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Harley-Davidson — Q3 2026 Earnings Summary

  • Financial Performance:

    • HDMC revenue was $964 million in Q3 2026, down 10% year-over-year (YoY) driven by lower shipment volume.
    • HDMC gross margin percentage increased 173 basis points YoY to 28.1%.
    • HDMC operating expenses were $227 million, 1% lower than the prior year.
    • HDMC operating income was $44 million, down 18% YoY, with an operating income margin of 4.6% compared to 5.0% in the prior year.
    • HDMC Adjusted EBITDA margin improved to 9.7% in Q3 2026 from 8.7% in the prior year.
    • Consolidated net income attributable to HDI was $43 million, down from $377 million in Q3 2025, primarily due to HDFS's sale of securitization beneficial interests and retail finance receivables in the prior year.
    • HDFS operating income margin was 9.7% in Q3 2026, down from 168.0% in Q3 2025.
    • HDFS annualized managed retail credit loss ratio in Q3 2026 was below same periods in 2024 and 2025.
    • Cash and cash equivalents were $2.1 billion as of September 30, 2026.
    • The company returned $110 million in total capital to shareholders in Q3 2026, including $91 million in discretionary share repurchases and $19 million in cash dividends.
  • Guidance and Future Outlook:

    • The Company raised full-year 2026 guidance for HDMC and HDFS for the second time this year.
    • Revised 2026 HDMC guidance includes global motorcycle retail sales and wholesale shipments of 135,500 to 139,000 units.
    • Revised 2026 HDMC operating income guidance is $25 to $55 million.
    • Revised 2026 HDFS operating income guidance is $60 to $70 million.
    • Revised 2026 HDI capital investment guidance is $140 to $165 million.
    • LiveWire has withdrawn its guidance.
  • Business Segments and Product Lines:

    • North American retail sales of new motorcycles increased 9% YoY in Q3 2026, accelerating from 3% growth in the previous quarter.
    • Global retail sales of new motorcycles increased 5% YoY in Q3 2026, driven by North America and Asia-Pacific.
    • Asia-Pacific retail sales grew 1% overall, with Australia and New Zealand growing 15%.
    • Global dealer inventory of new motorcycles ended Q3 2026 down 26% vs. Q3 2025 and down 6% vs. Q2 2026.
    • In North America, 91% of dealer inventory consisted of current Model Year 2026 motorcycles at the end of Q3 2026, up from 86% in Q3 2025.
    • HDMC global motorcycle shipments were 33,616 units in Q3 2026, down 8% YoY.
    • Models such as the Super Glide® and Deadwood™ are noted for creating deeper connections between the brand and riders.
    • The Company is executing its "Back to the Bricks" strategy in partnership with dealers.
  • Market and Competitive Landscape:

    • North America sales growth marks the 4th consecutive quarter of YoY retail growth, demonstrating an entrenched foothold in the home market.
    • The dealer network is becoming increasingly profitable.
  • Risks and Challenges:

    • Forward-looking statements are subject to risks including execution of business plans, supply chain and logistics issues (quality, interruptions, supplier volatility, raw material shortages, inflation, war, natural disasters), and tariffs.
    • Risks include managing geopolitical environments, specifically the conflict in Iran, and changing market conditions or interest rates.
    • Potential brand damage from activist collective actions, such as boycotts.
    • LiveWire's ability to obtain funding and sustain operations as a going concern, including risks related to developing and selling electric vehicles and consumer adoption.
    • Quality and regulatory non-compliance issues regarding brake hose assemblies from Proterial Cable America, Inc.
    • Dependence on the financial capacity of dealers to sell products and manage economic conditions.
    • Risks related to HDFS credit losses, including consumer credit behavior, macroeconomic conditions, and underwriting criteria adjustments.
    • Cybersecurity incidents, ransomware attacks, and data privacy breaches.
    • Climate change regulations and environmental, safety, and emissions regulations.
  • Management Commentary and Tone:

    • Artie Starrs, President and CEO, expressed pleasure with progress in aligning wholesale activity with retail demand and achieving a 26% reduction in dealer inventory while delivering 5% growth in global retail sales.
    • Management noted encouragement regarding improvement in key growth drivers and the profitability of the dealer network.
    • Troy Alstead, Chairman of the Board, described the new board appointees as complementary additions providing invaluable perspective on profitability, risk mitigation, and global operations.
  • Other Key Points:

    • The Board of Directors appointed two new independent directors: Anthony D. Fassino (recently retired Group President of Construction Industries at Caterpillar Inc.) and Bryan E. Slone (former Managing Partner at Deloitte's Nebraska office).
    • The total number of directors on the Board is now ten.
    • LiveWire revenue was $7.9 million in Q3 2026, up from $5.6 million in Q3 2025, with an operating loss of $17.8 million.
    • HDFS revenue was $110.8 million in Q3 2026, down from $261.2 million in Q3 2025.
    • LiveWire motorcycle shipments were 241 units in Q3 2026, up from 184 units in Q3 2025.
    • Global motorcycle retail sales totaled 35,833 units in Q3 2026, up from 33,984 units in Q3 2025.
    • The Company holds a controlling interest in Harley-Davidson Financial Services and LiveWire Group, Inc.
Company
HARLEY-DAVIDSON INC
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Industry
Recreational Vehicles