
    • Software & Services revenue grew 43% year over year to $437 million.
    • Connected Devices revenue increased 16% year over year to $472 million.
    • Platform Solutions revenue grew 106% year over year to $125 million.
    • Net income was $57 million, compared to a net loss of $2 million in the prior-year period.
    • Adjusted EBITDA increased 33% year over year to $236 million.
    • Operating income was $42 million, compared to a loss from operations of $2 million in the prior-year period.
    • Total company gross margin was 56.7%, down from 60.1% in the prior-year period; Adjusted gross margin was 59.2%, down from 62.7%.
    • Operating cash flow was $20 million, compared to $60 million in the prior-year period.
    • Free cash flow was an outflow of $19 million, compared to an inflow of $33 million in the prior-year period.
    • Cash, cash equivalents, and short-term investments totaled $1.7 billion as of September 30, 2026.
    • Outstanding convertible and senior notes were $2.9 billion, resulting in a net debt position of $1.2 billion.
  • Guidance and Future Outlook:

    • Full-year 2026 revenue growth is expected to be approximately 30%, down from prior expectations of 32% to 34% due to the exclusion of three Federal Dedrone deployments totaling approximately $130 million.
    • Full-year 2026 revenue is projected to be between $3.61 billion and $3.63 billion.
    • Full-year 2026 Adjusted EBITDA is projected to be between $924 million and $929 million, representing a margin of approximately 25.6%.
    • Full-year 2026 free cash flow is expected to be between $350 million and $400 million.
    • Full-year 2026 stock-based compensation expense is expected to be between $570 million and $600 million.
    • Full-year 2026 Capital Expenditures (CapEx) are expected to be between $130 million and $150 million.
    • Fourth-quarter 2026 revenue guidance is $990 million to $1.01 billion.
    • Fourth-quarter 2026 Adjusted EBITDA guidance is $245 million to $250 million.
  • Business Segments and Product Lines:

    • Software & Services gross margin was 71.4% for the quarter; Adjusted gross margin was 75.0%.
    • Connected Devices gross margin was 43.0% for the quarter; Adjusted gross margin was 44.6%.
    • New five-year bookings were up 25% year to date.
    • AI bookings were up over 50% year to date; AI annual recurring revenue (ARR) surpassed $100 million.
    • Annual recurring revenue grew 40% year over year to $1.75 billion.
    • Net revenue retention was 126%.
    • Future contracted bookings grew 39% year over year to $15.8 billion.
    • New product launches include Axon Body 5 (body camera), TASER Ion (less-lethal device), and Axon Guardian (field intelligence software).
    • Dedrone software and other newer software offerings collectively reached an annual revenue run rate of nearly $500 million.
    • Deployed Skydio docks through Axon Air more than doubled year over year.
  • Market and Competitive Landscape:

    • Axon announced a $1.2 billion investment in Skydio, increasing its ownership stake to 37%.
    • Axon entered into an exclusive public safety distribution partnership with Skydio in the U.S. and Canada.
    • Skydio expects approximately $1 billion of bookings for the current fiscal year.
    • Demand remains broad with accelerating growth in Software & Services and newer business segments.
    • The company expects millions of flying robots to reshape American life in the coming years.
  • Risks and Challenges:

    • Gross margin decreases were driven by an increased mix of counter-drone equipment, higher memory costs, and scaling of new product categories.
    • Connected Devices growth was impacted by the delayed timing of an approximately $30 million Federal Dedrone deployment expected in the quarter.
    • Full-year revenue guidance was reduced by approximately $130 million due to three large Federal Dedrone deployments no longer expected in 2026.
    • Free cash flow targets were modestly below prior targets due to an accelerated strategic inventory investment of approximately $100 million in the quarter.
    • Future contracted bookings include contracts with termination or other clauses that are not otherwise included in remaining performance obligations.
  • Management Commentary and Tone:

    • Management expressed high conviction entering the fourth quarter, stating Axon's long-term position is stronger than ever.
    • The company noted it is on pace to deliver another record year with four consecutive years of growth above 30%.
    • Management highlighted that demand is broad and newer businesses are becoming meaningful contributors to results.
    • Lee Bercaw, Retired Tampa Police Chief, commented on the potential for AI to give officers valuable time back and improve communication.
    • Management expects the strategic inventory investment to moderate after the first quarter of 2027.
  • Other Key Points:

    • Axon's investment in Skydio represents the largest single investment in the company's history.
    • The strategic investment in Skydio is expected to close subject to conditions.
    • Axon acts as a direct channel partner for Skydio, with revenue recognized on a net basis in Software & Services.
    • Significant customer wins included a $258 million AI Era Plan and body camera expansion with a state Department of Corrections and a $115 million OSP 10 Premium agreement with another state Department of Corrections.
    • Inventory increased significantly, with a $100 million investment in strategic inventory to support product availability and supply chain resilience.
    • The company reported a net debt position of $1.2 billion, up $182 million sequentially.
Company
AXON ENTERPRISE INC
Sector
Industrials
Industry
Aerospace & Defense