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Goldman Sachs28 min

How China’s ‘Perfect Storm’ and Economic Headwinds Are Affecting Markets and Investors

Kinger Lau, Hui Shan, Alison Nathan

Interview, Webinar

Goldman Sachs analysts analyze China's current economic stagnation driven by Omicron lockdowns and a severe property downturn, noting that structural constraints and geopolitical tensions limit the government's ability to stimulate growth through traditional methods. Despite these headwinds forcing a downward revision of long-term growth forecasts to 4-5%, the firm argues that significant risks are already priced into equities trading below 10x forward earnings, suggesting a constructive six-to-twelve-month outlook. Investors are advised to align portfolios with policy-supported sectors like semiconductors and green energy, anticipating potential valuation recovery contingent on a soft landing and avoided global recession.