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Bloomberg Television46 min

Nvidia Faces Scrutiny Over US Chip-Smuggling Probe as AI Stocks Rebound

Rashmi Garg, Peter van Driel, Jane Fraser, Abir Abu-Ahmad, Winnie Su, Min Min Lo, Stuart Livingstone, Anthony Halpin, Anthony Stevens, Paul Burkhart

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  • Technology stocks are expected to moderate following a momentum crash, with analysts viewing the post-U.S. midterm sell-off as overdone given sustained demand for AI tokens, GPUs, and networking equipment.
  • While Nvidia's succession plan faces skepticism due to the lack of a tangible successor and potential significant stock losses if CEO Jensen Huang departs, the broader AI trade is projected to remain intact despite short-term volatility.
  • Market conditions are anticipated to stabilize as rationality returns, with Citi CEO Jane Fraser characterizing the recent tech sell-off as slightly overdone and emphasizing that AI infrastructure build-out is a multi-year initiative with persistent compute demand.
  • Analysts and Bloomberg's Stuart Livingstone predict an AI IPO for Anthropic with a potential valuation between $1.25 trillion and $1.5 trillion by year-end, while the industry is expected to adopt a more thoughtful approach to risk management and community impact.
  • Adnoco's CFO Peter Vendriel has revised its full-year net income guidance upward to at least $4 billion and committed to growing EBITDA by 60% from 2023 to 2030 via $28 billion in capital expenditure.
  • The Fujairah LNG export terminal remains in an investigation phase with no final investment decision, ownership structure, or commitment to proceed, though European customers are projected to receive gas volumes in 2028 and late 2029.
  • Qatar Energy anticipates a final investment decision by Total on its Namibia project by the end of the year to enable economies of scale, while Botswana aims to double its stake in De Beers to 30% to facilitate Anglo-American's exit.
  • First Abu Dhabi Bank is considering a $5 billion rights issue, though the execution of this capital raise remains uncertain.
  • Oil prices above $90 per barrel are viewed as not fully pricing out regional conflict risks, with a projected fair price of $50 to $60 per barrel in the absence of Middle East tension.
  • U.S. sentiment has shifted toward prioritizing diplomacy in the Russia-Ukraine conflict, with officials optimistic about upcoming talks in Abu Dhabi but acknowledging the necessity of hard negotiations regarding ceasefire mechanisms and post-war security.
  • The region faces a long period of uncertainty regarding regional stability and order, according to UAE senior advisor Anwar al-Ghash.
  • Emirates President Tim Clark indicates that retirement plans may be delayed due to the ongoing situation in Iran, marking a second instance of a global event disrupting his departure timeline.